Man City Defenders Analysis & Ratings for 2022/23 FPL Season

Man City have one of the best initial fixture runs, but the difficulty with City is always this question: which FPL assets can we rely on?

Over the course of the season, City fantasy assets go through phases of involvement—changing due to fixture congestion, opponents, form, team system, competitions, etc. Dependent on these phases, Pep manages the squad differently, which has implications on FPL. Due to the nature of FPL this year, where we need to use one Wildcard between Gameweeks 1 and 16, the post-GW8 International Break will be a logical and popular Wildcard time.

In my preseason articles, I’ll look at Gameweeks 1-8 in a bubble, developing an understanding of Pep’s management in the initial phase of the season to better understand which City assets we should be thinking about selecting. In this article, I take a look at our defenders.

Link to all our 2022/23 Pre Season articles including a transfer tracker of all new signings, all team pre-season friendly updates, team previews, fixture analysis, position-wise analysis, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Man City Defenders: Elite Defense, Elite FPL Assets

Man City are perennially the elite defense in the Prem (17 Clean Sheets in 19-20, 19 in 20-21, and 21 in 21-22). Last season, 14 FPL defenders/goalkeepers scored >140 pts and 4 of those players were from City: Cancelo with 201 pts, Laporte with 160 pts, Ederson with 155 points, and Dias with 141 pts. This season, it is expected that City maintain their defensive consistency, resulting in several great FPL assets.

*It is still up in the air as to whether City will sign any other defenders, namely Brighton defender Marc Cucurella (5.0 m), so I’ll try to take that into account as I analyze.*


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Overview – Team Strength (GWs 1-8)

Pros: In the first 8 Gameweeks, City only face two teams in the top half last season’s xG table: Spurs (#4, 65.1 xG) and West Ham (#8, 49.9 xG). Their other opponents include four mid to low table attacks (Palace, Villa, Newcastle, Wolves) and two promoted sides (Bournemouth and Forest). This lands City as a top 3 team on most FDRs. Last season, City started very strongly, keeping 5 out of 7 clean sheets before the Int’l Break.

Cons: While the initial fixture run looks good on paper, the opposition City face can be bogey teams for our defense. Against the 6 non-promoted sides City face in the first 8 Gameweeks, we conceded 11 goals in those 12 games last season, only keeping 4 clean sheets. With the likes of Palace, Villa, Newcastle, and Wolves potentially improving offensively, this fixture run may not be as strong as it initially appears. While City started strong last season, the previous two seasons they only kept 5 out of 15 possible clean sheets before the Int’l Break (3/8 in 19-20 and 2/7 in 20-21).

Conclusion: I would expect the City defense to come out of this period with 4-5 clean sheets. I expect clean sheets against both promoted sides and a minimum of 2 against the remaining 6 clubs, even though they have been difficult opposition in the past. With Dias, Laporte, and Stones all fit, I would expect a strong start, just maybe not as strong as last season. I don’t think any potential signings change this expectation drastically. With an expectation of at least 4/8 clean sheets and a higher ceiling, the City defense should be in everyone’s thinking for the initial phase of the season.

Can we expect defensive rotation?

The biggest issue with any Pep Guardiola side is rotation, it can be very difficult to guess which players will play at a given time. While this is the primary issue in picking City assets, defenders offer more consistency compared to the midfielders and forwards. Last season, 4 out of City’s 6 most played players were defenders (Ederson, Cancelo, Laporte, and Dias); this includes a month-long injury to Dias, as well. Even with slight rotation, the consistent and elite output from City defenders makes them some of the best defensive assets in the game.

In the first 8 Gameweeks of the season, with only 2 UCL games before the International Break, we can expect Pep to start his first-choice defense in most games. Let’s look at how Pep managed this period of the season in the past 3 years to see if this hunch is justified:

19-20 Season (GWs 1-8):

  • *Fernandinho started 2 games at CB during this period*
  • Ederson: 720 mins, 3 CSs, 2 yellow cards
  • Walker: 640 mins, 2 CSs, 1 assist, 2 yellow cards
  • Otamendi: 603 mins, 2 CSs, 1 goal, 2 yellow cards
  • Zinchenko: 540 mins, 2 CSs
  • Laporte: 307 mins, 1 CS, 1 yellow card
  • Stones: 180 mins, 1 CS
  • Cancelo: 125 mins, 1 yellow card
  • Mendy: 45 mins

Analysis: In 19-20, the City defense was weakened due to the departure of Vincent Kompany. The defensive core consisted of Walker, Otamendi, and Zinchenko, with one of three center backs filling the fourth slot. There was limited rotation for these three, although the defense overall was not performing at an elite level.

20-21 Season (GWs 2-8):

  • *City’s GW1 fixture was postponed until later in the season*
  • Ederson: 630 mins, 2 CSs
  • Walker: 618 mins, 2 CSs, 1 goal, 1 yellow card
  • Dias: 450 mins, 2 CSs, 1 yellow card
  • Cancelo: 360 mins, 2 CSs, 1 assist, 1 yellow card
  • Ake: 290 mins, 1 CS, 1 goal, 2 yellow cards
  • Laporte: 270 mins, 1 CS, 1 yellow card
  • Mendy: 250 mins, 2 yellow cards
  • Garcia: 180 mins
  • Stones: 90 mins
  • Zinchenko: 12 mins

Analysis: In 20-21, the defense was getting stronger, but less stable. Walker and Dias were the two mainstays, with Cancelo breaking into the squad slowly. There was a heavy share of minutes between Laporte, Ake, Mendy, and Garcia. Primarily due to this instability, the defense struggled to perform out the gate overall.

21-22 Season (GWs 1-7):

  • *This season came just after the Euros, so Walker was rested in GW1*
  • Ederson: 630 mins, 5 CSs
  • Cancelo: 630 mins, 5 CSs, 1 assist, 1 yellow card
  • Dias: 630 mins, 5 CSs, 1 assist, 2 yellow cards
  • Walker: 495 mins, 4 CSs
  • Laporte: 450 mins, 4 CSs, 1 goal, 2 yellow cards
  • Ake: 180 mins, 1 CS
  • Mendy: 90 mins
  • Zinchenko: 45 mins (sub)
  • Stones: 0 mins

Analysis: In 21-22, the City defense finally found the right combination of stability and quality to start the season. There was a clear first-choice back four of Cancelo, Dias, Laporte, and Walker. Each of these assets, especially Cancelo and Dias, performed exceptionally well in FPL.

Expectation: At the start of the 22-23 season, we can expect a similar output from City defenders compared to the 21-22 season. Starting at the back, Ederson is a no-brainer when it comes to consistency. While Ortega may offer him competition in the future, there is no doubt that Ederson will enter the season as City’s #1. He will play all 720 minutes, unless injured. From this data, we can expect 2 outfield defenders to log >600 minutes before the IB, with 2 others coming in close around 500-550 minutes. In my opinion, Dias and Cancelo are most likely to play >600 minutes, making them the most nailed options. I would expect Laporte and Walker to come in slightly behind those two for minutes. If Laporte is first-choice (which I assume he is, although Pep has flipped between him and Stones in the past), then there is a chance that Laporte also eclipses the 600 minutes mark before the IB.

*In the case that Cucurella is signed, I would expect Cancelo to start 6 or 7 out of the initial 7 games, with Cucurella and Walker splitting games for the other fullback spot. If Cucurella is not signed, Walker at 5.0 million could be a bargain to start the season with.*

Will Pep substitute defenders more with 5 subs?

The short answer is we won’t know until it happens. There is a chance that Pep uses the extra subs to switch out fullbacks. However, that seems relatively unlikely given how little he used extra subs during Project Restart, when he only used all 5 subs 4/10 times (figure from @JohnDoeFPL on twitter).

Last season, Cancelo, Laporte, and Walker were never subbed on. Dias and Stones were both subbed on twice. Generally, it should not be much of a worry for a City defender to be subbed on and off. In FPL, that is one quality you look for in a defensive asset because you do not want early subs or cameo appearances blocking a bench substitution when your player doesn’t get a full 90 minutes.

Further Read: How Will Five Substitutions Per Game Impact 2022/23 FPL Season?

Verdict & Ratings on Man City FPL Defenders

Everyone should have at least one City defender in their squad to begin the season, ideally two. City’s elite defense, coupled with a good run of fixtures and a settled defensive line should bode well for FPL points. Assessing how minutes were distributed in the past few seasons, I would rank the City defenders as follows:

1. Joao Cancelo (7.0 m)

Man City Defenders ~ Cancelo a good FPL option

Unsurprisingly, Cancelo is my preferred City defensive asset. Even in the case that Cucurella signs, I would expect Cancelo to start about 7 out of the 8 games in this period. He provides excellent value and consistency, even at his new price of 7.0 million.

2. Ruben Dias (6.0 m)

Man City Defenders ~ Ruben Dias a good FPL option

While he may not be as flashy as the other defensive options at 6.0 million and below (i.e. Chilwell, James, and Perisic), he offers a consistency that the others lack. As long as he is fit, you can expect the City captain to start all 8 games, whilst potentially offering an attacking return as well. If you are struggling to find the funds for Cancelo, Dias is a viable alternative; I expect him to match Cancelo’s value over this period (pts/million).

3. Ederson (5.5 m)

Man City Defenders ~ Ederson a good option at 5.5 Million

This year, the 5.5 million goalkeepers are great value, all that matters is having enough budget to fit them in. Many will not want to go for Alisson, as they will use the three Liverpool slots elsewhere, so it becomes a choice between Ederson or Lloris. If you are someone who wants 2 City defenders or is not too keen on City’s other defensive options, then picking Ederson as a keeper will provide consistent and reliable value.

Wildcard: Kyle Walker (5.0 m)

When the prices came out, I was surprised to see Walker priced at 5.0 m and not 5.5 m like Stones. If we do sign Cucurella, I would not be going near Walker as I think the risk of rotation is just too high. However, if Cucurella stays at Brighton and City’s only fullback options are Cancelo, Walker, and Zinchenko, then Walker will offer exceptional value.

Laporte and Stones:

Laporte and Stones don’t make my list simply because I am not sure of their minutes to start the season. I expect Laporte to be the first choice alongside Dias, and if I had to guess, I would say that he starts at least 6 of the initial 8 games. However, at 6.0 million each, there is no justifiable reason to pick Laporte over Dias to start the season. Unless you really want three City defenders, I would stay away from Laporte early on. Stones will be a good pick if he ever becomes first-choice, however, I don’t see that happening early on and for that reason, he is an easy avoid.

Thank you for reading! Next on the way: Manchester City Mid/Fwd Analysis (GWs 1-8), coming out on July 20!

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Alex Michel

AllAboutFPL's Manchester City Correspondent Twitter: @4lex_mcfc
AllAboutFPL's Manchester City Correspondent Twitter: @4lex_mcfc

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