FPL Gameweek 5 was a high-scoring one with popular captaincy choice and the one who topped the metrics Haaland scoring another hattrick to score 17 points. In this blog let’s take a look at the best captaincy option for FPL Gameweek 6 according to our successful captaincy metrics.
The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 5/5 “returns record” with Haaland topping the metrics in GW6 and returning with 34 points. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 114 points(24+10+12+34+34)
Link to all our FPL GW6 blogs including fixtures to target, predicted 11, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW6 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Haaland once again tops the voting in the Gameweek 6 FPL Captaincy poll and it isn’t a surprise after scoring back-to-back hattricks. Salah is closely second with 33% of the votes, and Kane is interestingly third with around 7% of the votes. KDB who was rested against Forest and guaranteed to play this week is fourth in the voting. Gabriel Jesus was back amongst the goals against Villa but is only fifth in the poll due to the Man United fixture. The five players going into the metrics are Salah, Haaland, Kane, KDB, and Jesus.
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 6 Captain picks
Haaland once again dominates the individual numbers with a whopping 21 shots inside the box with 13 big chances accounting for 5.54 xG. Jesus is the second best with 18 shots inside the box, 5 big chances and an xG of 3.33. Kane isn’t far behind Jesus in terms of xG(3.21). Salah got two assists midweek vs Newcastle and has created a whopping 21 chances 6 more than Kevin De Bruyne who generally tops the chances created column but his xG from the first five games(2.37) is nearly just half of Haaland’s and is only fourth. KDB as expected is fifth in the player’s attack rank as he generally scores from low xG chances.
Further Read: Predicted GW6 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Man City attack was always going to dominate but what is more interesting is the numbers Arsenal’s attack is putting, they have the most shots inside the box and have the second-best xG of 10.55 which is not so far from Man City’s xG of 11.83. Liverpool are also not very behind Arsenal with an xG of 9.47. Spurs are however last compared to the other three teams in the table with an xG of 7.28.
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW6
The fixture difficulty based on odds is a bit tight with three teams close to each other. Aston Villa’s poor form and Man City’s terrifying attack means they are top again with a 90% odds of at least one goal and 48% odds of 2+ goals. Salah is closely second with an 89% odds of at least one goal and 44% chance of 2+ goals vs Everton. Kane is again not far behind Salah with an 87% odds of one goal vs Spurs and 40% odds of 2+ goals vs Fulham. The big game for Arsenal against Man United means they have a 75% chance of at least one goal and 20% odds of 2+ goals which aren’t bad but not up to the big numbers of the other three teams.
Further Read: FPL Players And Teams To Target From FPL Gameweek 6 To 8
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 6 Captain Picks
If you were expecting Haaland to top this table, you’ll be disappointed with Kane and Salah shaking things up here. Kane had a 75% chance of anytime returns and a points projection of 8.3, whereas Salah is really close to Kane with a 71% chance of anytime returns and a points projection of 8.2. KDB and Haaland coming only joint third mainly due to expected minutes(xMins) with KDB having a 54% chance of anytime returns and a points projection of 5.8 whereas Haaland has an anytime returns of 57% and a points projection of 5.4(Last week Haaland had a projection of 7.4 points, a drop of 2 points). Jesus due to his fixture difficulty is last with a 48% chance of anytime returns and a points projection of 4.8.
Further Read: Best FPL GW6 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 6 Captaincy metric analysis
Haaland once again tops the metrics and it isn’t a surprise with his strong showing(9 goals in 5 games). However, unlike last week his cumulative rank factor isn’t 4 and this time his CRF is 6. KDB is second with a CRF of 10, which is interesting as he’s guaranteed to start against Villa. Kane and Salah are joint third with a CRF of 13, Kane and Salah have good projections and are pretty close to City in the fixture difficult table so they are certainly not bad options. Jesus is last with a CRF of 15 as his projections and fixture difficulty aren’t at similar levels due to the Man United fixture.
PS: The player with the lowest CRF(Cumulative Rank Factor) is the best captain according to our metrics!
Some interesting Pep Quotes to predict Haaland xMins
Pep Guardiola on managing Erling Haaland’s game time: “He’s 22. Recovers well. When he’s 32, more difficult. 22, not a problem.” [via @_joebray]
Pep Guardiola on Erling Haaland: “One month ago he was a disaster because of what happened in the Community Shield. Now, he’s going to break everything…” both quotes via @City_Xtra
All these quotes from Pep strongly indicate a Haaland start. But Pep could do a Pep, nobody ever knows!
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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW6
Top FPL Gameweek 6 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Best Rodrigo Replacements In FPL Ahead Of FPL GW6
Best FPL GW6 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL Players And Teams To Target From FPL Gameweek 6 To 8
FPL GW6 Transfer Trends, Best Transfer Combinations & Tips
FPL GW6 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC & AllAboutFPL
Predicted GW6 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
FPL Player In Focus: Isak | Should You Buy Him For FPL GW6?
FPL GW6 Wildcard Team & Drafts To Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL GW6 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
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Allaboutfpl is completely 100% free to access and will remain the same. We do not like putting a paywall on our blogs and disappoint our readers like other websites (Not naming anyone😉). So you can continue to scroll and read without having to pay.
Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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