FPL Premium Forwards Analysis Ahead Of 2021/22 Season

As the start of the 21/22 season approaches, we continue the analysis of players to consider in different positions and price ranges. In this edition, we will be taking a look at FPL premium forwards options, those with price tags exceeding £9m. While they do take up a large portion of the given budget, the premium options boast hefty price tags for a reason: they deliver.

With only 5 forwards this season in the premium category, let’s take a look at a deeper analysis of each asset and see which ones could potentially make the starting lineups in your FPL squads.

In case your missed our budget strikers blog, here it is, FPL Budget Strikers (£4.5 – £6.5 Mil) Analysis Ahead Of 2021/22 Season, FPL Mid-Priced Strikers (£7.0 – £8.5 Mil) Analysis For 21/22 Season. Link to all our FPL forwards analysis blogs ~ FPL Strikers

Premium FPL Forwards in Price Order:

  • Harry Kane TOT/MCI £12.5
  • Jamie Vardy LEI £10.5
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang £10.0
  • Roberto Firmino LIV £9.0
  • Timo Werner CHE £9.0

Harry Kane TOT/MCI £12.5

2020/21 golden boot winner and playmaker of the season Harry Kane could continue to shine this season.
2020/21 golden boot winner and playmaker of the season Harry Kane could continue to shine this season.
Price: £12.5
Appearances: 35
⚽️ 23 goals 🅰️ 14 assists
Per game: 👟 4.00 shots 🔑 1.43 Key Passes
🎨 0.44 big chances created
✅ on penalties

Opening fixtures (at Spurs): MCI (H), WOL (A), WAT (H), CRY (A), CHE (H), ARS (A), AVL (H)
Opening fixtures (if at City): TOT (A), NOR (H), ARS (H), LEI (A),  SOU (H), CHE (A), LIV (A)

Arguably the best forward option amongst the premiums. As we’ve seen last season and during Euro 2020, Kane is a lethal striker who is very capable of scoring big, both in goals and assists.

Statistically, he ranks 1st among all premium forwards for bonus points per 90 mins (25.67), 1st for headed attempts per 90 (0.79), 1st for total shots per 90 (4.00), and 1st for non-penalty xG per 90 (0.49).

One main concern is the recent news of a possible transfer to Manchester City. While nothing is 100% confirmed, this is something to keep in mind if Kane makes a spot on your drafts. If he transfers to City, we know that Pep’s atrocious rotation could affect Kane’s minutes, and he might need a few games to settle in with the new squad. The upside is that, if he is nailed at City, the supporting players around him could boost his potential to haul big consistently.

I think the move to City is quite imminent, but, if it doesn’t happen, Kane should still be a good option should he remain at Tottenham. He’ll be nailed and on penalties.

While there is a lot of uncertainty with this move, he should nevertheless still remain a standout premium forward option. I expect him to continue doing well after his brilliant 20/21 season and Euros performance.

Kane is ranking 1st for total shots per 90 out of all premium FPL forwards.
Kane is ranking 1st for total shots per 90 out of all premium forwards.
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Kane's heatmap: shows a heavy presence in the box, as well as in dangerous areas just outside the box.
Kane’s heatmap: shows a heavy presence in the box, as well as in dangerous areas just outside the box.
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Further Read: FPL Mid-Priced Strikers (£7.0 – £8.5 Mil) Analysis For 21/22 Season

Jamie Vardy LEI £10.5

Jamie Vardy offers a premium entry into the Leicester attack.
Jamie Vardy offers a premium entry into the Leicester attack.
Price: £10.5 
Appearances: 34
⚽️ 15 goals 🅰️ 14 assists 
Per game: 👟 2.59 shots 🔑 0.89 Key Passes 
🎨 0.23 big chances created
✅ on penalties
Opening fixtures: WOL (H), WHU (A), NOR (A), MCI (H), BHA (A), BUR (H), CRY (A)

Jamie Vardy tied with Harry Kane for the highest number of assists last season, with 14 assists. Vardy suffered a couple of injury spells last season, forcing him on the sidelines and limiting his output.

However, in the time that he was able to play, he averaged 1.11 big chances per 90 mins (1st for all premium forwards), 1.20 shots on target per 90, and 2.41 shots in the box per 90. He has a 45% goal involvement, showing that, whenever Leicester scores, he is bound to be in on the action.

Vardy will also have Kelechi Iheanacho playing alongside him, who, too, is very involved in the attack. I think Vardy’s spot should be nailed despite the introduction of Patson Daka. We need to see how Brendan Rodgers utilizes his three forwards.

Vardy ranks 1st for most big chances among all premium fpl forwards.
Vardy ranks 1st for most big chances among all premium forwards.
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Vardy's heatmap: very heavy presence in the box.
Vardy’s heatmap: very heavy presence in the box.
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Further Read: FPL Budget Strikers (£4.5 – £6.5 Mil) Analysis Ahead Of 2021/22 Season

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ARS £10.0

Aubameyang could provide more consistent returns with only domestic football to worry about.
Aubameyang could provide more consistent returns with only domestic football to worry about.
Price: £10.0
Appearances: 29
⚽️ 10 goals 🅰️ 3 assists  
Per game: 👟 2.20 shots 🔑 0.85 Key Passes  
🎨 0.12 big chances created 
✅ on penalties 
Opening fixtures: BRE (A), CHE (H), MCI (A), NOR (H), BUR (A), TOT (H), BHA (A)

After Arsenal’s lackluster results in the 20/21 season, I expect them to be eager to play hard. Without any international cups or tournaments to worry about, rotation should be minimal on Arteta’s side, with Aubameyang to captain the side week-in week-out.

An important point to note is Aubameyang was formerly classified as a midfielder; this season, he has been reclassified as a forward. He would be the premium option into the Arsenal attack.

Statistically, he ranks 2nd best after Kane for most crosses into the box per 90 mins (2.31). He averages 4.81 touches in the box per 90, and 2.20 shots per 90.

Arteta usually deployed a 4-2-3-1, and, towards the end of the season, we saw Aubameyang take the lone-striker role at the top. This would have been huge as, being classified as a midfielder, he would have scored more points per goal. With the signing of Ben White, we will have to see whether Arteta sticks to this formation, or possibly convert to a 3-man defense, shifting up the shape of the attack.

Regardless, we should still see Aubameyang as the primary striker choice for Arsenal.

Aubameyang ranks 2nd best for most crosses into the box amongst premium fpl forwards
Aubameyang ranks 2nd best for most crosses into the box.
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Aubameyang's heatmap: occasionally deployed as a winger on the left, but he still maintains a constant presence in the box.
Aubameyang’s heatmap: occasionally deployed as a winger on the left, but he still maintains a constant presence in the box.
Check out more stats & heatmaps like this on FFFIXSubscribe now with a 65% exclusive discount

Further Read: FPL Mid-Priced Strikers (£7.0 – £8.5 Mil) Analysis For 21/22 Season

Roberto Firmino LIV £9.0

Liverpool's primary striker Firmino could be a decent premium fpl forward option.
Liverpool’s primary striker Firmino could be a decent premium option.
Price: £9.0
Appearances: 36
⚽️ 9 goals 🅰️ 8 assists   
Per game: 👟 2.62 shots 🔑 1.39 Key Passes   
🎨 0.35 big chances created  
❌ not on penalties  
Opening fixtures: NOR (A), BUR (H), CHE (H), LEE (A), CRY (H), BRE (A), MCI (H)

Towards the end of the season, the spotlight on the Brazilian as a standout pick in the Liverpool attack gradually faded. Partly due to his knee injury which saw him sidelined for about a month, partly due to Liverpool’s dramatic dip in form midway through the season.

However, I’m confident we can see Firmino back in action as the central striker of a front 3 Liverpool attack. Firmino’s common role as a False 9 striker sees him frequently patrolling the central areas of the opposition’s half, while also providing threat in the box.

Firmino is 2nd after Kane for key passes per 90 mins (1.39). He leads in most total touches per 90 mins amidst all premium strikers (56.96) and is 2nd best for goal attempts out of the box per 90 (0.60).

While he is not on penalty duty, he still gets involved in the attack significantly. The opening fixtures for Liverpool tilt in his favor too.

Firmino leads in most total touches per 90 minutes amongst premium fpl forwards
Firmino leads in most total touches per 90 minutes.
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Firmino's heatmap: common role as a False 9 striker sees him frequently patrolling the central areas of the opposition's half.
Firmino’s heatmap: common role as a False 9 striker sees him frequently patrolling the central areas of the opposition’s half.
Check out more stats & heatmaps like this on FFFIXSubscribe now with a 65% exclusive discount

Further Read: FPL Budget Strikers (£4.5 – £6.5 Mil) Analysis Ahead Of 2021/22 Season

Timo Werner CHE £9.0

Werner is the primary premium FPL forward option in a strong Chelsea side.
Werner is the primary premium forward option in a strong Chelsea side.
Price: £9.0 
Appearances: 35
⚽️ 6 goals 🅰️ 12 assists    
Per game: 👟 2.73 shots 🔑 1.25 Key Passes    
🎨 0.38 big chances created   
✅ on penalties (shared duty with Jorginho)
Opening fixtures: CRY (H), ARS (A), LIV (A), AVL (H), TOT (A), MCI (H), SOU (H)

Chelsea’s German striker received mixed reviews in his first season in the Premier League. He clocked decent xG ratings in certain fixtures, only to blank or miss big chances. I felt like he finally began finding his feet beneath him towards the end of the season, but he was a pain to own in the first few Gameweeks last season.

Despite the mixed reviews, Werner got the 2nd most assists last season of all forwards (12), averaged 0.83 big chances per 90 mins, and is 2nd best for non-penalty xG per 90 mins (0.46). He is also 2nd of all premium strikers for most total touches in the box per 90 mins (189).

The stats are there: he is a lethal striker. His pace causes a lot of issues for opposition defenders. It’s a matter of whether he can tuck away those chances.

He has a strong, confident Chelsea side coming off of a huge Champion’s League title to support him, and he is on penalty duty when Jorginho is not on the pitch.

The fixtures don’t look too appealing from the start of the season; however, when the fixture swings in Chelsea’s favor after GW6, he could potentially be a decent punt on a wildcard team.

Werner got the 2nd most total assists last season, only 2 less than the leaders Kane and Vardy
Werner got the 2nd most total assists last season, only 2 less than the leaders Kane and Vardy.
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Werner's heatmap: heavy presence on the left flank as well as the box.
Werner’s heatmap: heavy presence on the left flank as well as the box.
Check out more stats & heatmaps like this on FFFIXSubscribe now with a 65% exclusive discount

Conclusion of FPL premium forwards ahead of FPL 2021/22 FPL Season

Out of all 5 of the FPL premium forwards we’ve discussed today, here’s how I would rank them from top choice to least.

  1. Harry Kane
  2. Roberto Firmino
  3. Jamie Vardy
  4. Timo Werner
  5. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

The likelihood is that our teams will only be able to own a maximum of one of these 5 premium assets, given their hefty price tags. I hope this analysis has given more thought to which premium striker may potentially be a decent choice for your squads.

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Thanks for reading the FPL premium forwards blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs. Also, follow our 20000+community on InstagramFacebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates. Link to all our 2021/22 FPL pre-season blogs. Check out our Rules and Basics Guide, FPL Team Structure Guide, FPL Goalkeepers, FPL Budget Strikers, FPL Midfielders, FPL position-wise player analysis, FPL Strikers, FPL Team Analysis, and FPL Player Analysis.

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Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of the 2021/22 Season:

FPL Mid-Priced Strikers (£7.0 – £8.5 Mil) Analysis For 21/22 Season
2021/22 FPL Season Set Piece & Penalty Takers List and Analysis of 3 Season Data
Mid-Priced FPL Midfielders (£7 – £9.5 Mil) Analysis and Comparison Ahead Of 2021/22 Season
FPL 2021-22: Best 4.5M FPL Defenders Rotation Combinations

Man City FPL Preview | Fixture Analysis, Pep Rotation, and Key FPL Assets
Making the Case to be an FPL Asset This Season ~ Edinson Cavani
Team to Target for Initial Few GW’s – Brighton & Hove Albion | FPL 21/22 Season
2021/22 FPL Team Structure | One premium Mid and Forward with Drafts
2021/22 FPL Team Structure | Two Premium Midfielders with Drafts
FPL GoalKeepers for 2021/22 FPL season
FPL Budget Strikers (£4.5 – £6.5 Mil) Analysis Ahead Of 2021/22 Season
Official FPL- Making Your First GW1 Draft |Top Picks For 21/22 Season
FPL 2021-22: Best Rotational Pairs of Teams for Alternate Easy Fixtures
Best Premium Defenders To Target For The 2021/22 FPL Season
FPL Season Review – How I became a Top 500 FPL Manager! | FPL Tips
FPL Scouting Report: Jadon Sancho | Is It Worth Getting Sancho in FPL?
Team to Target for Initial Few GW’s – Everton | FPL 21/22 Season
An In-Depth Look at Team Structure 1: Three Premium Assets
2021/22 FPL Season: FPL Price Changes Explained | FPL Guide
2021/22 Fantasy Premier League Season Rules, Tips | The Ultimate Guide
What is Effective Ownership(EO) in FPL? | FPL Guide 
A Guide to FPL Team Structure | 21/22 FPL Season (Pre Wildcard)
How Structure and Approach can Shape your 2021/22 FPL Season

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