FPL GW6 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW6 Deadline

The first midweek of the season was a rollercoaster with Haaland scoring another hat-trick, Salah leaving it late for his captainers and 4.5 Million budget hero Andreas Pereira getting 6 valuable points in a GW when a lot of managers had to turn to their bench. Few low owned played caught our eye as well with good performances in GW5 and in this blog we take a look at six Differential options(<10% TSB) for FPL GW6 including one Ultra-Differential pick(<1% TSB).

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FPL GW6 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Alexander Isak vs Crystal Palace (H), £7.0 Million, TSB: 2.6%

Newcastle record signing Isak started against Liverpool and scored as well at Anfield. In GW6 he’s up against Palace in what will be his first home game and would be eager to score in front of the home fans on his home debut. Even big teams like Man City have struggled at St James Park this season and it will be a tough game for Palace.

Palace have conceded 15 big chances and interestingly 53% of their chances are conceded from the central areas where Isak will operate which makes it a good matchup for Isak.

Last season in La Liga Isak had an npxG + xA of 0.49 per 90 and also averaged a healthy 1.35 shots per 90, with 45.1% of his shots being on target. He’s capable of replicating similar numbers in the PL and with the good run of fixtures Newcastle have in the upcoming gameweeks Isak could be a great differential third forward in your teams. The next three oppositions(Palace, West Ham, and Bournemouth) for Newcastle have kept a combined two CS from the first five gameweeks!

Further Read: FPL Player In Focus: Isak | Should You Buy Him For FPL GW6?

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Leandro Trossard vs Leicester City(H), TSB: 2.9%

Brighton attacker is the need of the hour considering their next 3 fixtures vs Leicester, Bournemouth and Crystal Palace- Three sides who rank 19th, 15th, 20th for Big chances conceded in the league so far. At this stage where the template is very much strong, it is important to attack the fixtures when the opportunity arises. Two Brighton attackers- Trossard and Gross are the prominent names discussed and we will take a look at them.

Trossard vs Gross Comparison

• Shots inside the box- 10 vs 5
• Expected Goals- 1.06 vs 1.62
• Big chance Involvements- 1 vs 6
• Expected Assists- 0.66 vs 1.71
• Penalty Box Touches- 28 vs 17

Gross mainly has the better underlying numbers- xG, xA and Big chance involvements. Trossard has better shots inside the box, penalty are touches and better heat map.

Both are good picks for the fixture run- Leicester(H), Bournemouth(A), Palace(H) till GW8. Gross is already owned by 22.5% managers whereas Trossard is a Differential option at just 2.9% TSB who will help you chase the upside. It all comes down to what type of team you have and how much risk you want to take. Perhaps getting both of them for this fixture run is not a bad option!

Further Read: FPL GW6 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Wesley Fofana vs West Ham(H), £4.4, TSB: 1.7%

Chelsea have had a troublesome start to the new season. But we have to take that into context. The transfer window has been a major distraction. The injuries and red cards haven’t helped either. Now, the window is closed, the squad is stabilized. There aren’t players who want to leave anymore. This could be the game changer for the Blues.

Last season in the Premier League, Chelsea were the second best defense in the league in terms of nPxGA. The season before that, since Tuchel came in, the Londoners had the best defense in the league under the same parameters. This shows over a long period of time that Tuchel’s Chelsea are very reliable at the back.

It isn’t, therefore, unfair to not look too much into the first five games of the season. Besides, five of the next seven fixtures for Chelsea has an FDR rating of 2. Furthermore, Fofana costs just £4.4. That is simply too hard to ignore. We’re essentially having a £4.4 defender from one of the best defenses in the league.

Another thing to keep in mind is the amount of goals Tuchel’s men score from set pieces. Last season, no team had more goal contributions from defenders than Chelsea. Couple that with Fofana’s threat in the air, he could bring in some attacking returns too. In the two games he has played so far, Fofana has an xG of 0.49, with 1 big chance.

Further Read: FPL Players And Teams To Target From FPL Gameweek 6 To 8

Kyle Walker-Peters vs Wolves(A), TSB: 1.4%

It should be a surprise seeing a Southampton defender on this list as they have conceded 9 goals from 5 games this season. They have also conceded 9 big chances(9th best), xGC- 7.62(10th best). Truth to be told, these numbers are not impressive. But what is not seen here is the teams they have faced in these 5 games- Tottenham, Leeds, Leicester, United and Chelsea. They also have managed a impressive 7 points from these games.

Their fixture take a very positive turn in the coming weeks with only one tough game vs City in GW10. 5 of their next 7 games have a fixture difficulty rating of 2.

We know how much potential Kyle Walker Peters has attacking wise and is an entertaining watch always. From 5 games this season, he has 3 shots inside the box, xG-0.55, 1 goal, xA- 0.28, 4 key passes which is not bad considering the fixtures they had. Don’t be surprised to see Walker Peters score more than 25 points from the next 4 games which should be a great number for your 4.5 million Differential Defender.

Further Read: Predicted GW6 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams

James Maddison vs Brighton(A), £7.9, TSB: 2.9%

We’ve waxed lyrical enough about Maddison in our blogs over the years. Quite simply, Leicester are much better with him than without him. Leicester showed small signs of returning back to form last night. Maddison came closest to scoring against Manchester United as Leicester suffered another defeat.

The Englishman has three attacking returns already this season (2G 1A), he would be looking to add on to that in the coming games, starting with Brighton. He has 2 goals and an assist in his career against the Seagulls.

Key Stat- Maddison

• Maddison has 7 goals, 6 assist- 13 FPL Goal contributions from his last 14 league games since GW30 of last season.
• During this same period, Leicester have scored 28 goals which means Maddison is involved in almost 50% of goals Leicester score. Leicester are struggling at 1 point from 5 games and 20th in the league and they will need Maddison to step up in this relatively easy fixture run.

Leicester’s upcoming fixtures make it a tempting proposition to pick their attackers. Seven of Leicester’s next eight games have an FDR rating of 2. Given that they have no European football this season, they can pretty much play the same eleven without much difficulty.

Further Read: FPL GW6 Transfer Trends, Best Transfer Combinations & Tips

FPL GW6 Ultra Differential Pick(<1% TSB)

Luis Sinisterra vs Brentford(A), £6.5, TSB: 0.4%

Luis Sinisterra’s introduction to the premier league was slightly delayed after an injury in pre-season but he hasn’t wasted any time to show us his worth. He started his first game vs Everton and scored his first goal. His heatmap and pass below are decent and the next two fixtures is what makes the Sinsterra pick interesting. Brentford and Forest are the next two opponents for Leeds and they are ranked 15th and 20th worst for shots conceded this season.

Sinisterra is also a direct Rodrigo replacement and could offer similar returns like Rodrigo in the upcoming run of games that favor Leeds United.

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW6

Top FPL Gameweek 6 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Best Rodrigo Replacements In FPL Ahead Of FPL GW6
Best FPL GW6 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL Players And Teams To Target From FPL Gameweek 6 To 8
FPL GW6 Transfer Trends, Best Transfer Combinations & Tips
FPL GW6 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC & AllAboutFPL
Predicted GW6 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
FPL Player In Focus: Isak | Should You Buy Him For FPL GW6?
FPL GW6 Wildcard Team & Drafts To Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL GW6 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

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