The Differential Article had a decent week where only 3 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points. This week, we will be aiming to bounce back with some strong scores this Gameweek.
- Nico O’Reilly – 1 Assist – 4 Points
- Matty Cash – 1 Clean Sheet – 6 Points
- Phil Foden – 2 Goals, 3 Bonus – 15 Points
That makes it 31/78 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.
In this article, we will be highlighting 5 Player who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Monday 1st December, 2025. Being a popular Free Hit week, we would be focusing on some popular Free Hit players, although they can still be bought with regular Transfers as well. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.
Link to all our FPL GW14 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
Top FPL GW14 Differential Picks
Elliot Anderson – Nottingham Forest – £5.4 Midfielder – 4.1 % TSB
- Anderson is having a brilliant season with him already earning an England call up. He has scored once and provided 2 Assists already. He is a 90 minute man and has not missed a single minute this season. He already has 56 Points and is Forest’s Highest FPL point scorer. There is also a small chance that he may take the next penalty, as Gibbs White has missed the last penalty(and is also an injury concern)
- His routes to points are diverse with Defcon points a staple of his diet. He has earned the additional 2 points 8 times this season and has finished on 11 Defcon 4 times. He even got 2 Bonus points last Gameweek without any attacking returns. Also speaking of consistency, he has earned 4 points in 5 of the last 6 Gameweeks.
Top Midfielders for DEFCON this season:
- Anderson- 175
- Xhaka- 146
- Szoboszlai- 145
- Caicedo- 140
- Bruno Fernandes- 137
- Forest face a Wolves team which is ranked in the Bottom 3 for Non Penalty xGC and Bottom 5 for Shots on Target. They have conceded the most Goals in the League (28) so far this season and are yet to keep a Clean Sheet and win a game of football. Their confidence is at rock-bottom.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Yankuba Minteh – Brighton – £6.2 Midfielder – 8.4 % TSB
While Anderson can be your safe, cheap and reliable Sarr replacement, If you are looking for a player with high ceiling it has to be Yankuba Minteh. The upcoming fixtures look really good with only the ARS(A) fixture in GW18 the difficult one. They play West Ham(twice), Burnley and Sunderland over the run of next 7 games.
Minteh has had 1 goal, 7 FPL Assists from 13 games this season. In fact, no player has more FPL assists than Minteh this season. While he has only one goal this season, Goals also should start coming in with Minteh taking 19 Shots inside the box(6th highest among Mids) and recording 2.29 xG. Minteh has also hit the DEFCON threshold once this season.
Top Players for FPL Assists this season:
With Mitoma going through an injury, Brighton have relied heavily on Minteh for the chance creation this season. With a good run of fixtures, he is definitely a good buy as he won’t be leaving to AFCON as Gambia have failed to qualify.
Further Read: Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
Maxence Lacroix – Crystal Palace – £5.1 Defender – 5.5 % TSB
- Palace stand out from a defensive perspective. They are ranked joint 2nd for fewest Goals conceded (11) and have got the 2nd most Clean Sheets this season (6). Add to that Burnley are the Bottom ranked team for Shots, Shots in the Box, xG and Non Penalty xG. They are ranked in the Bottom 3 for Shots on Target and ranked in the Bottom 4 for Big Chances. They have scored only 15 Goals (5th worst in the League), which could make this a fixture to target for your Palace defenders.
- Lacroix has been a Defcon monster having only been outscored by Senesi in terms of Total Defcon among Defenders.
- He has earned the additional 2 points in 8 of the 13 Gameweeks. Plus he carries good goal threat having already taken 5 Shots in the Box, 1 Shot on Target, got 2 Big Chances, carved out 0.98 xG, played 3 Key passes and created 2 Big Chances. Burnley are also ranked the 2nd Bottom team for Attempts conceded from Headed chances, which could increase Lacroix’s chances of a goal this Gameweek.
Further Read: FPL GW14 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Josko Gvardiol – Manchester City – £5.8 Defender – 5.8 % TSB
While O’Reilly has been the trending City defender and rightly so due to his higher ceiling and attacking threat, Gvardiol offers a role reliable choice in terms of minutes during this festive period. Despite his attacking threat getting reduced this season as he has been playing at CB, Gvardiol is still a good threat from set pieces.
From 9 games this season, Gvardiol has had 7 Shots, Created 3 chances and has recorded 1.4 xGI.
While the upcoming fixtures are good for Manchester City, Their defensive numbers have been solid this season. They are ranked only behind Arsenal for Expected Goals Conceded this season.
Manchester City Defense Rank this season:
- Shots inside the box conceded- 3rd
- xGC- 2nd
- Big Chances Conceded- 5th
- Goals Conceded- 4th
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Keinan Dewsbury Hall – Everton – £4.9 Midfielder – 3.6 % TSB
Can you guess the Midfielder with most FPL Points over the last 4 matches? Not Saka, Not Salah, Not Mbeumo. It’s Dewsbury Hall with 31 FPL Points over the last 4 matches courtesy 2 goals and 1 assist. Throughout the season, Dewsbury Hall has got 3 goals, 2 assists and 55 Points from 12 games averaging more than 4.6 FPL Points per 90 minutes.
His underlying data has been good as well with 14 Shots, 19 Chances created, 5 Big Chance Involvements and 4.3 xGI from 12 games this season. He has also hit the DEFCON threshold in two of these games.
Top Midfielders(6.0 Million and below) for Expected Goal Involvement:
- Tavernier- 4.5
- Dewsbury Hall- 4.3
- Dango- 3.7
- Anthony- 3.6
Key Stat: Dewsbury Hall has been involved directly in 42% of Everton goals which is a Talismanic number.
If you are looking for a Cheap Budget Midfield option, Dewsbury Hall is easily one of the best options for your 5th Midfielder slot as also has his share of corners and set-pieces.
Further Read: Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
Ultra Differential Pick for FPL GW14 (Under 1 % Ownership)
Malick Thiaw- Newcastle- £4.9 Defender – 1.0% TSB
Malick Thiaw is coming on the back of a massive 16 pointer vs Everton in GW13 courtesy 2 goals. Even though this pick might sound like a haul chasing pick, Both form and fixtures are on the Newcastle Defender’s side. Newcastle are ranked 4th least for xGC this season and only behind Arsenal, City and Liverpool. Thiaw is clearly one of the target men on set pieces with 9 Shots, 4 Big Chance Involvements, 1.5 xGI from 10 matches.
Thiaw is also good for DEFCON averaging 9.09 DEFCON per 90 minutes.
This is a good entry point to get into Newcastle defense. Tottenham have won only one out of their last 7 games in all competitions. Tottenham are also ranked 19th for xG in the league over the last 6 matches. In fact, Newcastle’s next opponents- Tottenham, Burnley and Sunderland are ranked in Bottom 3 for xG over the last 6 matches and scream for clean sheet points.
Newcastle’s next 3 Opponents Attack Rank(Last 6 Matches):
| Shots inside the Box Rank | xG Rank | Goals Scored Rank | |
| GW14 – TOT(H) | 19th | 19th | 15th |
| GW15- BUR (H) | 20th | 20th | 15th |
| GW16- SUN(A) | 14th | 18th | 9th |
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW14
FPL GW14 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 14 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW14 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
FPL GW14 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW14 blogs, including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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