FPL GW14 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Welcome to our FPL GW14 Scout Picks blog. Our fantastic scout @FPLDaggaFC (Do follow him on Twitter) is back with his Scout picks for Gameweek 14, as always our Scout picks are backed up by eye test, stats, and analysis.

Last season our scout picks won 21.5 vs 15.5 against the Official FPL Scout picks. This season we have taken a 8-5 lead heading into GW14.

Scout PicksGW1GW2GW3GW4GW5GW6GW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12GW13Overall
AllAboutFPL Scout Picks786259794258516095684182398
Official FPL Scout Picks7646489533688857102433380494

Link to all our FPL GW14 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW14 Scout Picks

FPL GW14 Scout Picks – Goalkeeper

Flekken is our goalkeeper in the scout picks this week. Brentford are up against Luton at home and have the joint second-highest odds of a clean sheet this week(48%) only behind Arsenal(55%). Luton have scored only six goals in seven away games this season which is the joint 3rd lowest in the league. There’s a high chance that Flekken bags a clean sheet in FPL GW14.


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FPL GW14 Scout Picks – Defenders

FPL GW14 Scout Picks - Defenders

Brentford are 8th for the lowest goals conceded(18) and xGC(18.20) so far this season in spite of playing a lot of tough games already.

PlayerPriceShots
Inside Box
Big ChancesxGG
Matty Cash£5.11753.522
Pau Torres £4.6640.842
Ethan Pinnock£4.6941.281
Nayef Aguerd£4.5830.871
Tom Lockyer £4.3730.991
Defenders sorted by big chances so far this season, ~Data from Fantasy Football Hub.

Pinnock is joint 2nd for big chances(4) amongst defenders so far this season only behind Matty Cash. He’s also known for his aerial threat, having scored a headed goal already this season. Luton meanwhile are 3rd for headed goal attempts conceded(42), 3rd for goal attempts from set plays conceded(63) and highest for set play expected goals conceded(5.6, Set pay xGC) amongst all teams so far this season making it a great matchup for Pinnock.

The Gunners have conceded only 10 goals in 13 games(The lowest in the league). Their xGC of 10.66 is also the lowest in the league so far this season. Arsenal also have the highest odds of a clean sheet this week(55%) against Wolves who’ll be without two key midfielders, Joao Gomes and Lemina due to suspension. Saliba is a no-brainer option for GW13 and beyond.

Tsimikas wraps up the defensive picks in our scout picks this week. Liverpool are up against Fulham at home in GW14, Fulham are a poor away from home scoring only 6 goals(3rd lowest in the league) in seven away games from an xG of 7.17 which is the 4th lowest in the league in away games.

Liverpool also have the joint second-highest odds of a clean sheet this week(48%) and Tsimikas also offers a good assist potential as well.

Further Read: FPL GW14 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats

FPL GW14 Scout Picks – Midfielders

FPL GW14 Scout Picks - Midfielders

Mo Salah is Top the midfield pick for GW14 with a juicy fixture vs Fulham at Anfield. He has 10 goals, 5 assists, and 106 points from 13 games averaging 8.15 points/game. Salah(12.57) tops the xGI chart among Midfielders as well. He is also only behind Haaland(14.38) for xGI among all players. Salah’s 14 Big Chances is 2nd overall(only behind Haaland) and 11 Big Chances created is Top Among all players.

Fulham meanwhile are defensively poor away from home, conceding 22 big chances and an xGC of 14.55 in seven away games which is the 2nd highest in the League. He is our captain choice as well this week, Watch out for our Captaincy Metrics(which should be up soon) before locking in your captain.

Mbeumo is top for NPxGI(9.60) amongst midfielders so far this season which shows that he’s not just a penalty merchant. He’s up against Luton Town who are 2nd for most xGC(26.80) conceded and joint 4th for most goals(23) conceded so far this season.

The record in away games is even worse for Luton, their 32 big chances conceded and 17.55 xGC is comfortably the highest in the league. Meanwhile, Mbeumo is 2nd for big chances(12) amongst midfielders, only behind Mo Salah so far this season(14).

Saka has been silent in the league for a while but crucially he’s not blanking, in fact, he has blanked only in two games this season. He is up against Wolves at home who will be travelling without Gomes & Lemina in midfield due to suspension.

Saka also has a great record at the Emirates having not blanked at home so far this season. Also, only Salah & Mbeumo have a better home xGI than Saka. Arsenal are picking up attacking form and scored six goals in the Champions League game against Lens with Saka scoring and assisting as well!

Kudus in the absence of Bowen emerged as the star for the Hammers, assisting both the goals in the 2-1 comeback win over Burnley in GW13. He’ll be up against Palace who’ll be without Cheick Doucoure who has suffered a long-term injury against Luton in GW13 and will be a big miss for the Eagles in midfield.

Note: Kudus has not travelled to the midweek Europa league due to illness. So have an eye on the Latest Press Conference Updates before getting him in.

Heung Min Son registered back-to-back double-digit hauls in GW9 and GW10 but has since blanked in three straight games. However, he has been unlucky not to have scored and we all know that he’s an elite finisher. We fully back him to be back amgonst the goals even though Spurs and Son are upagainst Man City(A) in GW14.

Spurs and Son also have a good record vs Man City, In the last seven games between the two teams Spurs have won five games with Son scoring three goals and picking up two assists.

Further Read: FPL Fixture Swing Analysis from Gameweek 14

FPL GW14 Scout Picks – Forwards

FPL GW14 Scout Picks - Forwards

Darwin has started the last four league games and seems to have become a regular starter now, the injury to Jota means Darwin could have an extended run in the starting 11 over the festive period. Darwin has the same number of big chances(14) as Salah who has played 450 minutes more than Darwin.

Salah and Darwin also have an excellent chemistry between them having created 29 chances between each other in the league this season. Diaby and Watkins are the next duo with 18 chances created between them.

Fulham also conceded more chances through the center where Darwin operates, they have conceded 39 chances through the middle, which is higher than their chances conceded in the left flank(35) and right flank(33).

Top players for Big Chances
Top players for Big Chances ~ Fantasy Football Hub. For Opta Stats, Player Comparisons, Predicted FPL Points, FPL Planner, Tickers, etc.- Subscribe with a 30% discount here.

Haaland has proved his doubters wrong with two 16-point hauls in the last four Gameweeks coming against Manchester United and Chelsea. He was also on the scoresheet against Liverpool so scoring in a big game should not be difficult for him. Haaland has 14 goals, and 3 assists from 13 games this season and comfortably tops all the underlying data like xG, Big Chances, and Shots inside the box. His presence in the scout picks needs no further justification!

Further Read: FPL GW14 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats

Full FPL GW14 Scout Picks Team

Full FPL GW14 Scout Picks Team

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW14

Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON
FPL GW14 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW14 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas
FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Best FPL GW14 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL GW14 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
FPL GW14 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
FPL GW14 Wildcard Guide- Best Drafts and Players to Target
FPL Fixture Swing Analysis from Gameweek 14
FPL GW14 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More 
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 23/24 Season 

Link to all our FPL GW14 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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23 | Engineer | coder | Blogger Brainchild and an integral part of ALLABOUTFPL Ardent Man city fan who gets excited when someone goes Aguerooooo. Codes during the day and blogs during the night and has just one wish to retire early and take Allaboutfpl to the big stage:)
23 | Engineer | coder | Blogger Brainchild and an integral part of ALLABOUTFPL Ardent Man city fan who gets excited when someone goes Aguerooooo. Codes during the day and blogs during the night and has just one wish to retire early and take Allaboutfpl to the big stage:)
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