FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

Out of the Top 25 Scorers of the last GW, only Saka had an ownership of greater than 15%. That’s the kind of GW we had. So worry not if your team didn’t perform as per expectation. December is upon us with a crazily congested fixture line-up. Lots of planning to do for us, managers.

So, let’s start with our BUY-HOLD-SELL article for FPL Gameweek 14, sponsored by…. Well, nobody. We are poor, but you can help here if you want 😊

Link to all our FPL GW14 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to BUY

Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) – MID, Liverpool – 48.5% TSB

In GW14, Salah faces Fulham at home who has not kept a Clean Sheet in the league for the last two months. This season, Fulham defence ranks

• 16^th for xG Conceded
• 16^th for Big Chances Conceded
• 17^th for xGNP Conceded
• 17^th for Shots on Target Conceded
• 17^th for Big Chances Conceded

Mr. FPL has blanked only twice this season (once against Luton, much to the frustration of his owners and captainers that GW). Salah has been clinical this season (tell me something new) but he has been even more ruthless at home

Salah So Far	Overall	Home Games
Shots	4th	1st
Shots on Target	2nd	1st
Big Chances	3rd	1st
xG	2nd	1st
xGI	2nd	1st
Goals	2nd	1st
FPL Points	1st	1st

Hence, the Egyptian Pharaoh is a Top Buy this week

---

---

Bryan Mbeumo (£7.0m) – MID, Brentford – 27.4% TSB

Among midfielders, Mbeumo ranks

• 2^nd for xG
• 2^nd for xGNP
• 2^nd for xG Open Play
• 2^nd for xA
• 2^nd for xGI
• 2^nd for Big Chances
• 3^rd for Shots
• 3^rd for Shots on Target
• 3^rd for Shots in the Box
• 3^rd for Successful Crosses

He faces Luton at home, who are ranked

• 19^th for Shots Conceded
• 19^th for Shots in the Box Conceded
• 19^th for xG Conceded
• 19^th for xGNP Conceded
• 20^th for Clean Sheets
• 20^th for Big Chances Conceded
• 20^th for Shots from Set Pieces Conceded

The last metric is important as Mbeumo is Brentford’s leading man for penalties, free kicks, and corners

Even beyond this GW, Brentford has a mouth-watering fixture run, despite blanking in GW18

Go for Mbeumo to have the early edge over your mini-league rivals.

Further Read: FPL GW14 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

FPL GW 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to HOLD

Bukayo Saka (£8.8m) – MID, Arsenal – 53.6% TSB

Ever since his comeback post missing the game against Man City, Saka’s underlying stats have been quite shocking to be honest

GW	Opponent	xG
GW13	BRE (A)	0.00
GW12	BUR (H)	0.15
GW11	NEW (A)	0.02
GW10	SHU (H)	0.00
GW9	CHE (A)	0.00

In fact, during this period, Saka is not in the Top 20 FPL point scorers. So the frustration of Saka owners is understandable as he is heavy on the pocket.

However, if you slice the data, a different picture emerges. Saka faces Wolves at home. Saka has not blanked at home so far this season. He is also in a rich vein of form having 7 goal contributions in 5 UCL games, more than anyone else in UCL this season.

Wolves on the other hand has not kept a Clean Sheet post GW3, conceding 8 goals in the last 4 games.

So, HOLD your emotions and HOLD Saka. For the next 2 GWs, Arsenal’s fixtures are ranked 1^st (easiest) in FDR as they face Wolves (H) and Luton (A)

Further Read: Best FPL Gameweek 14 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Kieran Trippier (£7.0m) – DEF, Newcastle – 49.6% TSB

Two consecutive blanks have led more than 57,000 managers to sell Trippier. However, despite the injuries, Newcastle’s defence is still elite. They almost held PSG goalless in the midweek UCL game. In the league so far, Newcastle’s defence ranks (lesser the better)

• 1^st for Big Chances Conceded
• 2^nd for Clean Sheets
• 3^rd for xG Conceded
• 3^rd for xGNP Conceded

Needless to say Trippier is the talisman of not just the Newcastle defence but also of the Newcastle team as well. He is the highest-scoring defender by quite a distance. Among defenders, he ranks

• 1^st for Big Chances Created
• 1^st for Final 3^rd Passes
• 1^st for Crosses
• 1^st for Key Passes
• 1^st for xA
• 1^st for Assists
• 1^st for Corners Taken
• 1^st for Free Kicks into the Box

The last two metrics are of key importance as Trippier faces Man Utd at home this GW – a team which ranks 19^th for shots from set pieces conceded. So Trippier has the potential to haul at both ends, given Man Utd’s struggle to score goals.

Lastly and most importantly, Newcastle are ranked 1^st for FDR between GW 14-19

So HOLD Trippier

Further Read: FPL GW14 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats

FPL GW 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to SELL

Julián Álvarez (£7.1m) – FWD, Man City Villa – 30.7% TSB

Álvarez has been a disappointment ever since GW8

The Decline of Álvarez	GW 1-7	GW 8-13
FPL Points	46	22
Points/ game	6.6	3.7

Deep diving into what might have led to this decline throws up a picture that his role has possibly changed a little

A Deeper Role?	GW 1-7	GW 8-13
xG	2.52	0.99
xGI	3.65	2.51
Touches in Opponent’s Half	287	251
Touches in Final Third	215	186
Passes Received in Opponent’s Half	178	156
Passes Received in Final Third	121	104
Goal Attempts	22	14
Chances Created	19	11
Goals	3	1
Assists	3	1

In this period (GW 8-13), among his teammates, cheaper players like Doku and Bernardo have outscored him. If we take only MFs and FWDs, more than 30 players have scored more FPL points than the young Argentine.

So it’s best to sell Álvarez and look at someone like an Isak (same price) or Solanke (cheaper alternative).

Further Read: FPL Fixture Swing Analysis from Gameweek 14

Eberechi Eze (£6.2m) – MID, Crystal Palace – 5.3% TSB

Eze bagged an assist and a goal after his comeback from injury. But in arguably the most attractive fixture against Luton, he suffered another injury. Palace fear the forward could be out for the rest of the year. It’s advisable not to keep hold of someone with that price tag in the busy Christmas period. There are alternatives everywhere at that price point – Bryan Mbeumo, Moussa Diaby, Bernardo Silva, Cole Palmer etc. with good fixtures or good form or both.

---

If you like our content do consider supporting us by contributing to the website. ALLABOUTFPL is run by the community and for the community. All our content is and will always remain free.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW14

Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON
FPL GW14 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW14 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas
FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Best FPL GW14 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL GW14 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
FPL GW14 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
FPL GW14 Wildcard Guide- Best Drafts and Players to Target
FPL Fixture Swing Analysis from Gameweek 14
FPL GW14 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More 
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 23/24 Season 

Link to all our FPL GW14 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Thanks for reading the ‘FPL Gameweek 14 Transfer Tips’ blog.
Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs and updates. Also, follow our 150,000+ community on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates.

What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 14 of the 2023/24 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering player comparisons, differential picks, transfer trends, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, eye test report, fixture analysis, captaincy metrics, FPL GW14 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

FPL GW14 FPL Deadline Countdown

Login and set your team for FPL GW14 now!