If you thought FPL was unpredictable, last week just laughed back at you.
Liverpool have gone from heavy metal to heavy meltdown — nine defeats in their last twelve across competitions, a slide no one saw hitting this hard. Man United aren’t far behind, crawling through form with just two points from their last three. Even City — usually football’s cheat code — dropped both their last two games across competitions. Everything we thought we knew flipped.
And then there’s Arsenal.
- Top of the Premier League.
- Top of the Champions League group.
- Carabao Cup Quarter-Finals.
While the giants stumbled, the Gunners marched like a machine.
And in our world of FPL, FPL reflected the chaos — or maybe caused it.
The top 17 most-captained assets all blanked.
Only 3 of the top 20 point scorers were owned by more than 10% of managers (Eze, Muñoz and Enzo!). If you survived the carnage, take a bow. If you didn’t — you’re in the other 98% with the rest of us.
So here we are. A bizarre week behind us, a big one ahead. When nothing goes to script, your decisions matter more than ever.
So, let’s start with our BUY-HOLD-SELL article for FPL Gameweek 13, sponsored by …. Well, nobody. We are poor, but you can help here if you want ?
Link to all our FPL GW13 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL Gameweek 13 Transfer Tips: Two Players to BUY
PS – I am assuming everyone has Haaland in their teams. If not, he is your priority buy
Igor Thiago (£6.5m) – FWD, Brentford – 16.9% TSB
Igor Thiago is the biggest FPL story of the month — a breakout forward who has quietly become the most reliable source of points in the game. If you’re still doubting whether he’s the real deal, the numbers scream otherwise.
Since GW9, among ALL forwards, Thiago ranks:
| Stat | Rank |
| FPL Points | 1st |
| Goals Scored | 1st |
| Goal Involvements | 1st |
| Shots on Target | 2nd |
| Big Chances | 2nd |
| xG | 2nd |
| xGI | 2nd |
| xPts | 2nd |
He is now the 2nd highest scoring FWD overall this season — and it’s not stopping here. Brentford face Burnley, Leeds and Wolves in the next five, all of which fall into the “attack them” category for strikers. His ownership is climbing rapidly — not having Thiago now may hurt you soon.If there’s a forward transfer this week that balances form, data and fixtures — Thiago is the move.
Further Read: FPL GW13 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Morgan Rogers (£6.9m) – MID, Aston Villa – 7.1% TSB
Morgan Rogers is the hidden gem of GW13 — a player whose numbers are rising just as the fixtures line up perfectly. He faces Wolves next, a defence in complete freefall:
| Wolves Defensive Rank | Value |
| Goals Conceded | 20th (worst in league) |
| NPxGC | 18th |
| xGC | 17th |
| xCS | 17th |
| Clean Sheets | 0 (only team with none) |
They’ve lost 5 in a row, and look mentally and structurally broken. This is exactly the kind of opponent an in-form midfielder can punish — and Rogers is in form.
Since GW6, Rogers has notched up 3 goals + 2 assists.
He’s taking up advanced inside-channel positions, popping up in the box, and linking beautifully with Watkins. Despite starting the season slowly — collecting just 3 points from their first 5 games — Villa have turned the tide in style, now sitting 4th in the table after scoring 14 goals in their next 7 matches (second only to Man City). At just £6.9m, you’re essentially buying a starter in one of the league’s best offences, with form + fixture + role all aligned.
If you’re looking for the next bandwagon before it becomes one, Morgan Rogers is it.
Further Read: FPL GW13 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
FPL GW13 Transfer Tips: Two Players to HOLD
Virgil van Dijk (£6.0m) – DEF, Liverpool – 26.7% TSB
Virgil van Dijk is currently the 2nd most transferred-out unflagged defender, but this might be a case of panic selling more than strategic thinking. Yes, Liverpool have looked shaky — 9 losses in their last 12 across competitions paints an ugly picture — but they’re simply too good a side to keep sinking at this rate. Regression towards stability feels inevitable.
Van Dijk remains central to whatever turnaround happens. As captain, he’s a constant 90-minute man, and his value isn’t limited to just clean sheets — bonus accumulation, set-piece threat, and aerial presence make him a points magnet even when Liverpool aren’t flawless.
And then there are the fixtures.
Over the next 8 GWs, Liverpool face:
West Ham • Sunderland • Leeds (x2) • Brighton • Spurs • Wolves • Fulham
It’s arguably the best run in the league, and if Liverpool are going to click again — this is the window. Jumping off just before a favourable swing could backfire.Verdict: Hold. Give the captain this run — he could punish sellers quickly.
Further Read: Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
Jean-Philippe Mateta (£8.1m) – FWD, Crystal Palace – 30.2% TSB
Mateta is the second-most sold forward this week and, on the surface, the frustration is totally legitimate: three blanks in the last four GWs and five blanks in seven is a rotten run for any striker. But before you trade him out in a huff, take a breath — the fixtures and context suggest this slump may be more temporary than terminal.
First, the fixtures aren’t the problem right now — they’re the solution. He meets Man United next, a defence that has managed only one clean sheet all season, followed by Burnley — a backline currently ranked 20th for NPxGC, xGC and xCS. Those are the kind of opponents who hand chances to forwards, not take them away. In plain English: the pitch is set for Mateta to reappear on the scoresheet.
So hold Mateta at least for FPL Gameweek 13 & 14.
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FPL GW13 Transfer Tips: Two Players to SELL
João Pedro (£7.5m) – FWD, Chelsea – 46.5% TSB
The Brazilian continues to flatter to deceive — just two attacking returns since GW5 is nowhere near enough for a forward in his price and minutes bracket. Chelsea’s purple patch has faded, and the fixtures turn ice-cold too. In fact, Chelsea rank 17th in Fixture Difficulty Rating over the next five GWs, making Pedro a tough hold.
What makes the decision clearer? Up next is Arsenal — the league’s elite defence, boasting an xGC of just 6.19 (the next best is almost double at 12.9). They also sit top for Clean Sheets and Goals Conceded, meaning chances for Pedro could be rare.
Verdict: Sell him and reinvest the funds into a more explosive pick.
Further Read: FPL GW13 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
Moisés Caicedo (£6.1m) – MID, Chelsea – 22.8% TSB
Caicedo is the second most sold midfielder this week, and it’s easy to see why. Despite being owned by nearly 23% of managers (4th most owned midfielder in the game), the upcoming fixtures offer little relief. Much like João Pedro, he runs into a rough schedule that limits both ceiling and consistency.
More importantly, you have better options at the same price. Minteh has outscored Caicedo 46–31 over the last eight Gameweeks, while also boasting a far more inviting fixture swing. If not Minteh, there’s Doku — who enters a mouth-watering run against Leeds, Fulham, Sunderland (twice), West Ham and Forest in the next seven GWs. Both offer more explosiveness, upside, and form than what Caicedo currently brings.
Verdict: High ownership + low returns + better alternatives = time to move on.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW13
FPL GW13 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Top FPL Gameweek 13 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW13 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
FPL Gameweek 13 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
FPL GW13 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
FPL GW13 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
Best GWs to Use Your Free Hit & Triple Captain Chips (GW13–19)
FPL GW13 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW13 blogs, including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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