Top FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

We are back with the Fantasy Premier League, after a long break where a certain little Argentine immortalized his name in the history books. As FPL is back, so are we with our captaincy pick. It’s time to dust off the dirt and get into the game once more, as we help you evaluate the best captaincy option for your Fantasy teams for Gameweek 17.

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 12/15 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 264 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2)

Link to all our FPL Gameweek 17 blogs including Confirmed Double Gameweek announcements, Initial GW17 Drafts, Teams and Players to target, Predicted GW17 Lineups, Differentials, players to target, fixture analysis, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW17 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

FPL GW17 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

Without any surprises, Manchester City’s Erling Haaland tops the polls with 48.8% of the total votes. 

He’s followed by Tottenham’s Harry Kane (11.9%) and Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford (11%). The candidates list is rounded up by the Egyptian Mohammed Salah (9%) and Kevin DeBruyne (9%).

Further Read: FPL Players and Teams to Target from FPL Gameweek 17

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 17 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 17 Captain picks

Erling Haaland tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 25 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 4.53, as the striker leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration. 

Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah comes in behind Haaland, with 20 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big chances and an xG total of 3.81.

Harry Kane just about gets beaten to third place with 7 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big Chances and an xG of 3.25.
Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford with 13 shots inside the box, 6 Big Chances and xG of 2.11 comes fourth as Haaland’s teammate Kevin DeBruyne to fourth spot, who himself has 5 Shots Inside the Box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.52.

Further Read: Best 8 Million FPL Midfielders Comparison ahead of FPL GW17

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Liverpool have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 72 Shots Inside the Box and 23 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 10.33, which is the highest of all teams in question. 

Manchester City come in second behind their rivals. Although the shots volume is higher than United’s at 75 Shots Inside the Box, their 15 Big Chances in Total and xG at 9.79 are actually fewer, pushing them to second in our tables. 

Tottenham come in behind City with 70 Shots Inside the Box, 18 Big Chances in total, and an xG of 9.64.  
Lastly, Manchester United have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams involved in our picks, with 51 Shots Inside the Box, 16 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 7.61.

Further Read: Best Forwards To Consider For FPL GW17 | Price Point Wise

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW17

 Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW17

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. 

Manchester City lead the teams with a 91% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also have a 52% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this week.

Manchester United come in behind City, with an 89% of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 44% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this Gameweek.

Liverpool have been given an 83% scoring at least 1 Goal this GW, while their odds to score at least 2.5 goals this Gameweek is at a lowly (by their standards) 31%. 

Tottenham come last of the teams, with an 80% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this gameweek, and a 27% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in their game against Leeds this Gameweek.

Further Read: FPL GW17 Tips- Preview And Dilemmas Answered

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks

In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. 

I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option. 

Erling Haaland has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 79%, while his Projected Points stand at 9.2 for the week.

Harry Kane has an Anytime Returns Projection at 77%, and the highest Projected Points at 8.8 this week, just behind the Manchester City talisman.

Kevin De Bruyne has an Anytime Returns Projections of 69% while the Projected Points stand at 7.1, which puts him in third place. 

Marcus Rashford has an Anytime Returns Projections at 60% and Projected Points at 6.4, as he manages to put Mohammed Salah last, with an Anytime Returns Projections at 54% and Projected Points at 6.0 .

Further Read: Best FPL GW17 Drafts with Fixture Analysis & Players to Target

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 17 Captaincy metric analysis

Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 17 Captaincy metric analysis

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric. 

Unsurprisingly, it is Erling Haaland, who comes out on top with a CRF Value of 5.

His teammate, Kevin De Bruyne with a CRF value of 11 comes second behind Haaland, showing why he is such a strong pick again for the restart.

Mohammed Salah only manages to finish third with a CRF value of 12, who beats Harry Kane (CRF value 14) as Marcus Rashford rounds up this analysis, with a CRF value of 16. 

Haaland tops the GW17 metrics with a CRF of 5 making him the best FPL Gameweek 17 captaincy choice

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW17

Drafts and Fixture Analysis/Players to Target

Best FPL GW17 Drafts with Fixture Analysis & Players to Target
FPL Players and Teams to Target from FPL Gameweek 17
A Guide To FPL GW17 Team Structure With Drafts | FPL Restart
Five Must-Own Players to Have in your FPL GW17 Team

Best FPL GW17 Upside Picks from Teams Outside the ‘Top 7’
Dissecting The Twitter FPL GW17 Wildcard Template Team

Hot topics & Must-Read Content for FPL GW17

Latest Injury news and Press Conference Updates for all 20 teams at one place
FPL GW17 Scout Picks based on Stats and Matchups
FPL GW17 Differential Picks To Consider(<10% TSB)

Fantasy Premier League- Expected Goals Allowed(xGA) Table GW17-23
Top FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Fantasy Premier League- Expected Goals(XG) Table GW17-GW23
FPL GW17 Tips- Preview And Dilemmas Answered

Position Wise Analysis

Best FPL Goalkeepers to Consider From FPL GW17 | GK Analysis
Best 8 Million FPL Midfielders Comparison ahead of FPL GW17
Best Forwards To Consider For FPL GW17 | Price Point Wise
Best Midfielders To Consider For FPL GW17 | Price Point Wise
Best FPL GW17 Defenders to Target from Each Price Range

Team Previews

Man City GW1-16 Review & Best Man City FPL assets from GW17
Best Newcastle Players to Consider from FPL GW17

FPL Gameweek 17/FPL Restart Stream

Check our FPL Restart stream which covers fixture analysis, players to target, double gameweek news, suspensions, and more with the latest relevant information. Do consider subscribing to our channel, it would mean a lot to us:)

Timestamps added for easy viewing!

Available as Podcasts on all popular audio platforms including as a video podcast on Spotify: Listen Now(Automatically opens in your preferred audio platform)

General FPL GW17 News and Updates

FPL GW17 Restart- Confirmed Double GWs, Injuries & Suspensions
FPL GW17 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW17 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW17 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW17

Drafts and Fixture Analysis/Players to Target

Best FPL GW17 Drafts with Fixture Analysis & Players to Target
FPL Players and Teams to Target from FPL Gameweek 17
A Guide To FPL GW17 Team Structure With Drafts | FPL Restart
Five Must-Own Players to Have in your FPL GW17 Team

Best FPL GW17 Upside Picks from Teams Outside the ‘Top 7’
Dissecting The Twitter FPL GW17 Wildcard Template Team

Hot topics & Must-Read Content for FPL GW17

Latest Injury news and Press Conference Updates for all 20 teams at one place
FPL GW17 Scout Picks based on Stats and Matchups
FPL GW17 Differential Picks To Consider(<10% TSB)

Fantasy Premier League- Expected Goals Allowed(xGA) Table GW17-23
Top FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Fantasy Premier League- Expected Goals(XG) Table GW17-GW23
FPL GW17 Tips- Preview And Dilemmas Answered

Position Wise Analysis

Best FPL Goalkeepers to Consider From FPL GW17 | GK Analysis
Best 8 Million FPL Midfielders Comparison ahead of FPL GW17
Best Forwards To Consider For FPL GW17 | Price Point Wise
Best Midfielders To Consider For FPL GW17 | Price Point Wise
Best FPL GW17 Defenders to Target from Each Price Range

Team Previews

Man City GW1-16 Review & Best Man City FPL assets from GW17
Best Newcastle Players to Consider from FPL GW17

FPL Gameweek 17/FPL Restart Stream

Check our FPL Restart stream which covers fixture analysis, players to target, double gameweek news, suspensions, and more with the latest relevant information. Do consider subscribing to our channel, it would mean a lot to us:)

Timestamps added for easy viewing!

Available as Podcasts on all popular audio platforms including as a video podcast on Spotify: Listen Now(Automatically opens in your preferred audio platform)

General FPL GW17 News and Updates

FPL GW17 Restart- Confirmed Double GWs, Injuries & Suspensions
FPL GW17 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW17 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW17 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Thanks for reading the FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs and updates. Also, follow our  110,000+community on InstagramFacebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates. Link to all our FPL Gameweek 17 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best wildcard team, chip strategy, differentials, and more.

What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 17 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering player comparisons, differential picks, transfer trends, player-to-target, best drafts with pros and cons, fixture analysis, captaincy metrics, FPL GW17 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

ALLABOUTFPL Newsletter
AllaboutFPL is rated as the 3rd best Fantasy Football blog in the world by Football content awards, So make sure you don’t miss out on our content

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

FPL Gameweek 17 FPL Deadline Countdown

Login and set your team for FPL GW17 now!

What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 17 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering player comparisons, differential picks, transfer trends, player-to-target, best drafts with pros and cons, fixture analysis, captaincy metrics, FPL GW17 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

ALLABOUTFPL Newsletter
AllaboutFPL is rated as the 3rd best Fantasy Football blog in the world by Football content awards, So make sure you don’t miss out on our content

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

FPL Gameweek 17 FPL Deadline Countdown

Login and set your team for FPL GW17 now!

The following two tabs change content below.

AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
Back To Top