We are back with the captaincy article after a certain Egyptian did exactly what everyone thought, and hoped for. We are now entering a Gameweek where there are blanks for popular FPL teams and a double for a relegation threatened team. Many FPL managers are using their Free Hit chips (so am I) and our captaincy metric should give a lot of important insight, with maybe a surprise today in our captains pick. Check out the article to know who topped the FPL GW27 Captaincy Picks and Metrics.
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 27 Blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best free hit team, FPL chip strategy, players to target, differentials, and more.
FPL GW27 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
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Burnley’s Wout Weghorst tops the polls with 48% of the total votes. He’s followed by Tottenham’s Hueng-Min Son (14%) and Manchester United’s Bruno Fernandes (11%). The candidates list is rounded up by Harry Kane (10%) and Kevin De Bruyne (4%).
Further Read: FPL GW27 Free Hit Team & Drafts to Consider | Free Hit Guide
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 27 Captain picks
Harry Kane tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 17 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 4.09, the striker leads the Attacking Stats factor for players.
Teammate Hueng-Min Son comes in behind Kane, with 11 Shots Inside the Box, 2 Big chances and an xG total of 1.75.
Bruno Fernandes just about gets beaten to third place with 7 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big Chances and an xG of 1.71.
Wout Weghorst with 7 shots inside the box, 1 Big Chances and xG of 0.91 and just manages to beat Kevin DeBruyne to fourth spot, who himself has 5 Shots Inside the Box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.55.
Further Read: Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW27 ~ Sterling vs Mahrez and two more!
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
Manchester United have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 65 Shots Inside the Box and 20 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 12.59, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Manchester City come in second behind their neighbors. Although the shots volume is higher than United’s at 73 Shots Inside the Box, their and 18 Big Chances in Total and xG at 12.54 are actually fewer, pushing them to second in our tables.
Tottenham come in behind Liverpool with 51 Shots Inside the Box, 15 Big Chances in total and an xG of 9.68.
Lastly, Burnley have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams involved in our picks, with 35 Shots Inside the Box, 6 Big Chances in Total and an xG of 4.89.
Further Read: FPL GW27 Differential Picks to Target in Your Team | Free Hit Special
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW27
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Manchester City lead the teams with a 90% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also have a 49% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this week.
Burnley come in behind City, with an 87% of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 65% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this Gameweek, over their doubles.
Manchester United have been given an 89% scoring at least 1 Goal this GW, while their odds to score at least 2.5 goals this Gameweek is a decent 45%.
Tottenham come last of the teams, with an 80% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this gameweek, and a 23% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in their game against Leeds this Gameweek.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 27 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub.
With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.
Bruno Fernandes has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 70%, while his Projected Points stand at 7.4 for the week.
Wout Weghorst has Anytime Returns Projection at 68%, and the highest Projected Points at 7.9 this week, tying him with Bruno for the first place.
Teammates Harry Kane and Hueng-Min Son have identical Anytime Returns Projections of 66% while their Projected Points stand at 7.2 each, which puts them in third place.
Kevin De Bruyne has an Anytime Returns Projections at 68% and Projected Points at 6.9, tying him to the third spot as well with the Tottenham duo.
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 27 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Surprisingly, a Single Gameweek candidate beats a Double Gameweek player, as Bruno Fernandes, who comes out on top with a CRF Value of 8.
Kevin De Bruyne and Harry Kane with a CRF value of 11 come tied-second behind Bruno.
Heung Min Son and Community’s darling of the week Wout Weghorst, come in last with a CRF value of 12.
[kofi]
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Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 27:
Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW27 ~ Sterling vs Mahrez and two more!
FPL GW27 Differential Picks to Target in Your Team | Free Hit Special
FPL Gameweek 27 Analysis – Players To Buy, Hold or Sell
Best FPL GW27 Wildcard Draft Ahead of FPL Gameweek 27 Deadline
Ideal FPL GW27 Free Hit Draft and Players to Target | Free Hit Guide
FPL GW27 Free Hit Team & Drafts to Consider | Free Hit Guide
FPL GW27 Top Transfer Ins And Outs | Transfer Trends & Combinations
FPL GW26 Fixture Wise Review Based on Stats and Eye Test
FPL DGW28 And FPL DGW29 Announcement and Plans ahead
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 27?
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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