Captaincy picks to consider for FPL GW28

This FPL GW28 blog is written by @Omar_fpl_ (overall rank 308 in the 19/20 season). Omar writes the Captaincy article for Allaboutfpl. You can find more of his work here. Do give him a follow on Twitter at @Omar_fpl_
No double game week this time, so choosing the captain for this GW is going to be from the toughest and trickiest decisions this season as fixtures aren’t impressive and there is no standout captaincy pick this GW unlike the reverse GW when KDB was the standout, but I don’t think he is this GW. As the fixture as they are all tricky underlying stats, form, and gut feeling all have a bigger impact than they used to do. This GW is also a massive chance to go uber differential.

FPL GW28 Captain picks

Kevin De Bruyne-FUL(A)

KDB FPL GW28 Captain pick

I don’t think KDB is a standout pick this GW as Fulham improved vastly ,in fact they have one of the best defensive stats lately ,also the game is away from home and City struggled to score against United and West Ham. I thought about Cancelo as a captain but his attacking returns doesn’t look like they are coming and City defense isn’t as solid as it was. KDB minutes will be managed , I expect him to play till the 70th minute if City are leading as they have a very important clash in the UCL. He still can do a lot of damage in the minutes he will play due to the fact he is on pens , set pieces, assist potential and he manages to be in very good positions.

The heatmap for the last game shows that he gets in some interesting positions he can do damage from
Shots(on target)16 3rd (6) joint 4th
Big Chances 2
xG1.78
Big Chances Created2
xA1.77
Points (Expected Points)30(32.2(3rd)
Touches in the opposition penalty area 24
KDB Underlying Stats since last 4 GWs
Stats per appearanceFulham
Shots conceded (per app)7.83(4th)
Shots in the box conceded (per app)5.33(4th)
Big Chances Conceded (per app)1.33(6th)
xGC (per app)0.80(3rd)
Fulham defensive stats since GW24 per appearance (from best not worse)

Fulham stats are impressive ,and I guess we all stopped targeting them way before .They really improved and I can see them causing trouble to City ,but see them keeping a CS . I think KDB contribution might be big if City are to win.

Further Read: FPL Matchups: BGW29 Defenders To Watch out | Defensive Matchups

Mohamed Salah-WOL(A)

Salah FPL GW28 Captain pick

Liverpool and Mo Salah are in terrible form right now ,but also Wolves are . Liverpool looked good in their two nil win against Leipzig and Wolves defensive stats are not good at all ,also Liverpool won all their PL games against Wolves since they went up even in the season Wolves were amazing in Klopp find a way to take the three points from them. Liverpool need this win a lot and I think the leagues top scorer who has been on a goal drought for a while will contribute in this game. The past fixtures for Liverpool haven’t been easy ,that is not the only reason they didn’t preform ,but definitely a contributing factor.

I know a lot of people are getting rid of Salah but Wolves defensive stats are absolutely horrible and with Liverpool and Salah record against Wolves I can see Salah getting double digits

Stats per appearanceWolves
Shots conceded (per app)15(joint19th)
Shots in the box conceded (per app)10.8(20th)
Big Chances Conceded (per app)3(19th)
xGC (per app)1.99(19th)
Wolves defensive stats since GW24 per appearance (from best not worse)
Shots(on target)11 (5) joint 4th
Big Chances 4 (7th)
xG2.19(9th)
Big Chances Created1
xA1.01
Points (Expected Points)16(28.8(3rd)
Touches in the opposition penalty area 29(8th)
Salah Underlying Stats since last 4 GWs

He is stats aren’t bad at all ,but he doesn’t get the attacking returns , I reckon he can end his drought next GW.

Further Read:

Kai Havertz-LEE(A)

Kai Havertz FPL GW28 Captain pick

Kai Havertz played a very advanced role as a false 9 ,and from the eye test last game he got in extremely good positions, he could have had a much bigger haul than the two assists he already got . I was watching him last season at Bayer Leverkusen and most of his attacking returns at this position . Chelsea are in fantastic form and I think we can get the win in that fixture. The only problem is Leeds sloppy pitch

Stats per appearanceLeeds
Shots conceded (per app)13.2(12th)
Shots in the box conceded (per app)7(8th)
Big Chances Conceded (per app)2(12th)
xGC (per app)1.62(16th)
Leeds defensive stats since GW24 per appearance (from best not worse)

Also Havertz is pretty good with the headers and set pieces and Leeds are bad at it. Could be an uber differential to boost your rank.

Further Read: FPL GW 28 – Chip Strategy, Tips, and Team Reveal |FPLNima

Harry Kane-ARS(A)

Harry Kane FPL GW28 Captain pick

The English Striker is in brilliant form ,he had huge haul last GW scoring a brace and assisted twice. He has a brilliant record against Arsenal playing 14 scoring 11 and having 3 assists. His stats are amazing and Arsenal defensive stats aren’t . He drops deep less often since Bale begun to start.

Shots(on target)21 (8) 1st
Big Chances 4 (joint 6th)
xG2.56(2nd)
Big Chances Created2
xA1.47
Points (Expected Points)31(28.4)
Touches in the opposition penalty area 20
Kane Underlying Stats since last 4 GWs
Stats per appearanceArsenal
Shots conceded (per app)10.25(8th)
Shots in the box conceded (per app)7.25(13th)
Big Chances Conceded (per app)1.75(10th)
xGC (per app)1.29(12th)
Arsenal defensive stats since GW24 per appearance (from best not worse)

Further Read:Kane. Son. Bale. | Worth Tripling up On Spurs Ahead of FPL GW28?

BruNO?

Bruno isn’t having a good fixture , West Ham are pretty solid , they did make lots of big teams struggle against them lately ,Bruno stats aren’t as good as they were , he is a very popular pick this GW and I think his EO will surpass 100% ,so you should probably captain if you are planning on going safe . His recent hauls were against Newcastle and City, he got pens in both . Do you expect him to get a pen every week? His np xG(0.49) is very low last 4 GWs (5 games) for contest Havertz had an xG of 0.34 last game only and that’s even not high. Of course he can haul as always, but I see this GW as an opportunity to go with someone bellow 100%.He also started in the midweek game. I am not saying he is not a good option , I mean I think there is more interesting picks that can score more. West Ham are going to concede anyway and there is a high chance Bruno become a part of it.

Doesn’t seem to get a lot of chances in the opposition box ,but heatmaps aren’t bad

Stats per appearanceWest Ham
Shots conceded (per app)13.75(15th)
Shots in the box conceded (per app)7.25(11th)
Big Chances Conceded (per app)1.25(4th)
xGC (per app)1.12(5th)
West Ham defensive stats since GW24 per appearance (from best not worse)

The xG and big chances conceded are impressive putting the fact that they had tough fixtures in mind

Shots(on target)8 (5)
Big Chances 2
xG2.00
Big Chances Created1
xA0.90
Points (Expected Points)37 5th(28.1)
Touches in the opposition penalty area 10
Bruno Underlying Stats since last 4 GWs

Further Read:FPL GW28 Differential picks to consider ahead of FPL GW28 Deadline

My Favorite Captain Pick for FPL GW28

It is Mo Salah , the fixture is the best between other options , underlying stats are not bad also have a feeling about him, but he is form isn’t good ,but hopefully he could turn this around , his EO won’t be high as most people are selling and not many are captaining . I would have captained Havertz if I did own as he ticks everything for me. Also I am considering Kane as his form and underlying stats are so good , have a gut feeling towards him, fixture isn’t bad at all ,but it is a derby so anything could happen. Salah for now might change to Kane.

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW28:

FPL Matchups: BGW29 Defenders To Watch out | Defensive Matchups
FPL GW28 Differential picks to consider ahead of FPL GW28 Deadline
Kane. Son. Bale. | Worth Tripling up On Spurs Ahead of FPL GW28?
FPL GW 28 – Chip Strategy, Tips, and Team Reveal |FPLNima
All that you need to know about FPL cup
History Of Fantasy Football And Origin Of FPL
FPL History: Highest Scoring FPL Players Each Year Since The First FPL Season in 2002/03
FPL Tools guide for managers: Free and Paid

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