After an underwhelming DGW which saw Haaland and Kane get limited points, we are back with our captain picks for FPL Gameweek 21, as we dust off the disappointment of DGW20.
The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 16/19 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 328 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16)
Link to all our FPL GW21 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW21 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW21 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW21 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Without any surprises, Manchester City’s Erling Haaland tops the polls yet again. He’s followed by Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah and Tottenham’s Harry Kane. The candidates list is rounded up by Ivan Toney and Kevin DeBruyne.
Further Read: Best FPL GW21 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 21 Captain picks
Erling Haaland tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 17 Shots Inside the Box, 10 Big Chances in total, and an xG total of 4.50, as the striker leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration.
Brentford’s Ivan Toney comes in behind Haaland, with 14 Shots Inside the Box, 10 Big chances and an xG total of 4.03.
Mohammed Salah rounds up the podium places at third amassing 15 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big Chances and xG total of 3.30.
Harry Kane just about gets beaten to fourth place with 16 Shots Inside the Box , 3 Big Chances and an xG of 2.64.
Haaland’s teammate Kevin DeBruyne with 4 Shots inside the box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.93 finishes last for attacking numbers for individual players.
Further Read: Why it Might be a Good Idea to Roll the Transfer in FPL GW21?
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Manchester City have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 69 Shots Inside the Box and 21 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 12.88, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Liverpool come in second behind Manchester City, with 59 Shots Inside the Box, their 23 Big Chances in Total and xG at 11.13 pushes them to second in our tables.
Brentford come in behind Liverpool with 42 Shots Inside the Box, 18 Big Chances in total and an xG of 9.77.
Lastly, Tottenham have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams involved in our picks, with 50 Shots Inside the Box, 13 Big Chances in Total and an xG of 7.33.
Further Read: FPL GW21 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW21
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Manchester City lead the teams with a 91% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also have a 55% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this week.
Liverpool come in behind City, with an 82% of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 29% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.
Tottenham have been given an 78% scoring at least 1 Goal this GW, while their odds to score at least 2 goals this Gameweek is at 25%.
Brentford come last of the teams, with an 73% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this gameweek, and a 18% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.
Further Read: FPL GW21 Odds Preview: Goals, Clean Sheets & Predicted Points
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 21 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.
Erling Haaland has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 77%, while his Projected Points stand at 8.8 for the week.
Harry Kane has an Anytime Returns Projection at 76%, and the highest Projected Points at 8.6 this week, just behind the Manchester City talisman.
Kevin De Bruyne has an Anytime Returns Projections of 66% while the Projected Points stand at 6.6, which puts him in third place.
Ivan Toney has an Anytime Returns Projections at 53% and Projected Points at 5.3, and is tied last at the last spot with Mohammed Salah last, who has an Anytime Returns Projections at 49% and Projected Points at 5.6 .
Further Read: Mitoma Vs March Comparison Ahead Of FPL GW21
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 21 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
As has been the case all season, it is Erling Haaland, who comes out on top with a CRF Value of 4.
His teammate, Kevin De Bruyne with a CRF value of 10 comes second behind Haaland, showing why he is such a strong pick again for the restart. Mohammed Salah only manages to finish third with a CRF value of 13, who beats Harry Kane and Ivan Toney who have a CRF value of 15 each.
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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW22
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double Gameweeks From FPL GW22
Top FPL GW22 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Comparison of Best FPL Triple Captain Options in FPL DGW22/23
FPL Gameweek 22 Transfer Tips: Two Players To Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW22 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas(Includes Cancelo Replacements)
FPL Double Gameweek 22 Players To Target | FPL DGW22
FPL GW22 Scout Picks with Stats and Justification
GW22 Predicted Lineups, Injury News, Press Conference updates for all 20 teams
FPL GW22 Wildcard Guide- Best Drafts, Key notes and Players to consider
FPL DGW22 – Best FPL Budget Midfielders/ Almiron Replacements
FPL GW22 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL Stats of Shithousery | GW21 Team of the Weak
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FPL Gameweek 22 FPL Deadline Countdown
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Thanks for reading the ‘FPL Gameweek 21 Captain Picks’ blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs and updates. Also, follow our 110,000+community on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates. Link to all our FPL Gameweek 21 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best wildcard team, chip strategy, differentials, and more.
What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 21 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?
We’ll be covering player comparisons, differential picks, transfer trends, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, eye test report, fixture analysis, captaincy metrics, FPL GW21 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.
Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)
Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)
FPL Gameweek 21 FPL Deadline Countdown
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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