Top FPL Gameweek 10 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Gameweek 9 proved to be a high-scoring one with a lot of managers hitting 100+ scores thanks to a monster haul from the most popular captain choice and the one that topped our captaincy metrics last week, Haaland who returned 23 points. In this blog let’s see what CRF(Cumulative rank factor) Haaland will get and how close the other captaincy candidates will get compared to Haaland.

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has an 8/8 “returns record” with Haaland topping the metrics in GW9 and returning with 46 points. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 192 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46)

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including Wildcard Guide, Fixtures to target, Predicted 11, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW10 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

FPL GW10 Captaincy poll

Haaland once again dominates the poll without a surprise getting nearly 80% of the votes. Salah, KDB, Maddison, and Kane making the rest of the top five in the polls this week. Last week saw a few managers go with Salah and Maddison captaincy but considering how big Haaland hauled it wouldn’t be a surprise if he’s the most captained player in a single gameweek ever in FPL history.

Further Read: FPL GW10 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW10 Deadline

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 10 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 10 Captain picks

This section of the metrics is a one-way express with Haaland dominating it with an xG of 5.83 and 11 big chances. In fact, Spurs as a team has had only 12 big chances and Leicester have had 11 big chances compared to Haaland. Kane is second with 16 shots inside the box, 6 big chances, and an xG of 4.98. Salah continues to have more chances created than KDB but is a distant third compared to Haaland and Kane with Haaland having double the xG compared to Salah. KDB and Maddison are more of creators which means they are the last two in this part of the metrics.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 10 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold and Sell

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Liverpool have definitely the volume in terms of shots inside the box having a whopping 95 shots inside the box compared to Man City who are second with 71 shots inside the box. However, Man City dominate the big chances and in turn the xG with 26 big chances giving them an xG of 14.32. Liverpool have had 17 big chances resulting in an xG of 11.90 slightly higher than the 11.44 of Spurs. Leicester are expectedly last in xG with just 8.08 over the last six games.

Further Read: FPL GW10 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups | FPL Paz

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW10

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW10

Man City playing Southampton means the odds seem to fully back them with a 95% chance of one goal and 69% chance of 2+ goals. Maddison has good odds(77% of one goal, 23% chance of 2+ goals) not better than Man City but still good odds which shows why he’s an alternative captaincy choice this week amongst many managers. Liverpool are close to Leicester with an 75% chance of scoring one goal and 23% chance of scoring 2+ goals. Kane is last on the list in terms of odds due to the tricky game vs Brighton who put in a super performance vs Liverpool in GW9.

Further Read: FPL GW10 Transfer Trends | Best Transfer Combinations & Tips

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 10 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 10 Captain Picks

Once again Haaland clean sweeps the projections with a 85% chance of anytime returns and a points projection of 10.6. KDB is not close behind and has a 79% chance of anytime return with a healthy projection of 8.8. Salah has a points projection of only 5.4 after another silent week against Brighton. Maddison(4.8) is fifth amongst points projection and Kane(4.9) is fourth slightly edging out Maddison for points projection.

Further Read: FPL GW10 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW10 Deadline

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 10 Captaincy metric analysis

Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 10 Captaincy metric analysis

Haaland sweeps past the metrics with the lowest possible CRF(Cummulative Rank Factor) of 4 as expected for the second week running. Teammate and chief creator for Haaland, KDB is second with a CRF of 8. Salah is third with a respectable CRF of 13 consistently being third on most of the tables. Kane is fourth with a CRF of 14 and Maddison who makes his second appearance on the metrics this season is last with a CRF of 18.

Remember the lower CRF means the best captaincy choice according to our metrics.

Haaland tops the GW10 metrics with a CRF of 4 making him the best FPL Gameweek 10 captaincy choice

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW10

FPL Gameweek 10 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold and Sell
FPL GW10 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW10 Deadline
FPL GW10 Transfer Trends | Best Transfer Combinations & Tips
FPL GW9 Review- Key Stats and Notes
FPL GW10 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC & AllAboutFPL
SPITCH Matchday 10 Preview | Top Picks, Tips & Team Reveal
Predicted GW10 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
FPL GW10 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups | FPL Paz
FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW9 Team Of The Weak
FPL GW10 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Vote For AllAboutFPL In Football Content Awards

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including Wildcard Guide, Fixtures to target, Predicted 11, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Alternatively, you can vote for us via Twitter by tweeting “I am voting for @allaboutfpl in @The_FCAs for #BestInFantasyFootball(Editorial)!” on Twitter. The pre-loaded tweet is below, just click vote now!

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AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
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