The long international break is finally over and FPL is back. GW9 is an exciting gameweek with a lot of exciting fixtures which makes captaincy exciting. Haaland is in sensational form and is playing Manchester united in the manchester derby, Maddison and Leicester are playing Forest in what is expected to be a goal fest. Kane and Son are up against North London rival Arsenal in the North London derby. In this blog let’s see which FPL Gameweek 9 Captain Picks top our successful metrics.
The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 7/7 “returns record” with Haaland topping the metrics in GW8 and returning with 12 points. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 146 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12)
Link to all our FPL GW9 blogs including Wildcard Guide, Fixtures to target, Predicted 11, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW9 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Haaland tops the poll with 43% of the votes and it is only fair as he’s not blanked once in the 8 gameweeks till now. Salah is second on the poll with 22% votes and he is up against Brighton who have a new manager and have not played for a while. Maddison is interestingly the third most popular captaincy option this week on our poll thanks to his haul against Spurs in GW8 and the exciting GW9 fixture against Nottingham Forest. Kane and KDB are closely fourth and fifth in the captaincy poll this week, both playing in derbies this week. Haaland, Salah, Maddison, Kane and KDB are the players going into the FPL Gameweek 9 captaincy metrics this week.
Further Read: Players to Transfer In for FPL Gameweek 9 Based on Eye Test
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 9 Captain picks
The three out and out options in Salah, Haaland, and Kane are very close in terms of shots inside the box with Haaland(19) slightly edging Kane(17) with Salah(14) not far off behind. Interestingly Salah has created more chances than the likes of KDB with a whopping 24 chances created in the last six games, KDB is second with 21 chances created. Kane(14) slightly edges out Maddison(13) for chances created. Haaland in expected fashion dominates the big chances with a whopping 10 big chances, Kane is second for big chances(7) whereas Salah only has had 4 big chances.
The big chances quite resonate with the xG too with Haaland accumulating an xG of 4.87 whereas Kane is just 0.3 off with an xG of 4.57. Salah too has a decent xG of 2.55 in the last six games but not close enough to Haaland & Kane. Maddison and KDB have got low xG as expected as they generally score from low xG chances.
Further Read: FPL GW9 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW9 Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool have definitely the volume in terms of shots inside the box having a whopping 92 shots inside the box compared to Man City who are second with 66 shots inside the box. However, Man City dominate the big chances and in turn the xG with 25 big chances giving them an xG of 12.76. Liverpool have had 16 big chances 2 more than Spurs resulting in an xG of 11.66 slightly higher than the 10.88 of Spurs. Leicester are expectedly last in xG with just 7.22 over the last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW9 Preview: Breaking Down FPL Dilemmas For Gameweek 9
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW9
Even though Man City play Man United the odds seem to fully back them with a 90% chance of one goal and 50% chance of 2+ goals. Liverpool are close with an 89% chance of scoring one goal and 45% chance of scoring 2+ goals. Maddison has good odds(83% of one goal, 31% chance of 2+ goals) not better than Man City and Liverpool but still good odds which shows why he’s an alternative captaincy choice this week amongst many managers. Kane is last on the list in terms of odds due to the difficulty of the North London Derby.
Further Read: Predicted GW9 Lineups Of All 20 Premier League Teams
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 9 Captain Picks
Once again Haaland cleansweeps the projections with a 73% chance of anytime returns and a points projection of 7.7. KDB is not close behind and has a 66% chance of anytime return with a healthy projection of 6.9. He’s known to return heavily against the big teams and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he hauls bigs against Man United. Salah has a points projection of 6.2 which is still a not bad number and could come away as a strong alternative captaincy candidate to Haaland. Maddison(5.4) is fourth amongst points projection and Kane(4.7) is fifth and last on the list for points projection.
Further Read: FPL GW9 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 9 Captaincy metric analysis
Haaland sweeps past the metrics with the lowest possible CRF(Cummulative Rank Factor) of 4 as expected. Teammate and chief creator for Haaland, KDB is second with a CRF of 8. Salah is third with a respectable CRF of 12 consistently being third on all the tables. Kane is fourth with a CRF of 16 and Maddison who makes his first appearance on the metrics this season is last with a CRF of 18.
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Further Read:
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Link to all our FPL GW9 blogs including Wildcard Guide, Fixtures to target, Predicted 11, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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