Alright folks it’s almost showtime. After a long wait, the international break is finally over and the excitement towards FPL GW4 is building. The Cristiano Ronaldo Effect I would say, has lead to managers using their wildcard or taking multiple hits to bring in one of the best footballers who is back home at Manchester United after 12 years. In this captain picks blog, we look at the key metrics of our top captaincy candidates which include a certain Cristiano Ronaldo, and reveal our top captaincy candidate for FPL Gameweek 4.
Last week Antonio topped our metric and hauled big which marked 3/3 returns for our captaincy metric. Let’s go down below to see who tops this one.
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FPL GW4 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”13″]
Underlying Numbers of the Captaincy Candidates
The attack stats pretty much tells the story from the first three GW’s. Michail Antonio and Hammers have enjoyed great attacking from over the opening three weeks with Antonio registering an xG of 2.91 with six big chances. Salah is the highest for chances created over the opening three weeks.
Lukaku is fourth in the list for combined attack ranking but it is to be noted the data is from GW1 to GW3 and Lukaku only made his debut in GW2. Similarly, we have decided to rank Ronaldo 5th as we don’t have any data, and adding any of his past season data will skew the metric. So Ronaldo do not hate us for ranking him fifth, I can assure you that the final captaincy metric wouldn’t have him last😉
Further Read: FPL GW4 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Gameweek 4 Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
Now moving on to the attacking numbers of the captaincy candidates it is without any surprise Liverpool top the numbers by some margin. Liverpool have had 51 shots inside the box which is 13 more than Westham who are second. However, the big chances are topped by both Liverpool and Westham with 11 big chances each. Manchester United are fourth in the list which is quite self-explanatory after having to work their way to a 1-0 victory against Wolves with Wolves allowing little space for the Manchester United attack to exploit.
Further Read: The Must-Have FPL Players On Your GW4 Wildcard Team
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW4
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. We have used Drafthound’s Clean Sheet odds and the Odds of Conceding more than 2.5 goals. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
The fixture difficulty section sees Manchester United top the numbers. This is from the fact that they’re up against Newcastle United the weakest of all oppositions in our captaincy list. Newcastle have just 8% chance of keeping a CS and a whopping 42% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Cristiano Ronaldo dominates the projection raking with 78% anytime returns and a projected points of 8.1 against Newcastle United. This puts him in first place for projection ranks. Fellow teammate Bruno Fernandes is second in the projection rank with a points projection of 6.1. It is to be noted that Antonio is last in the points projection but this is partly due to the big names he’s up against for being the best captaincy candidate in GW4.
Further Read: A Guide To FPL Team Structure | Wildcard FPL Gameweek 4
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 4 Captaincy metric analysis
In the fifth and final phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Salah has the lowest CRF and is our top captaincy choice in gameweek 4 according to our metric. Cristiano Ronaldo ranks third in the final list in spite of being ranked last in the player stats which shows he’s still a good captaincy choice. With doubts about whether he’ll start or not, it is better to go with Salah captain and have Ronaldo in your team.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 4:
FPL Gameweek 4 Team reveals, Strategies, Captaincy, and Tips
FPL GW4 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Gameweek 4 Deadline
FPL Scouting Report ~ Demarai Gray | FPL GW4
New Players from Russian Premier League: An FPL Breakdown
FPL GW4 Transfer Trends Analysis | Popular Transfer Combinations
The Must Have FPL Players On Your GW4 Wildcard Team
FPL Gameweek 4 Analysis- Players To Buy | Hold | Sell Ahead Of FPL GW4
FPL GW4 Watchlist – Stand Out Players Who Impressed In GW1-3
A Guide To FPL Team Structure | Wildcard FPL Gameweek 4
FPL GW4: Goalkeepers Analysis | Best Goalkeeping Option
FPL GW4 Wildcard – Best Combinations, Strategy Tips, And Team Reveal
FPL Gameweek 4 Fixture Swings: Teams and Players to Target and Avoid
Why You Don’t Need to Wildcard This Early Into The 2021/22 FPL Season
Bruno Fernandes Hold or Sell Going Into FPL GW4 | Stats Analysis
FPL GW3 Fixture Wise Stats Review | Key FPL Stats that Caught our Eye
2021/22 FPL Chip Strategy: What to do with the Elusive Boosts
Fixture Analysis For Optimal Wildcard Strategy | FPL 2021/22 Season
We have also made an elaborate guide covering every rule and chip available in FPL for the 2021/22 FPL Season ~ 2021/22 Fantasy Premier League Season Rules, Tips | The Ultimate Guide
Check out our Rules and Basics Guide, FPL Chip Strategy, FPL Chips, FPL Team reveals, FPL History, team reveals, FPL Tools here.
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 4?
We’ll be covering fixture analysis, players to watch out for in FPL Gameweek 4, differential picks, Wildcard drafts, captaincy metrics, transfer trend analysis, expected line up, press conference summaries, Buy, hold, sell analysis for FPL gameweek four, our expert panel team reveals and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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