Top FPL GW11 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

If we were to sum up Gameweek 10 in one line- we would probably say Haaland ended the potential debate of going without him in FPL once and for all. Therefore, money is going to be a crucial factor in the coming weeks in FPL. It is important to find those cheap gems so that we can afford all the big guns. Keeping that in mind, our picks too will be centered around those gems you can bring in to get the balance of your FPL teams right. In this blog, let’s take a look at our top FPL GW11 Differential Picks/punts(<10% TSB) to consider in your teams.

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW11 Differential Picks ( <10% ownership)

Marc Guehi vs Burnley (H), £4.5m, TSB: 3.6%

Crystal Palace have not been in the greatest of forms in recent weeks. The Eagles have won only 1 out of their last 6 matches. However, they have had to play the likes of Aston Villa, Newcastle, and Spurs in this period.

Palace have a very good set of fixtures coming up. 4 of their next 5 games have an FDR rating of 2. It is in these games when Palace are solid and keep clean sheets. Roy Hodgson’s men have registered shutouts In three of the four games against bottom-half opposition this season.

Given the fact that four of their next five games is against teams in the latter half of the table, there is a possibility of Guehi and co keeping more clean sheets.

Team	Goals scored	Rank
Burnley	8	19
Everton	10	14
Luton	9	16
West Ham	16	8
Bournemouth	8	19

As we can see, these are teams that struggle for goals. Therefore, FPL managers can get a lot of points in the coming weeks from a Palace defender. Guehi is a great alternative to Andersen who is now £0.5 more expensive.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Targets and Watchlist

Evan Ferguson vs Everton (A), £6.0m, TSB: 7.1%

Evan Ferguson scored in Brighton’s 1-1 draw against Fulham last time out. That draw meant the Seagulls have failed to win any of their last four matches, after winning five of the first six. However, the upcoming fixtures could get Brighton back to winning ways.

As we can see, four of their next five games have an FDR rating of 2 and 5 of those games are against teams in the bottom half of the table. The South Coast side have won 3 of their 4 fixtures against bottom half opposition, scoring 12 goals in those matches.

Another key point to note is that Brighton have no midweek fixture for the first time since pretty much the best part of two months. Whereas Everton have a midweek game ahead of FPL GW11- in the Carabao Cup.

Evan Ferguson has the fifth tally for goals per 90 in the league so far. This suggests, when he plays he more often than not scores. Given the fact that Welbeck is out injured for a while, Ferguson may well get a run of games from the start.

	Mins	Shots	Shots on Target	Shots Inside the Box	Big Chances	xG	Goals	xGI	Chances Created	BCC	xA	Assists	Points
Mitoma £6.5	846	18	7	16	8	2.53	3	4.9	17	4	2.34	3	46
Ferguson £6	513	18	13	11	4	2.89	5	3.4	3	1	0.47	0	39
March £6.2	558	14	6	8	4	2.1	3	3.1	7	2	0.97	1	39
Gross £6.3	710	14	7	5	1	1.29	2	2.5	19	1	1.22	1	36
Adingra £5	486	7	5	4	3	0.88	2	1.4	5	2	0.55	1	27

As we can see, In spite of playing significantly lesser minutes, Ferguson is right up there for all the key stats among Brighton attackers. The young Irishman is top for shots, shots on target, goals, and second only to Mitoma for big chances among his compatriots.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Targets and Watchlist

Hwang Hee-Chan vs Sheffield United (A), £5.5m, TSB: 3%

Hwang scored a tremendous goal last time out as Wolves salvaged a point against Newcastle. That goal against the Magpies meant that the Korean now has registered an attacking return in 6 of his last 7 appearances in the league ( 5 Goals + 1 Assist)

In all, the Wolves man has registered 6 goals and an assist in the league. He has already surpassed his best-ever goal tally. Only 4 players ( Wilson, Salah, Son, and Haaland) have netted more times than the Wolves midfielder.

Hwang is third-best in the league for goals per 90. He is also top for big chances, and shots in the box among his compatriots.

Meanwhile, Sheffield United are the team to target for FPL points. The Blades have conceded more shots, more shots in the box, more shots on target, more big chances, and more goals than any other team. It is safe to say that Hwang has every chance of making it 7 attacking returns ( or more) in 8 games!

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell 

Dominik Szoboszlai vs Luton (A), £7.1m, TSB: 5.9%

Szoboszlai registered 2 assists and 3 bonus in what turned out to be a 12-point haul against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 10. The Hungarian has registered 1 goal and 4 assists in all.

Liverpool’s upcoming fixtures are among the best in the league. 4 of their next 6 games have an FDR rating of 2. Most managers have Salah. However, it would be wise to have another attacker from the Reds.

FPL managers have tended to go with Diaz. Well, believe it or not, Szoboszlai has registered 12 more points in FPL than Diaz. The Hungarian has played 90 minutes in every single game so far this season.

The midfielder is top for key passes among Liverpool players (25). He is also third for BPS, behind Salah and Allison, among his teammates. He is also second best for big chances created (4) for the Reds, behind only Mo Salah (9).

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Targets and Watchlist

Dominic Calvert-Lewin vs Brighton (H), £5.8m, TSB: 1.2%

In all honesty, it is so nice to have DCL back in contention as an FPL asset. We say that with certainty because he has started 4 games in a row for the first time since goodness knows how long!

Players	£M	S	OT	In	BC	xG	G
Isak	£7.4	10	7	9	7	4.04	4
Wilson	£7.8	11	9	10	8	3.53	4
Haaland	£14	10	8	8	6	3.05	4
Watkins	£8.4	17	10	17	6	2.71	5
Calvert-Lewin	£5.8	13	5	12	4	2.63	3
Darwin	£7.5	12	7	10	5	2.17	2

The Everton man has registered 3 goals in the last 5 matches. In this period only 5 players have had a better xG than the Englishman. He has also played significantly lesser minutes than all but one of them (Wilson).

Meanwhile, Brighton are one of only 4 teams to not keep a clean sheet this season. And as we have stated multiple times here, they have been very kind to opposition forwards.

Gameweek	Player	Points
1	Morris	8
2	Cunha	2*
3	Antonio	7
4	Wilson	6
5	Hojlund	2
6	Solanke	6
7	Watkins	23
8	Darwin	5
9	Haaland	8
10	Jimenez	1

Additionally, Nico Jackson scored the winning goal for Chelsea in the Carabao Cup against the Seagulls. So, they are making it a habit across competitions. Who is to say that DCL won’t continue that run?

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell 

FPL GW11 Ultra Differential Pick ( <1% ownership)

Max Kilman vs Sheffield United (A), £4.5m, TSB: 0.7%

Who would have thought that we would see 2 differential picks from Wolves at the start of the season. Full marks to Gary O’Neil who has galvanized this unit. They are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 W 2 D), despite facing the likes of Man City, Newcastle, and Aston Villa.

Wolves have a very good run of games coming up. Four of their next six matches are up against teams that have an FDR rating of 2. All these 4 teams are in the bottom 7 for goals scored so far this season.

Team	Goals scored	Big Chances
Sheffield United	7 (20th)	9 (20th)
Fulham	9 (16th)	13 (17th)
Burnley	8 (19th)	10 (19th)
Nottingham Forest	10 (14th)	16 (15th)

If ever Wolves are to keep clean sheets, this set of games would be the time that they are likely to do it. Kilman is someone who is likely to pick up bonus points if the Midlands side shut their opponents out.

The Wolves captain registered 2 bonus points in the only game Gary O’Niel’s men kept a clean sheet this season, which was against Everton. He is fourth best for BPS among his teammates, behind only Neto, Sa, and Hwang. Last season too, he was second only to Sa for BPS among Wolves players.

Hence, if at all, you want to consider Chelsea assets, GW16 is the time. For now, sell them – all of them.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW11

FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Targets and Watchlist
FPL GW11 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
FPL GW11 Tips & Preview – Neto, Botman Replacements & More
Top FPL Gameweek 11 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 11 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell 
Top FPL GW11 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 23/24 Season
FPL GW11 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More 

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 11 of the 2023/24 FPL Season?

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