GW33 proved to be a high scoring one with the most popular captain choice Haaland returning 14 points in a 4-1 win over title rivals Arsenal. This time around Haaland has a double gameweek and so do Salah, Rashford, and Bruno Fernandes. In this blog let’s look at the top five FPL Gameweek 34 Captain picks and see who tops our captaincy metrics for FPL DGW34.
The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 27/32 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 588 pts(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40+20+4+4+8+22+14+24+24+14+28)
Link to all our FPL GW34 blogs including GW34 Free Hit/Wildcard Drafts, Fixtures to target, Double gameweek news, Captaincy metrics, Differentials, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL DGW34 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW34 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Haaland as expected tops the captaincy poll for FPL DGW34 with over 1000 votes. Mo Salah is a distant second with 13% of the votes and the top five is completed by Rashford, KDB, and Jota. Jota is making his first captaincy metrics appearance this season.
Further Read: FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide- Players to Target and Best Drafts
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 34 Captain picks
Haaland has over 6 xG(6.21) in the last six games with a whopping 11 big chances during the period. The next best is Salah with an xG of 3.55 in the last six games. Interestingly Salah and Jota both have the same number of big chances(6) in the last six games. Rashford is fourth with an xG of 2.95 in the last six games but he has had the second-best big chances amongst all players during the period(9). KDB is more of a creator with 17 chances created in the last six games. However, he’s last in this table as his xG is low when compared with the other four attackers.
Further Read: FPL DGW34 Scout Picks- Stats and Justification for all players picked
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool(66) and Man United(66) both edge Man City(59) for shots inside the box with Liverpool(21) also edging out Man City(20) for big chances. However, Man City are top for xG(13.89) which is +1.5 xG more than that Liverpool who are second with an xG(12.32). Man United are 3rd with an xG of 11.46 and 20 big chances in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide- Players to Target and Best Drafts
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW34
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Double gameweeks means the odds are high for all the teams with Man City having with an incredible 99% chance of scoring at least one goal and a 78% chance of scoring 2+ goals in GW34.
Liverpool have a 99% chance of scoring at least one goal and a 70% chance of scoring 2+ goals in GW34.
Man United have a 95% chance of scoring at least one goal and a 45% chance of scoring 2+ goals in GW34.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 34 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.
Surprisingly, Salah beats Haaland with a 90% any-time returns projection with a points projection of 15.3 for DGW34.
Haaland has the 2nd highest Anytime Returns Projections at 89%, while his Projected Points stand at 13.5 for the week.
KDB has the 3rd highest Anytime Returns Projections at 82%, while his Projected Points stand at 11.0 for the week.
Rashford has an Anytime Returns Projections at 72% and Projected Points at 10.4, which puts him in fourth.
Jota has an Anytime Returns Projections of 77% while the Projected Points stand at 6.5, pushing him to the last spot.
Further Read: FPL GW34 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 34 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Haaland tops the metrics with a CRF of just 5(The lowest possible CRF is 4). Salah is 2nd with a CRF of 9. KDB is closely behind in 3rd with a CRf OF 10. Jota is 4th with a CRF of 13 and Rashford is 5th with a CRF of 18!
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW34
Confirmed FPL Double Gameweeks From FPL GW34
Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks- Double Gameweek Special
Top FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide- Players to Target and Best Drafts
FPL DGW34 Scout Picks- Stats and Justification for all players picked
FPL GW34 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
FPL Gameweek 34 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL Chip Strategy Guide with Key Notes for All The Chips
FPL GW34 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
How to Approach Man City FPL Assets for FPL GW34-38 by our Man City correspondent @4lex_mcfc
FPL Gameweek 34 Preview Video
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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