Top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

GW14 proved to be a tricky one for managers after Haaland was not involved against Leicester. Mo Salah who finished second in our captaincy metrics returned against Leeds which was a positive. With two more weeks to go before the world cup break, getting green arrows is important and captaincy plays a key role in achieving the same. In this blog let’s take a look at the top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks and see who tops our captaincy metrics for FPL GW15.

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 11/13 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 252 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14)

Link to all our FPL GW16 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW16 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW15 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

For the first this season we have two Newcastle assets in the top five of the captaincy poll and it’s totally based on the fact that Newcastle assets have been high flying this season. Tripper is the highest-scoring defender with 75 pts, and Almiron is the joint highest-scoring midfielder with 78 pts, Wilson is the second highest-scoring forward since GW9 after returning from injury. Even with injury concerns, Haaland tops the captaincy poll with nearly 1 in every 3 votes, and Callum Wilson is second with 30% of the votes following a 19-point haul last week. KDB, Salah, and Almiron finish in the top five of the FPL Gameweek 15 captaincy poll.

Further Read: FPL GW15 Preview – Breaking Down Dilemmas for Gameweek 15

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 15 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 15 Captain picks

For the first time, someone else other than Haaland tops the individual stats with Wilson(4.67) registering a higher xG than Haaland(4.38) in the last six games. Salah is third with an xG of 3.04 with six big chances, one less than Haaland and Wilson who have had 7 big chances. Almiron is fourth in the table with an xG of 2.67, he’s been scoring bangers from low xG chances and is one of the in-form players in the premier league currently. Kevin De Bruyne as expected is last in the individual table as he’s more of a creator than a finisher when compared with the other four players.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 15 Differential Picks to Consider ahead of Deadline

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Newcastle have been in great run of form and their numbers speak for themselves as they have outscored Liverpool(9.79) and Man City(10.46) in terms of xG in spite of the fact they faced some of the big six teams(Man United and Spurs) in the last six games.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 15 Scout Picks Selction with Stats and Data

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW15

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW15

The home game for Man City mean they have the most favorable fixture based on odds. Man City have a whopping 95% chance of scoring one goal and a 69% chance of scoring 2+ goals. Newcastle have a better fixture in comparison to Liverpool with the magpies enjoying a 78% chance of scoring a goal and a 25% chance of 2+ goal. Liverpool as such aren’t far behind against an injury-hit Spurs team with a 71% chance of scoring a goal and a 27% chance of 2+ goal.

Further Read: Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16 | Toney Replacements Analysis

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks

Haaland tops the anytime returns for the week with a whopping 86% chance of anytime returns, KDB is second with an anytime returns of 80%. It’s KDB who tops the points projection with 9.1 points projected for GW15. Wilson(57%) and Salah(51%) have similar anytime return odds with Salah edging him out in terms of points projection. Almiron is last with a 33% chance of returns and a 4.2 points projection for FPL GW15.

Further Read: Predicted GW15 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams with PC and Injury updates

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 15 Captaincy metric analysis

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 15 Captaincy metric analysis

Haaland tops the metrics this week but only by a difference of 1 in CRF(Cumulative rank difference) with Wilson finishing second with a CRF of 8. KDB is third, Almiron is fourth and Salah is last in this week’s captaincy metrics.

Haaland tops the GW15 metrics with a CRF of 7 making him the best FPL Gameweek 15 captaincy choice

Pep on Haaland in Friday’a press conference:

He’s (Haaland) much better. We will decide today. It’s a good step, he starts to train and we have training this afternoon and we will see.

PS: We have included Haaland as there is no clear-cut update on his injury concern, if he’s out then Wilson who is second becomes the best captaincy choice according to our metrics.

Remember the player with the lowest CRF is the best captain choice according to our metrics.

Before going off…

If you do like our content please consider supporting us by subscribing to our YouTube channel. Your support will be massively appreciated, check out our GW15 Preview stream featuring FPL Zhou who’s a popular name in the FPL Community on Twitter.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW15

Top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 15 Scout Picks Selction with Stats and Data
FPL GW15 Preview – Breaking Down Dilemmas for Gameweek 15
FPL GW15 Tips – Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations

FPL Gameweek 15 Differential Picks to Consider ahead of Deadline
Predicted GW15 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams with PC and Injury updates
FPL GW14 Team Wise Review With Key Stats & Notes
FPL GW15 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups
Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16 | Toney Replacements Analysis
FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW14 Team Of The Weak
FPL GW15 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

FPL GW15 Stream

Link to all our FPL GW15 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW15 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 15 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

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AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
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