FPL Gameweek 15 Differential Picks to Consider ahead of Deadline

We are just two weeks away from the world cup. It is now or never for managers to do something with the current squad of players at their disposal. With Haaland being potentially out, it gives an opportunity for managers to take some calculated risks and make a play in their leagues. We are here to help out with some exciting options to do exactly that. In this article, we will provide you with our Top 6 FPL Gameweek 15 Differential Picks with <10% ownership with stats, justification and detailed analysis.

Note: The TSB mentioned is at the time of writing and is subject to change

Link to all our FPL GW16 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW16 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL Gameweek 15 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Dominic Calvert-Lewin vs Leicester(H), £7.9, TSB:0.8%

Calvert-Lewin takes on a Leicester side that has been struggling defensively, especially on the road. The Foxes have conceded 19 goals on the road in six matches, the second-worst tally in the league. They also have the fourth-worst record for big chances conceded on their travels. The Foxes’ xCS of 0.64 away from home is the second-worst in the league.

Everton arguably have the best set of fixtures before the World Cup. Everton take on two of the worst defenses in the league. Calvert-Lewin’s recent return to fitness and form could be potent for the Toffees

Calvert-Lewin has been a major threat in front of goal. His two big chances in thelast two games is better than any of his teammates in that time. He has also had more shots in the box than any of his compatriots since he began starting games.

Further Read: Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16 | Toney Replacements Analysis

Vitalii Mykolenko vs Leicester(H), £4.5, TSB: 0.9%

Mykolenko has been part of an Everton defense that has the fourth-best defense in the league, they have let in a mere 12 goals. That tally is even better when it comes to matches at Goodison park. Indeed, Frank Lampard’s men have let in the least amount of goals(4) at their own backyard.

The Foxes seem to have an apparent weakness down the right side of their defense. Indeed, the 32% of chances they have conceded down the right, away from home, is the worst tally in the league. The Foxes also have the second-worst NPxGA on the road.

Fun Fact

Mykolenko has scored only one goal so far in his Everton career, and that came in the last meeting between these two teams, at the King Power stadium.

Further Read: FPL GW15 Tips – Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations

Jarrod Bowen vs Crystal Palace(H), £8.1, TSB: 3.5%

Bowen has been unlucky in front of goal thus far. He has the sixth-best record among midfielders for shots in the box. He also has the ninth-best xG in the league among those in the middle of the park.

The Hammers arguably have the best set of fixtures prior to the break. After a tricky start at home, David Moyes’ men have won each of their last three home games. Bowen in particular has taken a liking to the home stadium. Each of his three attacking returns this season have come at home. Last season, 10 of his 12 goals came at home. He also has scored in 3 out of the 4 home games in Europe this season.

Crystal Palace have the joint-worst record for % of chances conceded down their left flank, on the road. We can see this is exactly where Bowen operates. The Eagles also have the worst xCS on the road in the league.

Further Read: Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16 | Toney Replacements Analysis

Aaron Cresswell vs Crystal Palace(H), £4.8, TSB: 2.6%

West Ham’s improved form has been down to having a solid defense, especially at home. The Hammers have conceded just 1 goal in their last three home matches. In fact, only Manchester City have conceded fewer shots on target at home than Moyes’ men.

Cresswell has been close to an attacking return for some time now. The Left-back has created 3 big chances so far this season, only three other defenders have created more. The West Ham man is also second only to Trippier for key passes played among those at the back. Therefore, he is not only in line for an attacking return, but he is also in line for bonus points too.

Much like Bowen, Cresswell has also favored home games in recent times. Last season, five of his six attacking returns were at home. He picked up two bonus points in his previous appearance at home. More could be on the way.

Meanwhile, no team has had fewer big chances(5), and lesser than xG(4.57) than Crystal Palace so far away from home. The Chances of West Ham keeping clean sheet in this game is very high.

Further Read: Predicted GW15 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams with PC and Injury updates

Rodrigo vs Bournemouth(H), £6.3, TSB: 5.7%

After struggling for form and fitness since his injury back in GW5, Rodrigo finally seems to have regained his form. The Spaniard has scored in back-to-back games, for the first time since GW3.

Despite missing a fair chunk of the season, Rodrigo has had way more shots in the box than any of his teammates. He is also second only to Bamford for big chances and xG among Leeds players. In fact, he is the third best in the league for shots in the box among midfielders.

Leeds’ opponents Bournemouth have been the worst team on the road so far this season, in terms of goals conceded(20). Indeed, you could make a case for 9 of those goals being conceded in one game. However, 11 goals let in, in the other five games is also one of the worst per-game ratio in the league.

Rodrigo has been prolific at home so far this season. Five of his seven attacking returns this season, have come at Elland Road.

Further Read: FPL GW15 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups

Pervis Estupiñán vs Wolves(A), £4.5, TSB: 0.5%

Estupiñán helped Brighton produce the standout result last week, with their 4-1 win over Chelsea. The full-back got an assist and also got two bonus points in that game.

Estupiñán has been performing really well in BPS for Brighton. He has the fourth-best BPS per 90 among his compatriots, the most among defenders. The fullback has also created two big chances so far, only three players have created more for the Seagulls.

Brighton’s remaining two games are favorable defensively. No team has scored fewer goals so far this season than the Wolves(6). They also have the worst tally at home(3). Meanwhile, Aston Villa have scored the second-fewest number of goals away from home(3). Therefore, Brighton’s chances of keeping clean sheets in each of their next two games are high!

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW15

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FPL GW15 Stream

Link to all our FPL GW15 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW15 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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