We are back after a long International Break with our FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks. As always, the AllAboutFPL Community has voted and we have picked the top 5 players and analyzed their stats and odds to help you pick the right captaincy option.
The Captaincy metric model is now at a very decent 10/11 in terms of picking a successful captain this season. Let’s look at who tops our FPL Gameweek 12 captain Picks metric.
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FPL GW12 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
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Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah, tops the polls (again) with 58% of the votes.
Liverpool’s star man is followed by Harry Kane (12%) and Cristiano Ronaldo (9%). The candidate’s list is rounded up by Heung-Min Son (9%) and Phil Foden (3%).
Underlying Numbers of the Captaincy Candidates
Mohammed Salah tops our picks for Underlying Numbers as always. With 18 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big Chances in total, and an xG total of 4.20, the Egyptian leads the Attacking Stats factor for players.
Hueng-Min Son comes in behind Salah, with 8 Shots Inside the Box, 5 Big chances, and an xG total of 2.18.
Phil Foden just about takes the third place with 13 Shots Inside the Box, 3 Big Chance, and an xG of 2.08.
Harry Kane with 9 shots inside the box, 3 Big Chances, and xG of 1.51 just about beats Cristiano Ronaldo, who has 11 Shots Inside the Box, 1 Big Chance, and xG of 1.08.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 12 Preview Based on Actual and Expected Performance
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
Liverpool have the best underlying numbers as a team in the last 6 games. An impressive total of 56 Shots Inside the Box and 23 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 13.04, by far the best as compared to the teams in focus in this week’s analysis.
Manchester City come in second behind Liverpool with 73 Shots Inside the Box and 12 Big Chances in Total resulting in an xG of 9.72.
Manchester United come in behind Manchester City with 53 Shots Inside the Box, 11 Big Chances in total, and an xG of 7.62.
Tottenham have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams assessed here, with just 38 Shots Inside the Box, 11 Big Chances in total, and an xG of just 6.30.
Further Read: Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW12 ~ Raphinha vs Bowen vs Trossard
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW12
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. We have used Drafthound’s Clean Sheet odds and the Odds of Conceding more than 2.5 goals. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Everton, who are facing Manchester City this week, have the weakest odds. Clean sheet odds of just 8% pretty much tells you that the bookies really fancy Manchester City to score at least one goal in this match. Everton have also been given a 49% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals this week, meaning City scoring 3 goals this Gameweek would not come as a surprise.
Arsenal come in behind Everton, with a 13% chance of keeping a CS and a 35% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals this week against Liverpool.
Watford, facing Manchester United this week, have been given a 14% chance of keeping a Clean Sheet. They have also been given a 43% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals against the Red Devils, meaning there could be a goalfest in favour of Manchester United finally.
Leeds United have been given the best Clean sheets odds of 18% this week out of all the teams in focus here. They have also been given a 23% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals, as the bookies seem to be less confident on this one seeing too many goals.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Harry Kane has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 71%, while his Projected Points stand at 7.2 for the week.
Cristiano Ronaldo has the second-highest Anytime Returns Projections at 68%, and his Projected Points at 6.4 for the game against Watford.
Kane’s teammate Hueng-Min Son has an Anytime Returns Projections of 65% while his Projected Points stand at 6.9.
Mohammed Salah surprisingly has an Anytime Returns Projections at just 61% while his Projected Points at 6.4, just about giving him a fourth place.
Phil Foden has an Anytime Returns Projections at 52% and Projected Points at 5.8, giving him the last spot.
Further Read: FPL GW12 Wildcard Team Reveal | Best Wildcard Draft
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 12 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
For the nth time this season, it’s Mohammed Salah who’s being picked by our Captaincy Model here for Gameweek 12, with a CRF value of 8.
Phil Foden comes in second behind Salah with a CRF value of 11.
Cristiano Ronaldo gets the third spot, just behind Foden with a CRF value of 12.
The Tottenham duo of Kane (13) and Son (15) manage fourth and fifth places respectively.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 12:
Fixture Analysis Ahead of FPL GW12: Teams and Players to Consider and Avoid
Double-Digit Returns Metrics for FPL GW12 and Beyond
FPL Gameweek 12 Preview Based on Actual and Expected Performance
FPL GW12 Wildcard Team Reveal | Best Wildcard Draft
Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW12 ~ Raphinha vs Bowen vs Trossard
FPL GW12 Watchlist – Stand Out Players Who Impressed In GW11
Crystal Palace Analysis | Best Crystal Palace FPL Assets
FPL GW12 Transfer Trends Analysis | Best Transfer Combinations
Everything Begins With the Fundamentals | Story on Son-Heung Min
FPL GW 12 Player Watch & Analysis | Callum Wilson
FPL Forwards Analysis Ahead of FPL Gameweek 12
FPL Planned Transfers based on Fixtures Between FPL GW12 to GW17
FPL GW11 Saturday Fixtures Review Based on Stats and Eye Test
FPL GW11 Sunday Fixtures Review Based On Stats And Eye Test
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 12 blogs. All of the blogs are completely free to access and covers everything right from game week preview to captaincy!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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