Double-Digit Returns Metrics for FPL GW12 and Beyond

What is a double-digit return in FPL?

When an FPL asset scores 10+ points in a GW. But for more results, I will be tracking a score of 9+ as double digits.

How will this article help me?

Will be breaking down GW fixtures to analyze who has the most chance of scoring double-digit returns.

Link to all our FPL Gameweek 12 blogs. All our FPL GW12 blogs are completely free to access and cover all the essential topics.

Fixtures from FPL GW12 to GW16

Team	GW12	GW13	GW14	GW15	GW16
Arsenal	liv a	NEW H	mun a	eve a	SOU H
Aston Villa	BHA H	cry a	MCI H	LEI H	liv a
Brentford	new a	EVE H	tot a	lee a	WAT H
Brighton	avl a	LEE H	whu a	sou a	TOT H
Burnley	CRY H	TOT H	wol a	new a	WHU H
Chelsea	lei a	MUN H	wat a	whu a	LEE H
Crystal Palace	bur a	AVL H	lee a	mun a	EVE H
Everton	mci a	bre a	LIV H	ARS H	cry a
Leeds Utd	tot a	bha a	CRY H	BRE H	che a
Leicester	CHE H	WAT H	sou a	avl a	NEW H
Liverpool	ARS H	SOU H	eve a	wol a	AVL H
Man City	EVE H	WHU H	avl a	wat a	WOL H
Man Utd	wat a	che a	ARS H	CRY H	nor a
Newcastle	BRE H	ars a	NOR H	BUR H	lei a
Norwich	SOU H	WOL H	new a	tot a	MUN H
Southampton	nor a	liv a	LEI H	BHA H	ars a
Tottenham	LEE H	bur a	BRE H	NOR H	bha a
Watford	MUN H	lei a	CHE H	MCI H	bre a
West Ham	wol a	mci a	BHA H	CHE H	bur a
Wolves	WHU H	nor a	BUR H	LIV H	mci a

Overall Double-Digit Conceded going into FPL GW12

We see Newcastle(36) has the best fixtures in terms of Double-Digit Returns potential for the next 5 GW mainly due to the Norwich fixture in GW14. Can Eddie Howe transform Newcastle fortunes.

Team	GW12	GW13	GW14	GW15	GW16	Total
Newcastle	4	4	14	9	5	36
Tottenham	5	4	4	14	4	31
Liverpool	6	4	3	5	10	28
Crystal Palace	4	10	4	4	4	26
Norwich	4	4	6	4	6	24
Burnley	6	6	5	6	0	23
Chelsea	5	6	4	3	5	23
Man Utd	4	1	6	6	6	23
Brentford	6	4	4	4	4	22
Arsenal	2	8	4	3	4	21
Watford	6	5	1	3	6	21
Brighton	2	5	3	4	6	20
Everton	2	6	3	6	3	20
Wolves	0	6	9	3	2	20
Leeds Utd	4	4	6	4	1	19
Leicester	1	4	4	2	8	19
Southampton	6	2	3	3	4	18
West Ham	5	2	3	1	4	15
Aston Villa	3	3	3	3	2	14
Man City	4	0	2	4	4	14

Tottenham(31) is second on the list. Will we see new manager bounce? Can Conte work his magic?

Liverpool (28), Crystal Palace(26), and Norwich(24) round up the top 5.

The above table will provide only half data projecting which team has good fixtures but doesn’t mention which position to target against a specific team

Below will be dissecting the double-digit returns conceded further by position to have a better understanding of which FPL player to target.

Forward Double-Digit Conceded going into FPL GW12

Team	GW12	GW13	GW14	GW15	GW16	Total
Liverpool	1	2	2	1	3	9
Arsenal	0	3	0	2	2	7
Burnley	2	1	1	2	0	6
Man Utd	1	0	1	2	2	6
Norwich	2	0	2	1	0	5
Southampton	2	0	2	0	1	5
Aston Villa	0	2	0	2	0	4
Brentford	2	1	1	0	0	4
Crystal Palace	0	3	0	0	1	4
Everton	0	1	0	1	2	4
Leeds Utd	1	1	2	0	0	4
Newcastle	0	1	2	1	0	4
Tottenham	1	0	0	2	1	4
Leicester	0	0	0	0	3	3
Wolves	0	2	1	0	0	3
Brighton	0	1	0	0	1	2
Chelsea	0	0	1	0	1	2
Man City	1	0	0	1	0	2
Watford	0	0	0	0	1	1
West Ham	1	0	0	0	0	1

Here we see how the narrative changes when we see fixtures with a focus on only forward returns

Liverpool (9) tops the chart which makes JOTA 7.5m a great option (I know he is listed as Midfielder in game but in absence of Firmino will play ST)

In second, we have Arsenal (7), hopefully, Aubamayang continues his good form despite his PEN miss last GW.

Burnley and Man United (6) round up the Potential Forward list.

C Ronaldo 12.4m should be a great Captaincy option this week if you are willing to go different than Mo SALAH.

WCard’s could try T Pukki 5.8m as 3^rd  budget Striker. He is back in goal scoring and can also benefit from the new Manager’s arrival.

I Toney 6.7m could well return big in the next 2 fixtures. Anyone thinking to ship him out should give him these 2 GW in my opinion

Further Read: FPL GW 12 Player Watch & Analysis | Callum Wilson

Midfield Double-Digit Conceded going into FPL GW12

Team	GW12	GW13	GW14	GW15	GW16	Total
Tottenham	3	2	2	5	2	14
Newcastle	2	0	5	4	2	13
Watford	5	2	1	2	3	13
Chelsea	2	5	1	1	3	12
Crystal Palace	2	5	2	1	2	12
Brighton	2	3	1	2	3	11
Wolves	0	3	4	3	1	11
Everton	1	3	3	3	0	10
Leicester	1	1	2	2	4	10
Liverpool	3	0	0	2	5	10
Norwich	0	2	3	0	5	10
Burnley	1	3	2	3	0	9
Brentford	3	2	0	2	1	8
Man Utd	1	0	3	1	3	8
Southampton	3	2	1	2	0	8
West Ham	2	1	2	1	2	8
Arsenal	2	4	1	0	0	7
Aston Villa	2	0	2	1	2	7
Man City	2	0	2	1	2	7
Leeds Utd	0	2	1	2	0	5

When we move on to midfielders, we see Tottenham (14) top the table followed by Newcastle (13) and Watford (13). Chelsea and Crystal Palace (12) round up top 5

Let the data suggest anything, we all going to have SALAH in our teams regardless (It’s a no brainer)

Son 10.3m is a popular option for all managers seeing his upcoming fixtures.

Trossard 6.4m could be an interesting differential to go with only 2.6% ownership. His ownership has doubled from the last time I suggested him. Now playing as a Forward he is the most likely player from Brighton to score or assist which increases his chances of double-digit returns.

Gallagher 5.9m could turn out to be a gem for the 4^th or 5^th midfield slot. He has settled in nicely and is one of the chief creator for Palace.

Further Read: Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW12 ~ Raphinha vs Bowen vs Trossard

Defence Double-Digit Conceded going into FPL GW12

Team	GW12	GW13	GW14	GW15	GW16	Total
Newcastle	1	1	7	4	2	15
Tottenham	1	0	1	7	1	10
Brentford	1	1	3	1	3	9
Leeds Utd	3	1	3	1	1	9
Man Utd	2	1	2	3	1	9
Norwich	2	1	1	3	1	8
Chelsea	2	1	2	1	1	7
Arsenal	0	1	2	1	2	6
Burnley	3	1	1	1	0	6
Liverpool	2	2	1	1	0	6
Wolves	0	1	4	0	1	6
Everton	1	1	0	2	1	5
Leicester	0	3	1	0	1	5
Brighton	0	1	1	1	1	4
Crystal Palace	0	0	1	2	1	4
Man City	1	0	0	2	1	4
Watford	1	2	0	0	1	4
Southampton	1	0	0	0	1	2
West Ham	1	1	0	0	0	2
Aston Villa	0	1	0	0	0	1

No point in discussing Defender since all have Chelsea, City, and Trent with Livramento.

Metric suggest Newcastle as top but I would wait before going for them

The only real option to consider is Tottenham def, Regulion 5.0m, and Emerson 4.9m might benefit hugely due to the wing-back system implemented by Conte.

Man United Defenders are one to monitor with Great fixtures coming.

NOTE: All players suggested are based on the metrics and no way telling those are the only options

Hopefully, this article was of some use to you. Thanks for reading

I am available on Twitter @Abd_Hameed14 for some clarification or more discussion on the metrics.

Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 12:

FPL Gameweek 12 Preview Based on Actual and Expected Performance
FPL GW12 Wildcard Team Reveal | Best Wildcard Draft
Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW12 ~ Raphinha vs Bowen vs Trossard
FPL GW12 Watchlist – Stand Out Players Who Impressed In GW11
FPL GW12 Transfer Trends Analysis | Best Transfer Combinations
Everything Begins With the Fundamentals | Story on Son-Heung Min
FPL GW 12 Player Watch & Analysis | Callum Wilson
FPL Forwards Analysis Ahead of FPL Gameweek 12
FPL Planned Transfers based on Fixtures Between FPL GW12 to GW17
FPL GW11 Saturday Fixtures Review Based on Stats and Eye Test
FPL GW11 Sunday Fixtures Review Based On Stats And Eye Test

Link to all our FPL Gameweek 12 blogs. All of the blogs are completely free to access and covers everything right from game week preview to captaincy!

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