The new Chelsea striker and my personal favourite Nicolas Jackson somehow managed to beat Erling Haaland (who was against Sheffield United) in the captaincy metrics and more surprisingly, also in binging FPL Points home too, which was very lucky with the Haaland penalty miss, but we will take it!
We are back with the Captaincy Metrics for FPL Gameweek 4 and it would be interesting to see if the Manchester City striker would be beaten again for the first time in two consecutive weeks.
The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” last season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
This season the metrics has a 2/3 returns record with Jackson returning in GW3.
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Total metrics points: 44 points (26+4+14)
Link to all our FPL GW4 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW4 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW4 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Manchester City’s Erling Haaland tops the polls with 64% of the votes. He’s followed by Chelsea’s Raheem Sterling (10%) and Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo (6%). The candidates list is rounded up by James Maddison (6%) and Nicolas Jackson (3%).
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Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 4 Captain picks
Bryan Mbeumo tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 7 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 3.29, as he leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration.
Erling Haaland comes in behind Mbeumo for Underlying Numbers. With 16 Shots Inside the Box, 5 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 3.05.
Nicolas Jackson, with 10 Shots Inside the Box, 5 Big chances and an xG total of 2.04, takes the third spot.
Tottenham’s James Maddison comes fourth behind Jackson with 7 Shots Inside the Box, 2 Big Chances and xG total of 1.25.
Raheem Sterling gets the last place with 6 Shots Inside the Box, 2 Big Chancesand an xG of 0.92.
Further Read: Best FPL Forwards to Consider from GW4- Stats and Comparison
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Brentford have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 34 Shots Inside the Box and 11 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 7.12, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Manchester City come in behind Brentford, with 44 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big Chances in Total, and xG at 6.68.
Chelsea come behind City with 36 Shots Inside the Box, 11 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 6.12.
Tottenham take the last spot with 37 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 5.07.
Further Read: Top FPL GW4 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW4
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
Manchester City take the first spot, with a 92% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 58% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.
Chelsea are behind Pep’s men, with an 87% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 42% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
Brentford come in behind Chelsea, with an 82% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 31% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
Lastly, Tottenham conclude our list with an 82% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 29% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
Further Read: FPL GW4 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Erling Haaland has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 79%, while his Projected Points stand at 9.2 for the week.
Nicholas Jackson has an Anytime Returns Projection at 53%, and the Projected Points at 5.9 this week, giving him the second spot.
Jackson’s teammate Raheem Sterling has an Anytime Returns Projections at 53% and Projected Points at 5.3, which puts him in third place.
Bryan Mbeumo has an Anytime Returns Projections at 50% and Projected Points at 5.5, which puts him in fourth place.
Lastly, James Maddison has an Anytime Returns Projections of 50% while the Projected Points stand at 5.1 pushing him to the last spot.
Further Read: FPL GW4 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 4 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Unsurprisingly, Erling Haaland returns to be the best option this week, topping the table with a CRF value of 6.
Haaland is followed by Nicolas Jackson and Bryan Mbeumo who take the second place with a CRF value of 10 each.
Raheem Sterling takes the fourth place with a CRF value of 13. And lastly, James Maddison takes the last spot with a CRF value of 19.
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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW4
FPL GW4 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
Top FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 4 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW4 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
FPL GW4 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL GW4 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW4 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
Best FPL Forwards to Consider from GW4- Stats and Comparison
FPL GW3 Stats Summary
FPL GW4 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW4 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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