We are back with the FPL Gameweek 5 ~Buy, Hold, and Sell analysis article where FPL Insights picks 2 players in each category to help you navigate your FTs. With Calvert-Lewin out injured for a foreseeable future and Antonio facing a one-match ban, forwards dominate this week’s article.
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FPL Gameweek 5 Analysis – Players To ~Buy, Hold and Sell
(Player prices, ownership percentages, and transfer INs/OUTs change live. The quoted numbers may differ with the actuals when you read the article)
Raúl Jiménez | 7.4m | TSB – 4%
If you are one of many managers looking to replace DCL/Antonio, Raúl Jiménez could be your solution. He has been under the radar due to the lack of his FPL outputs (no returns so far)
To be fair to him, Wolves as a team have been disappointing in terms of attacking returns despite playing eye-catching football! Wolves did not score a single goal until the last match, where the first goal quite ironically, was an own goal.
Here are some quick numbers that suggest Wolves should have had goals in the first three matches and probably more goals against Watford too!
Jiménez had a BC against Watford and also created one for his teammate. Being the frontman for Wolves and with great fixtures ahead, he is definitely one to look at!
And by the way, he is still just owned by just 4% of the managers!
Further Read: FPL GW5 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Gameweek 5 Deadline
Conor Gallagher | 5.6m | TSB – 4%
Brought in by more than 250k managers, Gallagher is the 6th most transferred-in player so far, and why not?
Since his start in GW2, he is the top for FPL points among midfielders (and 3rd overall). Such form and equally good underlying stats deserve attention!
Below are some underlying stats for him. Despite playing a match lesser, he’s put some amazing numbers. No mid-fielder has had more BC (big chances) or IT (Importance to Team) than him.
His stats are also not an artifact of an outlier GW. They split quite well across all the three matches he has played so far.
With such consistent stats and decent fixtures to follow (skipping GW5 against Liverpool), there’s hardly any doubt on why you should not have him!
Further Read: FPL GW5 Watchlist – Stand Out Players Who Impressed In GW4
Patrick Bamford | 7.9m | TSB – 13%
In a week where we have two of the most in-form striker unavailable, it’s a big surprise to see Bamford being sold by more than 90k managers
Bamford has accumulated 16 points so far with 1 goal and assist. Below are attacking stats for him in the first 4 matches, where he played MUN (A), EVE (H), BUR (A), and LIV (H).
The upcoming fixtures for Leeds are much better than what they have faced so far and are ideal for Bamford, who loves bottom-half oppositions. It’s not past him to pick up from where DCL left!
Further Read: FPL GW5 Guide To Post Wildcard Strategy | Life After Playing Wildcard
Michail Antonio | 7.9m | TSB – 40%
Once owned by more than 50% of managers, his ownership has now slid down to 40% owing to more than 1 million transfer outs!
I don’t need stats to tell you his FPL pedigree this season. His sell-out can only be attributed to his one-match suspension in GW5 against Manchester United and not the declining numbers.
But is it really necessary to sell him?
Let’s take a step back and see how his next 4 games after GW5 look like:
Three of his four opponents after GW5 accumulated an xCS of ~1 or less in four matches. Would you not want to wait and see Antonio vs Leeds who, by the way, may have issues at the CB position?
Further Read: FPL GW5 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Gameweek 5 Deadline
Sergio Reguilón | 5.2m | TSB – 12%
I made a brief case last week about Spurs’ (and Reguilón’s) clean sheet numbers not being stable and it came to full swing in GW4 against Palace.
If you are thinking right now “but it happened after the Red card”, here is the half-time xG stat – Palace 1.3 – 0 Spurs (Tanganga Red Card – 58′). Spurs ended the GW4 fixture with a final xGC of 2.4 and xCS of just 0.1
Though it’s a fair assessment that going to 10 men amplified their issues and the defensive numbers against Palace might not be reliable. So let’s rewind and look back at GW1 to GW3. Below are Spurs’ xCS and xGC numbers in that period
Except for Watford, their xCS was close to 0, and even against Watford it barely round-ups to one. Spurs were lucky to keep clean sheets in all these matches which was the only contributor to Reguilón’s points total. His goal threat and creativity were also negligible in that period.
More than 100k managers have already transferred him out before GW5 and while his fixtures are good between GW6-GW8, it’s a risk to keep him before Spurs start to show some defensive resilience.
Further Read: FPL GW5 Guide To Post Wildcard Strategy | Life After Playing Wildcard
Lucas Digne | 5.4m | TSB – 12%
Another asset on the same boat with Reguilón whose underlying numbers are not impressive. The only difference being, Digne’s (and Everton’s) actual CSs correlate with their expected stats
As for attacking stats, Digne has posted much better underlying numbers but did not create any big chance for his teammates.
At the time of writing, more than 90k managers have transferred him out before GW5 and while the fixtures are not bad for Digne, it would be best to move on from him if you can.
Let us know in the comments below who you are Buying, Holding, and Selling this week!!!
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 5:
FPL GW5 Watchlist – Stand Out Players Who Impressed In GW4
FPL GW5 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Gameweek 5 Deadline
FPL GW5 Guide To Post Wildcard Strategy | Life After Playing Wildcard
Best forwards to replace Antonio and Calvert-Lewin | FPL Gameweek 5
FPL GW4 Sunday Stats Review | Leeds vs Liverpool
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 5?
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