Welcome back to another captaincy metrics blog, The popular FPL Gameweek 34 captain picks include Salah, Saka, Cunha, Eze, and Solanke. Since it is a double gameweek there are quite a few new names in the captaincy metrics this week whereas household names like Haaland, and Palmer all miss out as they play only once. Let’s see who amongst the five players tops the captaincy metrics this week, will it be Salah or someone else?
The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” last season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
This season the metrics has a 23/33 returns record
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Total metrics points: 462 points (26+4+14+40+12+12+4+30+16+16+2+32+14+14+4+26*+6+4*+6+32*+6+26*+10+12+10+12*+16*+4+14+2+16+20*)
Link to all our FPL GW34 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW34 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW34 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Salah takes the top spot in the captaincy poll with a whopping 56% of the votes ahead of facing Fulham and Everton away from home. Saka who is up against Wolves and Chelsea takes the 2nd spot in the captaincy poll with 13% of the votes, Eze who scored the only goal vs Liverpool in FPL GW33 picks up the third spot in the poll this week ahead of facing Newcastle & West Ham at home. Solanke and Havertz complete the top five of the captaincy metrics.
Cunha has not been included as he’s injured and unlikely to play in FPL DGW34.
Further Read: Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 34 Captain picks
Mo Salah is top of the table with an xG of 4.00 in the last six games, Salah has also had 21 shots inside the box and 8 big chances.
Solanke is 2nd ahead of Havertz registering an xG of 2.44 in the last six games along with 4 big chances, and 12 goal attempts in the box.
Havertz who has been in good form in the last few games is third with an xG of 1.98, he has also registered 12 shots inside the box, 10 chances created, and 5 big chances.
Saka is only 4th with just one big chance in the last six games and an xG of 1.94, he has also created 13 chances in the last six games which is the joint highest amongst the five players.
Eze is last with an xG of 1.92 in the last six games. The Palace attacker has created 11 chances and has registered 8 goal attempts in the box.
Only an xG of 0.06 separates the three players(Havertz, Saka and Eze)
Further Read: FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide – Players to Target and Best Drafts
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool have registered a healthy xG of 15.91 during the period. They have had 101 shots inside the box and 20 big chances which is also the highest amongst the five teams in the table.
Bournemouth are 2nd in the table with an xG of 10.16. The Cherries are also 2nd for big chances(18) in the last six games
Arsenal are 3rd in the table with an xG of 10.01. The Gunners have also registered 69 shots inside the box and 15 big chances in the last six games.
Crystal Palace are 5th with an xG of 7.49 and have had 13 big chances in the last six games along with 36 goal attempts in the box. Palace numbers are low as they have faced some tricky opponents in the last few games!
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 34 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW34
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Arsenal are top with a 98.79% odds of at least 1 goal in the double gameweek and a 68.64% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week.
Liverpool are 3rd and have a 98.57% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 66.4% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week.
Crystal Palace are 4th in the table and have a 93.33% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 40.14% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week.
Bournemouth are 5th in the table and have 93.25% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 36.86% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week.
Further Read: FPL DGW34 Free Hit Teams & Players to Target & Free Hit Draft
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah is top of the projection rank table with an anytime returns projection of 90% and a 14.8 points projection in FPL Double Gameweek 34.
Eze takes the 2nd spot with an anytime returns projection of 81% and a 11.8 points projection ahead of two home games in FPL DGW34.
Saka takes the 3rd spot with an anytime returns projection of 81% and a points projection of 11.7
Solanke and Havertz are joint 4th with Solanke having an anytime returns projection of 71% and a points projection of 9.7 and Havertz having an anytime returns projection of 69% and a points projection of 10.3.
Further Read: Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 34 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Salah takes the top spot with a cumulative rank factor(CRF) of only 6. Saka and Havertz take the second spot with a CRF of 11. Solanke takes the 4th spot with a CRF of 13 and Eze is last with a CRF of 16.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW34
Confirmed FPL Double Gameweeks | 23/24 Season
FPL GW34 Scout Selection- Top Picks based on Stats and Matchups
FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide- Pros, Cons, Best Drafts along with Key Notes
Top FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 34 Transfer Tips: Two Players To Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL DGW34 Free Hit Teams & Players to Target & Free Hit Draft
FPL GW34 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW34 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
2023/24 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis (Must read)
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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