Welcome back to another captaincy metrics blog, with injury concerns surrounding Haaland captaincy is once again interesting. The popular FPL Gameweek 19 captain picks include Salah, Son, Solanke, Trent Alexander Arnold and Saka. Let’s see who amongst the five players tops the captaincy metrics this week, will it be Salah or would Trent take the top spot?
The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” last season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
This season the metrics has a 12/18 returns record
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Total metrics points: 276 points (26+4+14+40+12+12+4+30+16+16+2+32+14+14+4+26*+6+4)
Link to all our FPL GW19 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW19 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW19 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Further Read: Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 19 Captain picks
Dominic Solanke who has been in red-hot form takes the top spot without any surprise, he has registered a whopping 24 shots inside the box, 9 big chances, and an impressive xG of 4.93 in the last six games.
Salah is behind Solanke with an xG of 2.14, 14 shots inside the box but only 3 big chances in the last six games. Salah has also created 17 chances in the last six games.
Son is a close 3rd registering an xG of 1.98 in the last six games along with 13 chances created.
Saka is 4th with just one big chance in the last six games and xG of 1.07, he has however created 18 chances which is 2nd amongst the five players in the table
Trent Alexander Arnold who is making his Captaincy metrics debut this season is last for xG which stands at 0.94 in the last six games, he’s however top for chances created(24) amongst the five players & 2nd amongst all PL players in the last six games averaging 4 chances created per game. TAA’s six big chances created in the last six games is not only the top amongst the five players but also the highest amongst all PL players during the period.
Further Read: FPL GW19 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Bournemouth’s dominance in the last six games can be seen in this table, the Cherries are unbeaten in their last six games(5 wins and one draw) and have registered a whopping 12.32 xG during the period.
Spurs attack has seen a resurgence after a mild slump following the injury to Maddison. The North London team is 2nd with an xG of 11.44 in the last six games.
Fellow North London outfit Arsenal are closely 3rd with an xG of 11.28, Arsenal are also top for shots inside the box(80) and big chances(20)
Liverpool are last amongst the five teams with an xG of 9.07 in the last six games, registering only 13 big chances in the last six games.
Further Read: Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW19
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Liverpool have an 89% chance of scoring at least one goal and a 45% chance of scoring 2+ goals which ensures top spot for the reds.
Arsenal are 3rd with an 87% chance of scoring at least one goal and a 45% chance of scoring 2+ goals
Spurs are 4th with a 80% chance of scoring at least one goal and 27% chance of scoring 2+ goals.
Bournemouth are last with a 77% chance of scoring at least one goal and a 23% chance of scoring 2+ goals.
Further Read: FPL GW19 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah tops the projection rank table with an anytime returns projection of 63% and a 6.8 points projection in FPL Gameweek 19 vs Burnley(A)
Burnley have conceded the highest amongst of goals at home(22), and 2nd for their big chances conceded(26) and their only clean sheet at home came against Sheffield United!
Son is 2nd with an anytime returns projection of 58% and a points projection of 6.2 against Brighton(A) who are the only team not to keep a clean sheet all season.
Saka who has been silent in the last few gameweeks is 3rd with an anytime returns projection of 55% and a points projection of 6.1 against West Ham at the Emirates
Trent is 4th with an anytime returns projection of 55% and a points projection of 4.8.
Lastly, Solanke finishes 5th with an anytime returns projection of 51% and a points projection of 5.3 ahead of facing Fulham(H)
Fulham have conceded the 2nd highest amongst of goals away from home(20), 2nd highest for xGC(20.6), and 2nd for their big chances conceded(32)
Further Read: Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 19 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Salah tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of only 8, it’s pretty close between the other four options with Son and Solanke finishing second with a CRF of 12. Saka is 3rd with a CRF of 13. TAA is last amongst the five players with a CRF of 14.
Only a CRF of 3 separates rank 2-5 in the FPL GW19 captaincy metrics!
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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW19
Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON
FPL Gameweek 19 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW19 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
What is FPL CUP? What are the rules? | 2023/24 FPL Cup Guide
FPL GW19 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW19 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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