Top FPL GW36 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

After a low-scoring FPL GW35, we are now closing in on the next gameweek which is a double gameweek for two teams(Brighton and Newcastle). In this blog let’s take a look at the best lower-owned Differential Picks(<10% TSB) for FPL GW36 with a special focus on low-ownership assets from Newcastle and Brighton assets who could enable you to catch up ranks.

Link to all our FPL GW36 blogs including Fixtures to target, Double gameweek news, Captaincy metrics, Differentials, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW36 Differential Picks (<10% ownership)

Callum Wilson vs Leeds(A), Brighton(H), £7.1m, TSB: 9.2%

First things first, Don’t expect Wilson to start both games or get more than 150+ minutes. We expect Wilson to get close to 100-120 minutes across both games. But he is still a solid option, as he has shown that he can cause havoc off the bench as well- He has scored 8 goals from his last 8 games- 5 of these appearances coming from the bench. In fact, No forward has got more FPL Points than Wilson(56) since GW29. Leeds and Brighton are both good fixtures for a Newcastle side who have scored the Most goals(26), 3rd most Big Chances(34), 2nd best xG(20.78) since GW27.

Wilson Stats since GW29:

• Appearances– 8(5)
• Shots on Target– 10(3rd among Forwards)
• Big Chances– 8(Joint 3rd among Forwards)
• xG– 3.97(4th among Forwards)
• Goals– 8(1st overall)
• Goal Involvement– 9(Joint 1st overall)
• FPL Points– 56(Joint 1st among Forwards, 2nd overall)

Leeds Defensive woes:

Since the World Cup break, Leeds United are Top for Big Chances Conceded(62), xGC(37.28), and Goal Conceded(43) in the league.

The good matchup against Brighton(even if he comes on as a sub) and the overall poor defense of Leeds makes Wilson a good Differential pick ahead of FPL GW36.

Further Read: Wilson vs Isak- Detailed Stats Comparison, Analysis and Verdict ahead of DGW36

Joe Willock vs Leeds(A), Brighton(H), £4.7m, TSB: 1.4%

Joe Willock was a great FPL asset during the closing stages of the 20/21 season in which he scored 8 goals in 8 consecutive fixtures for Newcastle, Since then he’s not been on FPL managers radar heavily. However, with Newcastle doubling in GW36 he’s once again on the watchlist of FPL managers as an option from Newcastle.

He’s part of a midfield three for Eddie Howe’s Newcastle and is guaranteed to start both games for the Magpies in GW36 which is a huge advantage considering a lot of other Newcastle attack options are prone to rotation risks for the double.

Willock Stats since GW32 amongst Newcastle Attack:

• Appearances– 4(0), Started all 4 games
• Shots – 12(Highest amongst Newcastle assets)
• xGI- 2.5(2nd highest amongst Newcastle assets)
• xG: 0.92 (5th highest amongst Newcastle assets)
• Key passes: 9 (2nd highest amongst Newcastle assets)
• Big chances created: 3 (2nd highest amongst Newcastle assets)
• xA: 1.57 (2nd highest amongst Newcastle assets)
• Assists: 2 (Highest amongst Newcastle assets)

Willock is someone who offers both decent goal-scoring and assist potential which can be seen from the numbers above. His 20 touches in the box over the last four games is bettered only by Isak(22) amongst Newcastle assets.

His heatmap and average position(LCM) is also encouraging and often overlaps with the player stationed at LW. Willock also makes late entries into the box to take a shot on goal which can be seen from his shots on goal numbers.

Lastly, one more factor that favors Willock is that even though Longstaff’s injury is not too bad he remains doubtful at least for the first game of the double vs Leeds(A). If he’s out then Joelinton will start at RCM(Longstaff’s place) instead of LW which reduces Joelinton’s appeal as an FPL option. Even at LW, Joelinton has competition from Isak/Gordon/ASM.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 36 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

Pascal Groß vs Arsenal(A), Newcastle(A), £5.4m, TSB: 9.2%

Pascal Groß’s nearly 10% ownership tells how many dead teams are there in FPL at the moment. The Brighton midfielder started the season brightly and was amongst the highest-scoring players in the initial few gameweeks. Since then a drop in form and change in tactics saw Gross fall down in the list of FPL options to consider from Brighton.

Although he’s listed as Midfielder he predominantly plays as a RB under RDZ, this however doesn’t diminish his appeal as an FPL option(See heatmap as well added below). Against Wolves in the first game of the double gameweek 34 he scored 2 goals vs Wolves in their 6-0 win. In the last three games, Gross has created 8 chances which is the 2nd highest amongst Brighton assets only behind March during the period.

Since the World Cup break, Grob is ranked 3rd for Chances created among Midfielders only behind Bruno Fernandes and Kevin De Bruyne. He is also ranked 4th for Expected assists during this time- Only behind Bruno, KDB, and Grealish.

He’s also on set-piece which adds to his assist potential and could also be seen in his attempted assists graphics below.

He’s an influential figure and a vital part of the Brighton team who’ll be looking to bounce back from the shock 5-1 defeat at home to Everton. If you already own Mac Allister and still on the lookout for a midfielder then Gross could be a handy pick. Even if you don’t own Mac and chasing in your mini-leagues, Gross should be an excellent option.

Further Read: FPL GW36 Free Hit Guide- Players to Target, Best Drafts

Julio Enciso vs Arsenal(A), Newcastle(A), £4.6m, TSB: 1.6%

Coming in at just £4.6m, Enciso should be your forward differential pick if you want to change up your team structure. He is the budget pick with a good Double Gameweek and could start both the games as well. Enciso has played 337 minutes over the last 5 games averaging 67.4 minutes/game. March’s injury only brings up his expected minutes ever more. Enciso could slot in as RW in March’s place/LW in Mitoma’s place in one of these games/play as a striker/take up role behind the striker. Basically, his ability to play anywhere in the front 4 boosts his expected minutes.

Over these 5 games, Enciso has 1 goal, 2 assists, and 22 FPL points. His underlying numbers have also been good across these 5 games- 13 Shots, 4 Big Chances Involvements, 1.43 xG, and 1.26 xA. Only Mac Allister(2.9) has a better xGI than Enciso(2.7) among Brighton attackers during this time.

Further Read: FPL GW36 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Luis Diaz vs Leicester(A), £7.8m, TSB: 6.4%

Having missed majority of the season due to injury, Luis Diaz made his comeback in GW31. With 3 sub appearances from GW31-GW33, Diaz managed two starts in Double Gameweek 34. He got a goal, and 3 bonus points to get 10 points vs Spurs. We do predict him to start in GW36, but even if he does not start Liverpool have 3 good fixtures to finish the season and he could come good. Liverpool do still have their Champions League ambitions and have everything to play for.

Matchup stat– Dean Smith took over Leicester City since GW31. Since then, Leicester are Top for Chances Conceded from their right flank in Premier League. This is where Diaz operates and he could come good once again in GW36.

Further Read: FPL Chip Strategy Guide with Key Notes for All The Chips

Ultra-Differential Pick for FPL GW36(<1% TSB)

Pedro Porro vs Aston Villa(A), £4.8m, TSB:0.9%

Yes, a Spurs defender. But not for Clean Sheet points. Pedro Porro is right here for his attacking potential. Porro does play as a RWB, but takes up really good attacking positions in attack. Since he became a regular starter in GW26, Pedro Porro averages 0.3 xGI/90 minutes– Which is only bettered by TAA and Perisic among defenders. His underlying numbers are even better over the last 3 games.

Porro Stats since GW33(Rank among Defenders):

• Expected Goal Involvement- 1.6(2nd)
• Shots- 7(Joint 2nd)
• Expected Assists- 1.03(3rd)
• Big Chances created- 2(Joint 2nd)

For most of these numbers, Porro comes 2nd among defenders only behind TAA. It is to be noted that TAA(4) has played on extra game during this period compared to Porro(3).

Nailed on Corners:

Spurs have won 16 corners over their last 3 matches and Pedro Porro has taken all 16 off these corners– This does increase this assist potential as well as Bonus Points potential.

Tottenham players average position in GW35 vs Palace(#23- Pedro Porro)

Pedro(#23) almost matches Kane(#10) and Son(#7) for the average position. Villa concede more chances on their left flank(Moreno’s side) which is where Porro operates. Over the season Villa have conceded 119 chances from their left flank compared to just 77 chances conceded on the other flank. This bodes well for Porro to get another attacking return/haul ahead of FPL GW36.

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW36

Wilson vs Isak- Detailed Stats Comparison, Analysis and Verdict Ahead of DGW36
Top FPL Gameweek 36 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics 
FPL GW36 Scout Selection- Top Picks based on Stats and Analysis
FPL GW36 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
Top FPL GW36 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL GW36 Free Hit Guide- Players to Target, Best Drafts
FPL Gameweek 36 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Confirmed FPL Double Gameweeks From FPL GW36
FPL Chip Strategy Guide with Key Notes for All The Chips
FPL GW36 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

FPL Gameweek 36 Preview Video

If you prefer video content, here’s our FPL GW36 video covering GW36 key talking points, Players to Target for GW36, Isak vs Wilson, Differentials, March Replacements, Best double gameweek assets, Captaincy options, and more. Timestamps are added for easy viewing as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 36 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

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