Top FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

With the popular choice Erling Haaland not having a game this week, captaincy decisions are again on the menu (finally, as we look into the top 5 captaincy picks for FPL Gameweek 32 that the community has picked based on their votes and bring out the best result possible).

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 25/30 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 546 pts(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40+20+4+4+8+22+14+24+24)

Link to all our FPL GW32 blogs including GW32 Free Hit/Wildcard Drafts, Fixtures to target, Double and blank game-week news, Captaincy metrics, Differentials, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW32 Captaincy Metrics

FPL GW32 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

FPL GW32 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

It doesn’t come as a surprise that Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah tops the polls with 69% of the votes. He’s followed by the Arsenal duo of Martinelli (8%) and Jesus (7%). The candidates list is rounded up by Watkins and Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka.

Further Read: Best FPL GW32 Free Hit Drafts to Consider | Free Hit Guide 

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 32 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 32 Captain picks

Mohammed Salah tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 18 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 4.55, as he leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration. 

Jesus, with 14 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big chances, and an xG total of 4.38, takes the second spot.

Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins rounds up the podium places at third amassing 22 Shots Inside the Box, 9 Big Chances, and an xG total of 4.24.

Gabriel Martinelli gets fourth place with 15 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big Chances, and an xG of 2.02.

Bukayo Saka gets the last spot with 9 Shots Inside the Box, 2 Big Chances, and an xG of 1.93.

Further Read: FPL GW32 Scout Picks With Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams ahead of FPL Gameweek 32

Arsenal have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 64 Shots Inside the Box and 19 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 14.04, which is the highest of all teams in question. 

Liverpool come in behind Arsenal, with 62 Shots Inside the Box, their 22 Big Chances in Total, and xG at 11.90

Lastly, Aston Villa take the last spot with 53 Shots Inside the Box, 16 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 10.40.  

Further Read: FPL GW32 Best Forwards Comparison, Analysis & Verdict

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW32

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW32

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. 

Liverpool take the first spot, with a 92% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 58% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.

Arsenal are behind Klopp’s men, with a 91% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 55% chance of scoring more than 2 goals. 

And lastly again, it’s Aston Villa who have a 69% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 15% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 32 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks

In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.

Mohammed Salah has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 76%, while his Projected Points stand at 9.0 for the week.

Bukayo Saka has an Anytime Returns Projection at 57%, and the Projected Points at 6.2 this week, giving him the second spot.

Saka’s teammate Martinelli has an Anytime Returns Projections at 51% and Projected Points at 5.8, which puts him in third place. 

Jesus has an Anytime Returns Projections at 63% and Projected Points at 5.6, which puts him in fourth. 

Ollie Watkins has an Anytime Returns Projections of 48% while the Projected Points stand at 5.0, pushing him to the last spot.

Further Read: FPL GW32 Scout Picks With Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 32 Captaincy metric analysis

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 32 Captaincy metric analysis

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric. 

Mohammed Salah, tops the table with a CRF value of 7 and becomes the best captaincy choice amongst our FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks based on our captaincy metrics

Popular pick Mohammed Salah, tops the table with a CRF value of 7.

Salah is followed by the Arsenal trio, with Jesus grabbing the second place with a CRF value of 8, while Saka (CRF Value of 10) and Martinelli (CRF Value of 11).

And lastly, Ollie Watkins rounds up our tables with a CRF value of 18. 


Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW32

Confirmed & Likely FPL Double Gameweeks From FPL GW32
Top FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW32 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas 
Top FPL GW32 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW32 Odds Preview: Goals, Clean Sheets & Predicted Points
FPL Gameweek 32 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW32 Best Forwards Comparison, Analysis & Verdict
FPL GW32 Scout Picks With Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Best FPL GW32 Free Hit Drafts to Consider | Free Hit Guide 
FPL Chip Strategy Guide with Key Notes for All The Chips
FPL GW32 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL Gameweek 32 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best wildcard team, chip strategy, differentials, and more.

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 32 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

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AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
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