Top FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

FPL GW4 has quite a decent number of captaincy options with Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool, and Man City having good fixtures. 3 out of those 4 teams mentioned are also playing at home which is an added advantage. In this blog let’s look at the top captain picks for FPL Gameweek 4 and see who tops our captaincy metrics.

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FPL GW4 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

Salah continued is the standout option this week vs Bournemouth with 60% of the votes. Jesus is the second most popular option with 18% votes, and Haaland is third with 8% votes. Kane and KDB complete the top five with 4% and 3% votes respectively. The five players going into the metrics this week are Salah, Jesus, Haaland, Kane, and KDB.

Further Read: FPL GW4 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups | FPL Paz

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 4 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 4 Captain picks

Haaland and Jesus top the shots in the box from the first three games with 10 shots inside the box. Kane is third with 8 shots on goal. Salah has registered 7 from the box and KDB is the last with 4 shots inside the box. Surprisingly Salah(13) has created more chances than KDB(12). Haaland dominates the big chances column with 7 big chances in three games, the next highest is Jesus and Kane who have 3 big chances each. A lot of big chances means Haaland dominates the xG(2.49) too, Jesus is not far behind with an xG of 2.12.

Further Read: Eye-Test Based Player Watchlist For FPL Gameweek 4

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Liverpool have had the most shots inside the box with 40 but their xG is 4.65 which means a lot of them were low xG ones. Man City have had 35 shots and an xG of 6.09 with 13 big chances which explains the superior xG. Arsenal attack is putting up numbers similar to Man City with 10 big chances and an xG of 5.27. Spurs are the team that slightly lags here with the other teams with an xG of 4.24.

Further Read: FPL GW4 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of GW4 Deadline

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW4

Liverpool absolutely dominates the CS odds this week with a 94% chance of scoring one goal and 65% chance of scoring 2+ goals. Man City aren’t far behind with a 92% chance of scoring one goal and 58% chance of scoring 2+ goals. Arsenal odds are good too with 90% odds of one goal and 50% odds of 2.5+ goals. Three teams have 50% + odds of scoring 2+ goals which indicate to the gameweek being a high scoring one.

Further Read: Predicted GW4 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks

Salah absolutely dominates the projections with a points projection of 9.3. Kane is second with projected points of 7.4. Jesus(6.2) outscores Haaland(5.6) in the projections due to the tricky nature of Haaland’s fixture and his xMins being a slight concern.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 4 Transfer Tips: Two Players To Buy, Hold And Sell

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 4 Captaincy metric analysis

Once again Haaland comes out top for the third week running thanks to his individual and Man City attack numbers, Haaland ends up with a cumulative rank factor(CRF) of just 8. Salah is not far behind with a CRF of 10. Jesus and KDB are third with a CRF of 12 while Kane comes last with a CRF of 15. Remember the player with the lowest CRF is the best captaincy option according to our captaincy metrics.

Thanks for checking out the captaincy metrics for FPL Gameweek 4. Good luck!

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW4

FPL GW4 Preview: Breaking Down FPL Dilemmas For Gameweek 4
FPL GW4 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC & AllAboutFPL
Predicted GW4 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
Top FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW4 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of GW4 Deadline
Eye-Test Based Player Watchlist For FPL Gameweek 4
FPL Gameweek 4 Transfer Tips: Two Players To Buy, Hold And Sell
FPL GW1-3 Review: Template, Emerging Assets, Wildcard & More
FPL GW4 Transfer Trends, Best Transfer Combinations & Tips
FPL Stats of Shithousery | GW3 Team of the Weak
FPL GW4 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups | FPL Paz
FPL GW4 Wildcard Team & Drafts To Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL GW4 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
How Premier League Footballers Fared As FPL Managers In GW3?

Link to all our FPL GW4 blogs including fixtures to target, predicted 11, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1

One thought on “Top FPL Gameweek 4 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

  1. Can you make a best full squad, or best transfer, based on this metric algorithm, please? Thank you so much. This metric is just awesome.

  2. Can you make a best full squad, or best transfer, based on this metric algorithm, please? Thank you so much. This metric is just awesome.

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