FPL GW29 Differential Picks- Double Gameweek Special

With Double Gameweek 28 proving to be a good one for most managers we now turn the focus to Double Gameweek 29 which once again sees six teams playing twice including(Spurs, Arsenal, Brighton, Liverpool, Newcastle, and Everton). Spurs have a great double and Arsenal attack has some great options. In this blog, we have identified a few of the top six differential options including our ultra differential picks(Doherty in GW28 and Willock in GW27) to consider for FPL GW29.

Before going further, Do vote in this week’s FPL GW29 allaboutfpl captaincy poll. The same will be available in the captaincy analysis and metrics blog written by@AK_FPL1. The metrics has a 23/28 record this year. Stay tuned for the DGW29 Captaincy metric to see who tops it.

[Total_Soft_Poll id=”40″]

The results and the captaincy metric blog will be published soon based on the votes.

Note: The TSB mentioned is at the time of writing and is subject to change

FPL GW29 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Andrew Robertson vs Brighton(A), Arsenal(A), £7.2, TSB: 7.3%

Robertson is surprisingly still a differential pick in the game given how well he has performed over the weeks. Robertson’s last 7 league starts with FPL returns read as- 9, 12, 11, 6, 7, 13, 6 which counts to 64 points averaging 9.14 FPL points/game.

With most FPL teams having Salah and Alexander Arnold as two Liverpool assets, Robertson is the best 3rd Liverpool asset to own ahead of Double Gameweek in FPL GW29 even by taking a hit. This is because despite blanking in GW30, Robertson has a favorable home fixture against Watford in GW31 and also gives an easy route to Cancelo/James from GW32 onwards. Robertson should be your top priority transfer ahead of FPL GW29 easily.

Robertson Key numbers:

• 3rd most for FPL points(55) since GW22 having played just 6 games. Kane(56) and Fernandes(56) are the only ones above him but they have played 8 and 9 games respectively.
• Most FPL assists(9), 2nd most for big chances created(7), Most FPL points(98), Highest for bonus points system(379), in the league since GW13.
• First for big chances created/penalty area touches among defenders since GW13.

Further Read: FPL GW29 Preview- Arsenal, Spurs Analysis And Best FPL Assets

Dejan Kulusevski vs Man United(A), Brighton(A), £6.1, TSB: 3.6%

Kulusevski has set the ball rolling at Spurs giving the Spurs attack a much needed attacking boost. He has also enabled a bit more freedom for the dynamic duo of Son and Kane. In the last three gameweeks Kulusevski is the third highest scoring midfielder with two goals and three assists to his name during the period. His heatmaps show how actively he’s involved in the attack occupying promising positions in the opposition box.

His numbers are also up there with the Son in the last four games.

Kulusevski vs Son stats over the last four games ( Kulu left: Son Right)

Shots: 10 vs 7
Shots inside the box: 9 vs 4
Shots on Target: 3 vs 6
Big chances: 1 vs 4
Chances Created: 7 vs 11
Big chances created: 4 vs 3
Assists: 3 vs 2
xA: 0.99 vs 1.40 
xG: 0.75 VS 1.29 

Spurs have a good double gameweek with games against Man United and Brighton. They are up against two teams that don’t sit back and defend which means there will be quite some goals involved. Brighton have conceded the second most goals(9) in the last five games with only Leeds defence posting worse numbers. Ideally a Kane plus Kulusevski double up would be a great double up to gain points.

Further Read: FPL GW29 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide

Alexandre Lacazette vs Leicester(H), Liverpool(H), £8.3, TSB: 5.5%

Lacazette has been one of the few good forward options in FPL this season. He’s had five assists in the last four games scoring 23 FPL points during the period which are pretty decent numbers for a forward who’s priced at 8.3 million.

Kane seems like a must own right now. But, look at Laca points per 90. Not bad at all for his price.

Robbo of course 🔥🔥

Laca and Robbo my planned transfers this week. Both have a DGW. https://t.co/1yH1STOWSI

— FPL Frasier (@FPLfrasier) March 8, 2022

Now with a double gameweek and also a fixture in blank gameweek 30 it is hard to look beyond the Arsenal forward. His playmaking numbers doesn’t mean that his goal scoring numbers are bad either, the arsenal forward has an xG of 2.18 with 17 shots on goal indicating the goals are just around the corner.

The gunners are pushing for a champions league spot and the two home games will be crucial for them to solidify their spot. Arsenal have generally struggled away to Liverpool but have a decent record at home to Liverpool. Our bet is that Laca is amongst goals and assists this week.

Further Read: FPL GW29 Preview- Arsenal, Spurs Analysis And Best FPL Assets

Martin Ødegaard vs Leicester(H), Liverpool(H), £5.5, TSB: 5.5%

One of the sure starters from the Arsenal attack, Ødegaard finally ended his dry run of games without attacking returns with a goal against Watford in GW28. Playing a central role in attack Ødegaard pops up right outside the box occupying good areas of the pitch with an aim for the goal.

In the last four games he has had decent attacking numbers with an xG of 0.87 and an xA of 0.87 which are pretty good numbers considering Arsenal didn’t create a lot in the last four games. His 0.74 xG on target from 0.87 also indicates he’s going close to converting the chances. Liverpool and Leicester have conceded goals and chances from central areas of the pitch which gives a good match up for Ødegaard to take his chances.

At just £5.5 he’s a very good option and could be the ideal double up alongside Saka in your FPL Teams.

Further Read: Odegaard vs Martinelli vs Saka vs Lacazette- Comparison and Arsenal Analysis

Ultra Differential Picks for FPL GW29 (<2% TSB)

Gordon vs Wolves(H), Newcastle(H) £4.5, TSB: 1.7%

Everton are going through a rough patch themselves and are fighting relegation. They are 17th in the table and Lampard’s boys are in desperate need of wins. Gordon has been one of the few shining stars for Everton this season with 3 goals and 1 assist since GW21. Even in the last game against Tottenham despite a poor performance, Gordon looked good on the eye test.

Everton have two home fixtures in GW29- Wolves, Newcastle. At home, Everton are totally a different attacking side and have good goal threat as seen from below numbers. Everton have twice the amount of big chances at home(21) compared to away(11) despite playing a game less.

Everton Home(Left) vs Everton Away(Right) this season:

• Matches- 11 vs 12
• Big chances- 21 vs 11
• Shots inside the box- 103 vs 82
• Expected Goals- 16.74 vs 12.88
• Goals- 18 vs 10

Co-incidentally, Gordon has 2 double digit hauls since GW21(14 points vs Leeds, 14 point vs Brighton) both coming at home. There could be very well be a third double digit haul for Gordon in FPL GW29. With Everton likely to get a Double Gameweek in GW31/GW32, Gordon is the best 4.5 midfielder in the game at the moment and a great enabler.

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Doherty vs Manchester United(A), Brighton(A) £4.7, TSB: 1.4%

Doherty suddenly seemed to have got the attention of FPL Community after getting 2 assists and 14 points against Everton in GW28. Come last Friday, Doherty was just owned by 0.3% managers and was our Ultra-differential pick ahead of GW28 and he delivered in some style. There is no reason why he shouldn’t make the list this week again having a Double Gameweek in GW29, not blanking in GW30, good fixtures after GW30 and at just 1.3% ownership.

Doherty numbers(among defenders):

• Minutes/Expected Goals- 238.4(1st)
• Minutes/Expected Assists- 412.3(2nd)
• Minutes/Expected Goal Involvement- 151.1(1st)

The above numbers may be a little skewed as Doherty has just played 500 minutes of football, but is still one of the best attacking defenders in the game. Spurs may not get cleansheets over both the games in GW29. In fact, Spurs defensive numbers have declined over the weeks as they have switched to a more attacking style of play which is likely to lead to more goals at either end of the pitch. There is still a lot of potential for attacking returns from Doherty who has 1 goal, 3 assists, 32 points from the last 2 games. At just 4.7M, Doherty should be a priority transfer ahead of FPL GW29 both for the short term and long term.

Best Single Gameweek Differential Picks for FPL GW29:

Mahrez vs Crystal Palace, TSB: 4.2%

• 7 goals, 3 assists, 71 FPL points from this last 7 starts in Premier League averaging 10.1 FPL points/start
• Likely to start against Palace after being rested for the Champions League game(came in at 46 minutes)

Watkins vs West Ham, TSB: 10.4%

• 2 goals, 3 big chances, xG- 1.35 from 2 games since Gerrard has switched back to the two-striker formation(Ings & Watkins together)
• West Ham have conceded 53% of their chances from the center since GW13.

Ultra-Differential Pick- Pulisic(if fit) vs Newcastle, TSB: 0.8%

• Slowly getting back to his old form with 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 big chance involvements against Burnley in GW28
• 38% Goal scoring chances ahead for GW29 and is likely to start most games if fully fit.

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If you like our content do consider supporting us by contributing to the website. ALLABOUTFPL is run by the community and for the community. All our content is and will always remain free.

Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 29:

FPL GW29 Preview- Arsenal, Spurs Analysis And Best FPL Assets
FPL GW29 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
Best FPL GW29 Free Hit Team & Drafts To Consider Ahead Of Deadline
FPL GW28 Saturday Fixtures Review Based on Stats and Eye Test

Thanks for reading the ‘FPL GW29 Differentials‘ blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs. Also, follow our 50,000+community on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates. Link to all our FPL Gameweek 29 blogs.

What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 29?

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