It’s now or never time in FPL right now especially in mini-leagues. It’s the time to make audacious moves to have a crack at the top if you are very far behind. Players with less ownership(TSB) are the key to make this progress. In this blog we will look out for differential picks for FPL GW37+.
How did our differential picks fare in FPL GW36+?
3/3 picks in Giroud, Silva, and Jesus returned with points with Silva(our top pick getting the big haul). Only the ultra-differential pick in Armstrong didn’t return as he was surprisingly rested.
FPL GW37+ Differentials- Forwards
Chris Wood(6.1) vs Norwich, TSB: 1.2%, Fixtures: Norwich, Brighton
Chris Wood is back to full fitness after getting successive starts against Liverpool and Wolves in the last 2 games. Wood looks to the most talked prospect in FPL Twitter but he is just owned by 1.2% and is still a amazing differential option. He is certainly a set-piece threat and looks to be the assured penalty taker after scoring a late penalty vs Wolves last week.
Wood in numbers:
- xG of 1.23 and xG90 of 0.71 over the last 2 GWs.
- 5 goals in 4 games vs Norwich overall(including championship) and 2 goals(13 points) in the reverse fixture in GW6.
- Third highest xG(1.23) in GW36+ only behind Giroud(who played Norwich) and Kane.
Further Read: Best Free Hit team for FPL GW37+ with analysis
Harry Kane(10.9) vs Leicester, TSB: 10.9%
Harry Kane has certainly got the eye back of FPL managers with two goals and 12 points against Newcastle in GW36+. Leicester had looked good defensively vs Sheffield with Soyuncu. But Kane is always a trusted differential pick who you can rely upon especially due to his end of the season form. He always a loves a goal against Leicester and his good record against them speaks for itself.
Kane in numbers:
- Kane has second highest xG(2.12) among forwards in FPL over the last two GWs- Only behind Jesus(2.26)
- 12 goals in 9 games vs Leicester in Premier League, averaging 1.3 goals per game
- Goal and 8 points in the reverse fixture in GW6.
Further Read: 5 Best Captain Choices to Consider Ahead of FPL GW 37+ Deadline
FPL GW37+ Differentials- Midfielders
Phil Foden(5.5) vs Watford, TSB: 6.3%
The gamble of Phil Foden in GW36+ certainly didn’t pay off. But that is not the end of the road for him. He played full 90 mins against Bournemouth which means he will be rested for FA Cup game, then start again vs Watford. Foden averages 8.25 points/per game while starting compared to 5.1 points/game overall since restart.
Foden in numbers:
- Has registered four goals and an assist in seven appearances since the season restart, registering 41 points averaging more than 5 PPG
- He has returned double-digit hauls in two games out of the four home games he has started since the season restart, 16 points vs Burnley, 12 vs Liverpool
- 13 shots on goal and 6 key passes in the last seven games since the restart, an indicator that goals + assists will also increase.
Further Read: History Of Fantasy Football And Origin Of FPL
Stuart Armstrong(5.2) vs Bournemouth, TSB: 1.0%
We still back our last week’s ultra-differential pick to fire this week. He was rested against Brighton last week and would be raring to go.
The numbers- Armstrong:
- 2 goals, 3 assists, 35 points since restart averaging 5.83 points/game excluding Brighton game.
- Saints have lost just one game since restart after playing United, City, Arsenal, Everton in the process.
- Bournemouth have only one cleansheet in last 19 games and have conceded 15 goals since restart(second worst).
Redmond(6.2) is also another good option from Saints but he doesn’t attack much higher compared to Armstrong. Armstrong effectively plays as second-striker to Ings in most of the plays.
Further Read: Best Free Hit team for FPL GW37+ with analysis
FPL GW37+ Defenders:
James Tarkowski(5.4) vs Norwich, TSB: 6.4%
Tarkowski seems to a no-brainer option for FPL GW37+ if you want to transfer in a defender or on free hit. Norwich have not conceded the most goals(16) since restart, but are also vulnerable to set pieces. Tarkowski who has played every minute of the season so far is their target man in set pieces. Tarkwoski scored the highest points in GW12(12 points) and GW13(17 points) and maybe he is due for a similar big haul against Norwich. Burnley would look to extend their unbeaten run to 7 games and end the season on a high.
Tarkowski- Stat attack
- Norwich have conceded the most goals from set-pieces this season(16)
- Tarkowski- 5th highest xG among defenders since the restart, 6th highest scoring defender in FPL.
- Goal and an assist to his name since the restart, Burnley are unbeaten in last 6 games.
Further Read: Best Free Hit team for FPL GW37+ with analysis
Matt Doherty(6.5) vs Crystal Palace, TSB: 13.2%
Doherty came on as a substitute last week against Burnley but still managed to return as the highest scoring Wolves defender. He will be fresh and eager to play against Palace who will be without Van Aanholt(5.6) who dislocated his shoulder. Doherty would look to make most of this opportunity and exploit the inexperienced Riedewald(likely replacement).
Doherty- Key stats:
- 4 goals, 7 assists this season- Same as last season tally and wold look to improve
- Up against Palace who has lost seven in a row
- Palace has scored only goals in only 1 of their last 6 games.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW37+ Deadline:
- FPL GW37+ Captain Picks
- Best Free Hit team for FPL GW37+ with analysis
- Why tripling up on Manchester United assets is essential? Best Man Utd trio to triple up on FPL for the rest of the season
- History Of Fantasy Football And Origin Of FPL
All our GW37+ blogs are out now, Follow ALLABOUTFPL on twitter for Last-minute tips for FPL GW37+ ahead of deadline which is on Saturday at 16:30 PM GMT.
Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular updates. Also, follow our 6000+community on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates.
Srinivasan S
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