Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 31 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. A blank gameweek means we’ll be unable to choose Salah as a captaincy option. The popular captaincy options this week in the absence of Salah and Isak include Haaland, Wood, Kluivert, Mbeumo & Bruno Fernandes. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics!
This season the metrics has a 22/30 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 + 6 + 16 + 58 + 40 + 28 + 12 + 30 + 14 + 6 = 600 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW31 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW31 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW31 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Isak tops the captaincy poll this week ahead of Newcastle’s Monday night fixture against Leicester(A), Salah is 2nd in the captaincy poll with 36% of the votes and will be up against Fulham(A). Saka, who marked his return from injury with a goal vs Fulham, is 3rd in the captaincy poll and will be against Everton(A). The top five in the captaincy poll is completed by Marmoush and Palmer.
Note: Isak is currently yellow-flagged due to a groin issue that he picked up in the GW30 fixture against Brentford.
Howe on Isak + Trippier in Friday’s press conference: “We’ll wait and see today, I will see them for the first time today. We don’t think we have any big injuries from Wednesday night, but we have a few niggles.”
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 31 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 31 Captain picks
Salah tops the table with an xG of 3.70 in the last six games, including 6 big chances. He’s also created 15 chances and has had 13 goal attempts in the box, which is the highest amongst the five players.
Isak is 2nd in the table with an xG of 3.51 in the last six games and is joint top for big chances(6) and goal attempts in the box(13)
Palmer is 3rd with an xG of 3.28, 12 goal attempts in the box, 10 chances created, and four big chances in the last six games.
Marmoush is fourth with an xG of 2.43 and will be playing his first Manchester derby.
Saka registered 8 points in GW30 vs Fulham, making a successful return from a long injury layoff. He is only 5th in the table with an xG of 2.19 in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW31 Wildcard Team- Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Mo Salah top the Team Underlying Data with 12.16 xG over the last 6 matches, which is the highest amongst the five teams. The Reds also had 71 shots inside the box and 17 big chances during the period.
Man City are second with 9.5 xG over the last six games, the Blues have also had 46 goal attempts in the box and 14 big chances.
Chelsea rank 3rd for xG amongst the five teams, registering 8.64 xG in the six games. They have also had a healthy 50 shots inside the box and 15 big chances
Arsenal are only 4th with an xG of 8.31, and they have had 10 big chances & 61 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Newcastle United are last on the table with an xG of 7.06, 48 shots inside the box & 13 big chances.
Further Read: FPL GW31 Tips – Gabriel Replacements, Players to Target, Premium Mids & More
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW31
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Newcastle United are first with a 86% odds of at least 1 goal and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW30 vs Leicester City(A)
Chelsea are joint second with 82% odds of at least 1 goal and 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Brentford(A)
Liverpool are joint second with 82% odds of at least 1 goal and 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Fulham(A)
Man City are 4th with 80% odds of at least 1 goal and 27% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW31 against Man United(A)
Arsenal are 5th and have a 73% odds of at least 1 goal and 18% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Everton(A) in GW31.
Further Read: FPL GW31 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 31 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah is first for projections this week with 63% anytime returns & a 7.3 points projection in FPL GW31 vs Fulham(A)
Isak is second this week with 67% anytime returns & a 5.4 points projection in FPL GW31 against Leicester(A).
Palmer meanwhile is 3rd and has a 59% anytime returns & a 6.3 points projection in GW31 against Brentford(A)
Saka is also 3rd and has a 60% anytime returns & a 5.4 points projection in FPL GW31 against Everton(A)
Marmoush is last with a 50% anytime return & a 4.9 points projection in GW31 vs Man City(A)
The reason Saka and Isak have higher anytime returns odds but fewer predicted points is because their xMins is around 60 mins as per FFHUB(Saka is predicted to play 68 mins and Isak is predicted to play 64 mins)
Eddie Howe’s team-news ahead of Monday: “We’ll wait and see today, I will see them [Kieran Trippier and Alexander Isak] for the first time today. We don’t think we have any big injuries from Wednesday night, but we have a few niggles.
Arteta on if Saka will start v Everton: “That’s a possibility, we’re going to decide tomorrow what the best option is.”
Further Read: FPL GW31 Wildcard Team- Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 31 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops our FPL Gameweek 31 captaincy metrics this week with a CRF of 5. Isak is 2nd with a CRF of 10, Palmer is 3rd with a CRF of 11, Marmoush is 4th with a CRF of 15, and Saka is last with a CRF of 17.
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW31:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
FPL GW31 Wildcard Team- Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
FPL GW31 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 31 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW31 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL Gameweek 31 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy/Hold/Sell
FPL GW31 Tips – Gabriel Replacements, Players to Target, Premium Mids & More
Premier League GW31 Predictions and Prizes- Sleeper Pick’em
FPL GW31 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
Link to all our FPL GW31 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW31:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
FPL GW31 Wildcard Team- Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
FPL GW31 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 31 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW31 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL Gameweek 31 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy/Hold/Sell
FPL GW31 Tips – Gabriel Replacements, Players to Target, Premium Mids & More
Premier League GW31 Predictions and Prizes- Sleeper Pick’em
FPL GW31 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
Link to all our FPL GW31 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 31 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?
We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, scout picks, gameweek preview, captaincy metrics, FPL GW31 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Threads and Facebook keep our notification ON.
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 31 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?
We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, scout picks, gameweek preview, captaincy metrics, FPL GW31 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Threads and Facebook keep our notification ON.
Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)
FPL GW31 FPL Deadline Countdown
Login and set your team for FPL GW31 now!
AK - Anurag Khetan
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