Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW10

GW9 was the most polarising week of all, with some managers feeling hard done by after players like Havertz and Vardy blanked, and some finally seeing their risks paying off – Chilwell, James, Mount, and Foden all rewarded those who had taken a chance on them. If you, like me, were left feeling jealous, then FPL GW10 is the perfect time to consider jumping on these assets, as players like Mbeumo, Raphinha, and Sarr all come under question. As well as this, there are some new, cheap, enabling midfielders who may be the perfect differential for your squad.

Before going further, Do vote in this week’s FPL GW10 allaboutfpl captaincy poll. The same will be available in the captaincy analysis and metrics blog written by@AK_FPL1. The metrics has an 8/9 record this year. Last week the metric predicted Salah as the best captaincy candidate and he returned once again in GW9 with a double-digit haul. Stay tuned for the GW10 Captaincy metric to see who tops it. Link to all our FPL Gameweek 10 blogs.

[Total_Soft_Poll id=”19″]

The results and the captaincy metric blog will be published soon based on the votes.

[All statistics taken from FFSCOUT]

FPL GW10 Popular FPL Player Comparisons

Mount (£7.5m) vs Foden (£8.1m) comparison ahead of FPL GW10

As Lukaku’s injury became clear, many managers (me included) jumped on the opportunity of having an out-of-position Chelsea striker for games against Norwich, Newcastle, and Burnley. Unfortunately, it was Mount who hauled against Norwich, not Havertz.

After a particularly impressive performance against Liverpool, Phil Foden has been the go-to City asset, and his 18 points in GW9 means that many are torn between him and Mount.

Surely both will be nailed now that they have proven to be in brilliant form, but we do have to consider that their respective teams tend to be rotated; most of the time unpredictably so.

Mount vs Foden: The Stats

*Mount is on 447 minutes; Foden 375 minutes

**Figures in brackets are per appearance

	Mount	Foden
Goals	3	3
Assists	1	1
xGI	4.57 (0.70)	2.69 (0.50)
Goal Attempts	15 (2.1)	13 (2.6)
Shots in Box	8	13
Big Chances	2 (0.30)	4 (0.80)
Penalty Area Touches	24	33
Crosses	23	26

As you can see, both are in brilliant form, and both make a great case.

Although they have the same number of goals and assists, Mount has had fewer chances overall. Therefore, this leans me towards Foden – Mount has been very clinical, but Foden having more big chances and attempts on average suggests that he’s more likely to consistently deliver points over the next few games.

Mount’s Heatmaps

Foden’s Heatmaps

Heatmaps from FFSCOUT

Again, both (annoyingly) very closely matched.

Chelsea vs City Stats at a Glance

	Chelsea	Man City
Goals	23	20
Penalty Area Touches	229 (4th)	349 (1st)
Chances Created	97 (7th)	123 (3rd)
Goal Attempts	126 (6th)	165 (2nd)
Shots on Target	50 (3rd)	51 (2nd)
Goals Conceded	3	4
Shots Conceded	101	59

Although Chelsea have more goals, and have therefore been more clinical, City’s stats are brilliant.

These figures must push us towards Foden, however infuriating the Pep Roulette is.

Mount	Foden
new	CRY
BUR	mun
lei	EVE
MUN	WHU
wat	avl
whu	wat
LEE	WOL
EVE	LEE

In the short term, Chelsea definitely have the better fixtures, but the issue with these two teams is that they are pretty fixture-proof – teams like Leicester, United, Everton, and West Ham will struggle against the title contenders.

I think it’s a great idea to have either Mount or Havertz in the short-term to capitalise on those lovely fixtures, and maybe a move over to Foden between GW12-13 if you have the luxury to do so. I think Werner and Lukaku will be likely to return around then, so I do think Mount would be better utilised as a short-term asset.

Mount vs Foden: The Verdict

I would argue that Foden has proven himself to be a more consistent asset, but he’s the one most at risk of being rested in the coming weeks. If you made the popular move to Havertz, I wouldn’t rush to replace him so quickly – Chelsea still have brilliant fixtures against Newcastle and Burnley.

If you’re looking to upgrade someone like Raphinha or Sarr, I would lean towards Mount. He should have his starting place solidified at least for the next few weeks. The issue with Mount is, when Lukaku and Werner are back in the picture, his place will be a lot more uncertain. For now, I think Mount is a short-term pick.

Cornet (£6m) vs ESR (£5.5m) comparison ahead of FPL GW10

Up until now, Saka was the more popular pick from Arsenal. After some injury problems and a brilliant display from Smith-Rowe, he may be the perfect set-and-forget budget midfielder for your squad.

Burnley have had a less than impressive start to the season, but it’s apparent that Maxwel Cornet is the stand-out star of the team. Is he a viable FPL asset?

Cornet vs ESR: The Stats

* Data is heavily skewed, with Cornet on 214 minutes and ESR on 717 minutes

** Stats per appearance in brackets

	Cornet	ESR
Goals	3	3
Assists	0	0
xGI	1.05 (0.30)	2.21 (0.20)
Goal Attempts	7 (1.8)	13 (1.4)
Shots in Box	6	11
Big Chances	2 (0.5)	2 (0.2)
Penalty Area Touches	10	27
Crosses	5	11

Unfortunately, we don’t have a lot of data for Cornet, as he has only made 4 appearances so far. However, it is clear that he is a brilliant player, and will be crucial to Burnley getting those all-important points to avoid relegation.

Smith-Rowe, along with Arsenal, had a shaky start to the season. After overcoming a struggling Tottenham, it seems as though they have gotten into a great stride, so it’s no surprise that he’s one of the most popular transfers in this gameweek.

From the data, you wouldn’t be able to tell that ESR has had more than triple the amount of game-time as Cornet. On average, Cornet is performing better – but this may be due to the skew in the data set. The big thing deterring managers from Cornet has to be the Burnley side itself, so looking at their figures and upcoming games will be crucial to deciding if Cornet is worth the risk.

Cornet’s Heatmaps

Smith-Rowe’s Heatmaps

Heatmaps from FFSCOUT

Burnley vs Arsenal Stats at a Glance

	Burnley	Arsenal
Goals	7	10
Penalty Area Touches	164 (18th)	211 (7th)
Chances Created	78 (joint 13th)	100 (6th)
Goal Attempts	103 (13th)	131 (5th)
Shots on Target	32 (joint 12th)	40 (6th)
Goals Conceded	15 (joint 9th)	13 (joint 7th)
Shots Conceded	143 (15th)	133 (12th)

Some other things to note:

• Only Norwich and Newcastle have less shots on target than Burnley
• Only 4 teams have less goal attempts than Burnley

Looking at this, I don’t think I would be investing in a Burnley player. If Burnley prove that they can start consistently getting some points on the board against the bottom half of the table, then maybe.

Despite their poor start, Arsenal are definitely recovering, and I think ESR is the best attacking asset from that squad.

Burnley	Arsenal
BRE	lei
che	WAT
CRY	liv
TOT	NEW
wol	mun
new	eve
WHU	SOU
WAT	WHU

Looking at this, I wouldn’t be bringing in Cornet right now. Brentford and Chelsea are going to be difficult games for Burnley, and even against Palace and Wolves they could struggle.

However, I don’t think Smith-Rowe is going to be an obvious set-and-forget transfer either. In the immediate future, Arsenal won’t hit a particularly favourable fixture run, and he may cause a benching headache during those tougher games.

Cornet vs ESR: The Verdict

I think my points have already been made – I just don’t think it’s sensible to jump on a player from a team who have a very poor record so far. By all means, Cornet could be a differential gem, but I don’t think Burnley’s performances and upcoming fixtures warrant us taking a chance on him just yet.

As for now, I think Smith-Rowe is a safe option. I’m still a little sceptical about Arsenal, but if they come up trumps against Leicester that will be a great sign for the weeks to come.

Cancelo (£6.3m) vs Chilwell (£5.8m) comparison ahead of FPL GW10

The ‘big at the back’ strategy is still a firm favourite, and after Chilwell’s last few performances over 300,000 managers have bought him in anticipation for GW10.

For those without a City or Chelsea defender, the decision can be a little more complicated. Hopefully an in-depth look at their numbers will help with this.

Cancelo vs Chilwell: The Stats

* All data shown for gameweeks 7-9; unless stated

** Stats per appearance, for the whole season, in brackets

	Cancelo	Chilwell
Goals	0	3
Assists	0	0
xGI	0.83 (0.30)	0.80 (0.30)
Goal Attempts	7 (1.9)	7 (2.3)
Shots in Box	2	6
Big Chances	1 (0.2)	1 (0.3)
Penalty Area Touches	7 (2.6)	11 (3.7)
Crosses	7	20

It seems as though, as soon as FPL managers started gambling on the Pep Roulette, Cancelo got very unlucky and has not returned over the last three weeks. However, his stats are still promising.

As we know, Chilwell has hit blistering form and his numbers are also very enticing. Of course, he has over-performed his stats, but it’s hard to overlook these figures in favour of Cancelo, especially when Chilwell’s starting spot must be as ‘nailed on’ as it could be.

Cancelo’s Heatmaps

Chilwell’s Heatmaps

Heatmaps from FFSCOUT

City vs Chelsea Stats at a Glance

	Man City	Chelsea
Goals	20	23
Penalty Area Touches	349 (1st)	229 (4th)
Chances Created	123 (3rd)	97 (7th)
Goal Attempts	165 (2nd)	126 (6th)
Shots on Target	51 (2nd)	50 (3rd)
Goals Conceded	4 (2nd)	3 (1st)
Shots Conceded	59 (1st)	101 (4th)

Not a lot more to say on this. City make a good case for being a better defensive team, but will that be a swaying factor when you look at the next fixtures?

Cancelo	Chilwell
CRY	new
mun	BUR
EVE	lei
WHU	MUN
avl	wat
wat	whu
WOL	LEE
LEE	EVE

Looking at this set of fixtures again, it still isn’t easy to decide who has the more favourable games.

I think what I said for Mount vs Foden can be applied here: going for the Chelsea wingback, at least in the short term, is a great move. Maybe a move to Cancelo at around GW12-13 would be a good tactical decision, but I don’t think it’s necessary. If Chelsea carry on their great form, Chilwell becomes pretty fixture-proof, and is arguably less subject to rotation than the City team.

Cancelo vs Chilwell: The Verdict

I think I’m going to side with the Chelsea asset here, considering he’s going into games against Newcastle and Burnley in great form and with (fingers crosses) his starting place nailed for the coming weeks. Opting for him also maximises your all-important budget.

I still think Cancelo is a great option if you’re sticking with the hard-hitting defenders. Doubling up on James and Chilwell is also a strategy that could come up with great rewards.

Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 10:

FPL GW9 Fixture Wise Stats and Eye Test-Based Review

Link to all our FPL Gameweek 10 blogs.

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