Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some big scores, where 3 of our 6 picks returned with FPL points.

• Kieran Trippier – 1 Assist, 1 Clean Sheet, 1 Bonus – 12 Points
• Harvey Barnes – 3 Goals, 1 Assist, 4 Bonus – 27 Points
• Conor Bradley – 1 Clean Sheet, 3 Bonus – 9 Points

That makes it 87/192 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Thursday, 17th April, 2025. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide not to go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW34 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, free hit drafts, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Raul Jimenez(Fulham) vs Southampton(A) – £5.3 Forward – 5.8 % TSB

• With Muniz injured for this Gameweek, Raul Jimenz becomes a very enticing differential for this Gameweek. Jimenez faces a Southampton team which has conceded the most Shots, Shots on Target and Shots in the Box, xGC, Big Chances and Goals in the League. 
• Southampton concede an average of 2.43 Goals per game. They also have the worst home xGC in the league and have conceded 43 in 16 at home. They concede a lot of shots from the Center of the pitch. Southampton have also conceded the most penalties in the league (9). Who takes penalties for Fulham and plays as the Central Striker for Fulham? – Raul Jimenez
• Raul has 10 Goals and 3 Assists this season. His stats are great with 29 Shots on Target, 67 Shots in the Box and 19 Big Chances. Creativity wise he has created 6 Big Chances and played 18 key passes for his team-mates.

Silva on team news: “Muniz is going to be out for the next game, let’s see after that. It’s going to be hard to have him back (soon)

Further Read: FPL GW34 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Jorgen Strand Larsen(Wolves) vs Leicester(H) – £5.4 Forward – 5.2 % TSB

• Strand Larsen has been a man on a mission in the last few gameweeks where he has got 5 Goals in the last 5 gameweeks. Leicester tend to concede a lot big chances and their left-side is their weakness. They’re also the worst in the league at defending set-pieces and headed attempts. Who averages the most big chances for Wolves and is a big threat from Set pieces? Jorgen Strand Larsen.
• Strand Larsen has had a great debut season for Wolves with 12 Goals and 2 Assists and could be the main man for Wolves next season, if Cunha leaves. He has had 21 Big Chances, 32 Shots on Target and 47 Shots in the Box. He has created 5 Big Chances and played 19 key passes for his team-mates.

Larsen Attack Rank among Forwards since GW29:

• Big Chances- 1st
• xG- 3rd
• Goals- 1st
• FPL Points- 1st

• Leicester are in the Bottom 3 for Shots conceded, Shots on Target conceded and Shots in the Box conceded. They are in the bottom 2 for xGC, Goals conceded and Big Chances conceded. In addition, their away xGC is the worst in the league and they’ve conceded 39 goals in 16 games away games.

Further Read: FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts

Ryan Sessegnon(Fulham) vs Southampton(A) – £4.1 Defender – 2.6 % TSB

• An OOP (Out of Position) Defender playing as a Right Winger against the lowest scorers in the League is a Gift worth having this Gameweek for FPL Managers playing their Free Hits. Since starting in this advanced role from Gameweek 31, Sessesgnon has picked up 2 attacking returns and a couple of Bonus points. 
• Among all defenders since Gameweek 31, Sessegnon ranks 1^st for Shots, Penalty Box Touches. He ranks 3^rd for FPL Points among defenders and 5^th for xG. Sessegnon also has got the most Big Chances since starting on the Right Wing. Southampton have also gifted a lot of FPL Points and opportunities to players playing on the Right wing in the last few Gameweeks such as Bowen, Rogers, Malen and Johnson.

Silva on Wilson: “We could use him from the start or bench. Sess is playing well. I need to decide, but Harry will be involved.”

Note: Sessegnon isn’t a gauranteed starter with Harry Wilson coming back but we feel it will be Sessegnon starting and Wilson coming off the bench.

Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis

Kieran Trippier(Newcastle United) vs Ipswich(H) – £5.6 Defender – 5.5 % TSB

• Newcastle have the best odds to keep a Clean Sheet this Gameweek. They have a 47% chance of keeping a Clean Sheet. They play an Ipswich side who have scored the 3^rd fewest Goals and have the 3^rd lowest xG. Trippier has kept 3 Clean Sheets and has got 3 Bonus Points over the last 5 Gameweeks. He is a Bonus Point Magnet whenever he gets an attacking return due to his creativity.
• Ipswich concede a high volume of big chances and are fairly poor at defending set-pieces. This should play into the hands of Trippier who is on corners and free kicks. Trippier’s 10 chances created are also a team leading total across the last 6 Gameweeks and should help him to get attacking returns this Gameweek in addition to his strong Clean Sheet potential.

Further Read: FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts

Harvey Barnes(Newcastle United) vs Ipswich(H) – £6.0 Midfielder – 5.8 % TSB

• Over the last 6 Gameweeks, Barnes has stepped up big time in Gordon’s absence. He is the Top Points scorer in FPL with 51 points in the last 7 Games. He has scored 4 Goals, got 4 Assists and 4 Bonus Points over this period. Ipswich concede a high volume of big chances and Barnes is the one who has got the most Big Chances among the Newcastle team in this period.
• Among midfielders, only Salah has registered a higher xGI in the last 6 Gameweeks than Barnes’s 4.29. No midfielder can better Barnes’ 18 Shots in the Box over this period. Newcastle average more than 2 goals per game and Ipswich have conceded an average of 2.43 Goals per game. He has also got attacking returns in all of his last 6 games.
• Ipswich are in the Bottom 4 for Shots conceded, Shots on Target conceded and Shots in the Box conceded. They are in the bottom 3 for xGC, Goals conceded and Big Chances conceded. They have the second worst away xGC in the league and have conceded 31 in 16 away games.

Further Read: FPL GW34 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

FPL GW34 Ultra Differential Pick (Under 1 % Ownership)

Nelson Semedo(Wolves) vs Leicester City(H), £4.5 Defender, 0.7% TSB

• Wolves face a Leicester team who have scored just 4 goals since Gameweek 21. They have failed to score in 11 of the 13 Gameweeks since Gameweek 21. Leicester are ranked the Bottom team for most attacking metrics such as Shots, Shots on Target, Big Chances and xG. 
• Leicester are weakest from their Left wing and have time & again allowed Right Wingers or Right Backs to haul against them in multiple fixtures. Semedo will line up as the Right Back in this fixture and could add to his 4 Assists this Gameweek. His creative stats are decent with 3 Big Chances created and 19 key passes for his team-mates.

Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW34:

2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
FPL GW34 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
FPL GW34 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Premier League GW34 Predictions and Prizes- Sleeper Pick’em
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

Link to all our FPL GW34 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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