Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. A double gameweek for Newcastle & Crystal Palace means managers will look to captain doublers this week.. The popular captaincy options this week include Isak, Mateta, and Murphy. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics!
This season the metrics has a 22/30 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 + 6 + 16 + 58 + 40 + 28 + 12 + 30 + 14 + 6 + 4 = 604 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW32 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW32 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW32 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Isak tops the captaincy poll this week ahead of two home games against Man United(H) and Crystal Palace(H). Teammate Murphy who scored a brace in GW31 on Monday night, is 2nd in the captaincy poll. Mateta is 3rd in the captaincy poll and will be up against Man City(A) and Newcastle(A). The top five in the captaincy poll is completed by Salah and Palmer, even though they don’t double the premium midfielders have good home games with Salah up against West Ham(H) and Palmer up against Ipswich(H)
Further Read: FPL GW32 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 32 Captain picks
Mateta tops the table with an xG of 3.76 in the last six games, including 7 big chances, which is the highest amongst the five players.
Salah is 2nd in the table with an xG of 3.28 in the last six games and is 2nd for big chances(6). Salah is top for goal attempts in the box(12) and chances created(17)
Palmer is 3rd with an xG of 3.20, 12 goal attempts in the box, 7 chances created, and 4 big chances in the last six games.
The in-form Jacob Murphy is fourth with an xG of 2.88 and has had four big chances in the last six games. Surprisingly, Isak is only 5th in the table with an xG of 2.17 in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 32 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
The Reds take the first spot with an xG of 12.0 in the last six games and have had 73 shots inside the box and 18 big chances during the period.
The Eagles are second with 11.93 xG over the last six games, they have also had 56 goal attempts in the box and 18 big chances.
Newcastle rank 3rd for xG amongst the five teams, registering 9.56 xG in the six games. They have also had a healthy 49 shots inside the box and 14 big chances
Chelsea are last on the table with an xG of 9.34, 56 shots inside the box & 17 big chances.
Further Read: FPL GW32 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW32
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Newcastle United are first with a 95.17%% odds of at least 1 goal and 56% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW32 vs Man United(H) and Crystal Palace(H)
Chelsea are third with 88% odds of at least 1 goal and 52% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Iswpich(H), the blues have strong odds despite playing only once in GW32 and its mainly down to the easy game vs relegation candidates Ipswich.
Liverpool are fourth with 87% odds of at least 1 goal and 48% odds of scoring 2+ goals against West Ham(H)
Crystal Palace are last despite their double with 85.6% odds of at least 1 goal and 20.8% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW32 and it’s mainly down to the tricky away games against Man City and Newcastle United.
Further Read: Top FPL GW32 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Isak is first for projections this week with 89% anytime returns & a 13.6 points projection in FPL DGW32.
Mateta is second this week with 71% anytime returns & a 10.2 points projection in FPL DGW32.
Murphy meanwhile is 3rd and has a 71% anytime returns & a 9.2 points projection in DGW32.
Salah is also 4th understandably as he doesn’t double and has a 71% anytime returns & a 8.6 points projection in FPL GW32 against West Ham(H)
Palmer is last with a 67% anytime return & a 7.1 points projection in GW32 vs Ipswich(H)
Further Read: FPL GW32 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 32 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Mateta and Isak are joint top in our FPL Gameweek 32 captaincy metrics this week with a CRF of 10. Salah and Murphy are 2nd with a CRF of 11, and Palmer is last with a CRF of 16.
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW32:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
FPL GW32 Scout Selection based on Stats and Matchups
Top FPL GW32 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 32 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 32 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW32 Tips – Saka Injury, BB32, Players to Target & More
FPL GW32 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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