Top FPL GW28 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some big scores, with 5 of our 6 picks returning with FPL Points last week. 

• Jarrod Bowen – 1 Assist – 6 Points
• Christopher Nkunku – 1 Goal, 1 Assist, 1 Bonus – 12 Points
• Jean Phillipe Mateta – 1 Goal, 2 Bonus – 8 Points
• Bruno Fernandes – 2 Assists, 2 Bonus – 10 Points
• Pedro Neto – 1 Goal, 1 Assist – 11 Points

That makes it 76/162 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will highlight 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Wednesday, March 5th, 2025. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide not to go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW28 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW28 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Eberechi Eze – Crystal Palace – 6.7 Midfielder – 7.7 % TSB

• Crystal Palace are ranked top for xG over the Last 6 Gameweeks. They generated a huge 4.31 xG against Aston Villa, which was their highest-ever figure at home. They face an Ipswich team who are ranked in the Top 5 for Shots conceded, Shots in the Box conceded and Shots on Target conceded. Ipswich are also ranked in the Top 2 for xGC conceded and Big Chances conceded.
• Ipswich are ranked in the Top 2 for attempts conceded from Set pieces. With Mateta set to miss this game, Eze will be the man to take penalties for Palace. He would also be responsible for corner duties and free kicks, which gives him multiple avenues to points.
• Eze has underperformed badly this season with only 2 Goals from an xG of 5.4. He has had 21 Shots on Target, 31 Shots in the box, and 7 Big Chances. He has also picked up 6 Assists this season. Creativity-wise, he has created 9 Big Chances and played 49 key passes for his teammates.
• Note: Eze blanks in GW29 and he’s a transfer option for those thinking of a free hit in GW29 or have the choice to bench him and still field a 11 in GW29. 

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

Rayan Ait Nouri – Wolves – 4.7 Defender – 6.1 % TSB

• Ait Nouri has 3 Goals and 5 Assists this season. He has had 6 Shots on Target, 18 Shots in the Box, and been presented with 3 Big Chances. Creativity-wise, he has created 4 Big Chances and played 23 key passes. 

• Wolves have a brilliant fixture run where they play Everton, Southampton, West Ham, and Ipswich. All these teams are in the Bottom 6 for xG and Big Chances which could result in some Clean sheets for Wolves in this upcoming period.
• With Talisman Cunha now suspended, Wolves would need to find more routes to goals. Ait Nouri is probably their 3^rd Best Attacking Threat after Cunha and Strand Larsen. 

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

Dominik Szoboslai – Liverpool –  6.4 Midfielder – 3.9 % TSB – 

• An 11 and a 13 Pointer in the Last 2 Gameweeks. Playing higher up the pitch, Szoboslai actually has more shots than any of his Liverpool teammates over the last 6 Gameweeks. He has quietly racked up an impressive 12 Attacking returns, with 5 Goals and 7 Assists this season.
• Szoboslai’s xGI of 3.2 for the period GW23-27 is the 2nd highest amongst Liverpool assets only behind the FPL Goat, Mo Salah.

• Southampton are ranked for all Defensive Metrics such as Shots conceded, Shots in the Box Conceded, Shots on Target conceded, Big Chances conceded, xGC, and actual Goals conceded. Liverpool will look to go all guns blazing in this fixture and probably wrap it up by the 1^st half.

Further Read: Impact of FA Cup on FPL Blank Gameweek 34 | FPL BGW34

Jorgen Strand Larsen – Wolves –  5.2 Forward –  1.1 % TSB – 

• Strand Larsen will be the main source of goals in the absence of Cunha. He also should be the first-choice penalty taker. Wolves will face leaky teams such as Southampton, West Ham, Ipswich, and Spurs over the next 5 Gameweeks and should profit from this great fixture run. Although he has recently returned from injury but has played 70 minutes over the last two, so he should be fit enough to start going forward.

• Strand Larsen has got 7 Goals and 2 Assists this season and has good attacking stats with 36 Shots in the Box and 24 Shots on Target. He has got 15 Big Chances. He has created 3 Big Chances and played 9 Key passes for his teammates.
• Wolves have also improved attacking-wise since Vitor Pereira’s appointment and are 10^th best for goals scored in the League. He could be a good Cunha replacement as a cheap enabler.

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

Marc Cucurella – Chelsea –  5.1 Defender –  7.6 % TSB

• We all thought Cucurella was a defensive-minded Defender but he has surprised us all with 3 Goals and 2 Assists this season. In fact he has been handed a much more attacking license over the last few Gameweeks. Cucurella has had 12 Shots in the last 12 Gameweeks, but before that, he had only 1 Shot all season.
• Leicester have conceded the most shots on goal and number of goals from the right flank, which further raises Cucurella’s stock. Leicester are ranked in the Bottom 3 for Shots, Shots in the Box, Shots on Target, Big Chances, and xG. They have also scored the 2^nd  least Goals in the League.
• The Foxes seem to be a team who have given up and are comfortably worst amongst all teams in terms of form in the last 12 gameweeks.

Further Read: Impact of FA Cup on FPL Blank Gameweek 34 | FPL BGW34

FPL GW28 Ultra Differential Pick
(Under 1 % Ownership)

Eddie Nketiah – Crystal Palace –  5.9 Forward – 0.6 % TSB

• Nketiah has not been a regular starter for Palace after his move this season but could start getting more minutes now with a horrible injury to Mateta. Last week, Nketiah scored off the bench and has one of the best fixtures to come into the first team. He will be the primary goal threat for Palace in Mateta’s absence.
• Nketiah’s stats are not too impressive but that is because of his limited game time. He has had 8 Shots on Target, 20 Shots in the Box, and got 3 Big Chances. Ipswich have conceded the third-most goals (57) with an xGC of 51.7 (2^nd worst). Ipswich are in the Top 4 for Shots conceded, Shots in the Box conceded and Shots on Target conceded. Ipswich are also ranked in the Top 2 for xGC conceded and Big Chances conceded.
• Note: Nketiah blanks in GW29 and he’s a transfer option for those thinking of a free hit in GW29 or have the choice to bench him and still field a 11 in GW29. 

That’s it for Gameweek 28. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 28.

Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW28:

2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
Impact of FA Cup on FPL Blank Gameweek 34 | FPL BGW34
FPL GW28 Scout Selection- Top Picks Based on Stats and Matchups
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
Top FPL GW28 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW28 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW28 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 28 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

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