Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 29 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. A blank gameweek means we’ll be unable to choose Salah as a captaincy option. The popular captaincy options this week in the absence of Salah and Isak include Haaland, Wood, Kluivert, Mbeumo & Bruno Fernandes. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics!
This season the metrics has a 21/28 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 + 6 + 16 + 58 + 40 + 28 + 12 + 30 = 580 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW29 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW29 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW29 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Wood tops the captaincy poll this week with a whopping 45% of the votes and will be against Ipswich Town. Haaland is second in the poll with 21% of the votes, and Bruno who has had a sensational couple of days is 3rd in the poll. The Man United captain scored a wonderful free-kick goal vs Arsenal last weekend and bagged a hat trick vs Real Sociedad in the Europa League. The top five in the captaincy poll is completed by Kluivert and Mbeumo who’ll be playing against each other.
Further Read: FPL GW29 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 29 Captain picks
Haaland comes out on top for underlying numbers with an xG of 3.68 and 12 Shots inside the Box from the last 6 games. He also had 8 big chances in the PL over the last six games and has converted 4 of them.
Wood is close behind Haaland in the 2nd place with an xG of 2.75 and has had four big chances in the last six games(75% conversion rate). He has had only seven shots in the last six games(All from inside the box) and has scored four goals which isn’t a surprise considering his form this season.
Mbeumo is 3rd with an xG of 2.05 in the last six games with 3 big chances, 7 chances created, and 11 goal attempts in the box.
Kluivert takes the fourth spot in the underlying numbers table with 1.69 xG in the last six games. He has created 15 chances and has had 7 goal attempts in the box during the period.
Bruno is only 5th with an xG of 0.74, he has created 14 chances and has had only 2 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Man City top the Team Underlying Data with 8.85 xG over the last 6 matches which is the highest amongst the five teams. The Blues have also had 41 shots inside the box and 19 big chances during the period.
Brentford are second with 8.81 xG over the last six games, the bees have also had 57 goal attempts in the box and 10 big chances.
Bournemouth rank 3rd for xG amongst the five teams registering 8.76 xG in the six games. They have also had a healthy 62 shots inside the box and 17 big chances
Nottingham Forest are only 4th with an xG of 7.73 & they have had 12 big chances & 48 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Man United are last on the table with an xG of 5.55, 45 shots inside the box & 8 big chances.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 29 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW29
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Man City are first with a 78% odds of at least 1 goal and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW29 vs Brighton(H)
Man United are second with 80% odds of at least 1 goal and 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Leicester City(A)
Bournemouth are 3rd with 77% odds of at least 1 goal and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Brentford(H)
Nottingham Forest are 4th with 82% odds of at least 1 goal and 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW29 against Ipswich(A)
Brentford are 5th and have a 69% odds of at least 1 goal and 15% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Bournemouth(A) in GW29.
Further Read: FPL GW29 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 29 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is first for projections this week with 68% anytime returns & a 7.1 points projection in FPL GW29 vs Brighton(H)
Bruno Fernandes is second this week with 46% anytime returns & a 5.4 points projection in FPL GW29 against Leicester City(A).
Kluivert meanwhile is 3rd and has a 47% anytime returns & a 5.1 points projection in GW29 against Brentford(H)
Wood is 4th and has a 45% anytime returns & a 5.3 points projection in FPL GW29 against Ipswich Town(A)
Mbeumo is last with a 44% anytime return & a 5.0 points projection in GW29 vs Bournemouth(A)
Further Read: FPL GW29 Free Hit- Players to Target Position-wise
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 29 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Haaland tops the captaincy metrics with just a CRF of 4, the lowest possible score in our captaincy metrics. Kluivert is 2nd with a CRF of 12. Bruno and Wood are 3rd with a CRF of 14, and Mbeumo is last with a CRF of 16.
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW29:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
FPL GW29 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target, and Best Drafts
Top FPL GW29 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 29 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW29 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
FPL Gameweek 29 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Impact of FA Cup on FPL Blank Gameweek 34 | FPL BGW34
FPL GW29 Tips – Free Hit Decision, Palmer Dilemma & More
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
FPL GW29 Free Hit- Players to Target Position wise
FPL GW29 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW29 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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