Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 28 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. After the FA Cup games last weekend, we are finally close to another FPL Gameweek. Captaincy was a huge dilemma last week with both Palmer & Salah being popular options, Palmer blanked but Salah also didn’t haul in GW27. The popular captaincy options for FPL Gameweek 28 include Salah, Palmer, Isak, Munoz and Haaland.
This season the metrics has a 20/27 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 + 6 + 16 + 58 + 40 + 28 + 12 = 550 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW29 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW28 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW28 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Salah continues to top the captaincy poll which isn’t a surprise, he’ll be up against Southampton at home this week. The only concern about captaining Mo this week is that Liverpool have an important UCL game against PSG on Tuesday night so his minutes might be reduced. Palmer who blanked in a 4-0 win over Southampton will be up against Leicester City at home this week.
The other popular options for captaincy this week include Haaland, Munoz, and Isak(If fit).
Further Read: Top FPL GW28 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 28 Captain picks
Haaland comes out on top for underlying numbers with an xG of 3.93 and 15 Shots inside the Box from the last 6 games. He also had 10 big chances in the PL over the last six games.
Isak is close behind Haaland in the 2nd place with an xG of 3.36 and has had four big chances in the last six games. He has also created 11 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Salah is 3rd with an xG of 2.84 in the last six games with 4 big chances, 13 chances created and 11 goal attempts in the box.
Palmer takes the fourth spot in the underlying numbers table with 2.43 xG in the last six games. He has created 9 chances and has had 11 goal attempts in the box during the period.
Munoz is only 5th with an xG of 0.32, he has created 7 chances and has had 4 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Crystal Palace top the Team Underlying Data with 12.32 xG over the last 6 matches which is the highest amongst the five teams. The Eagles have also had 52 shots inside the box and 19 big chances during the period.
Chelsea are second with 12.01 xG over the last six games, the Blues have also had 65 goal attempts in the box and 19 big chances.
Man City rank 3rd for xG amongst the five teams registering 11.02 xG in the six games. They have also had a healthy 49 shots inside the box and 22 big chances(Highest amongst the five teams & 2nd highest overall)
Liverpool are only 4th with an xG of 9.72 & they have had 14 big chances & 53 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Newcastle are last on the table with an xG of 8.10, 44 shots inside the box & 15 big chances.
Further Read: FPL GW28 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW28
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Liverpool have a whopping 94% odds of at least 1 goal and 69% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW28 vs Southampton(H)
Chelsea are second with 89% odds of at least 1 goal and 58% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Leicester City(H)
Crystal Palace are 3rd with 84% odds of at least 1 goal and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Ipswich(H)
Man City are 4th with 82% odds of at least 1 goal and 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW28 against high-flying Nottingham Forest.
Newcastle are 5th and have a 77% odds of at least 1 goal and 25% odds of scoring 2+ goals against West Ham(A) in GW28.
Further Read: FPL GW28 Tips – Best Forward Options, Chip Strategy & More
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 28 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah is first for projections this week with 77% anytime returns & a 9.8 points projection in FPL GW28 vs Southampton(H)
Palmer is second this week with 69% anytime returns & a 7.7 points projection in FPL GW28 against Leicester City(H).
Isak meanwhile is 3rd and has a 65% anytime returns & a 6.8 points projection in GW28 against West Ham(A)
Haaland is 4th and has a 60% anytime returns & a 6.2 points projection in FPL GW27 against Nottingham Forest(A)
Munoz is last with a 57% anytime return & a 5.1 points projection in GW28 vs Ipswich(H)
Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 28 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops the captaincy metrics for FPL GW28 with a CRF of 9. Palmer is close behind in the 2nd spot with a CRF of 10. Haaland is 3rd with a CRF of 12. Munoz is 4th with a CRF of 14 & Isak is 5th with a CRF of 15.
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW28:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
Impact of FA Cup on FPL Blank Gameweek 34 | FPL BGW34
FPL GW28 Tips – Best Forward Options, Chip Strategy & More
FPL Gameweek 28 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL Gameweek 28 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW28 Scout Selection- Top Picks Based on Stats and Matchups
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
Top FPL GW28 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Sleeper GW28 Draft Fantasy- Best Punts and Hidden Gems
FPL GW28 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW28 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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