Top FPL GW21 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some Big Scores where 4 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points.

• Yoane Wissa – 1 Goal, 1 Assist, 2 Bonus – 11 Points
• Morgan Gibbs White – 1 Goal – 8 Points
• Raul Jimenez – 2 Goals, 3 Bonus – 13 Points
• Leon Bailey – 1 Goal, 2 Bonus – 9 Points

That makes it 52/120 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Sunday 12^th January, 2025. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW21 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW21 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – 8.3 Midfielder – 9.1 % TSB

• A match against the rock bottom team in the Premier League who have conceded the most Shots, the most Shots on Target, the most Big Chances, the most xGC, the 2^nd most Shots in the Box and the 3^rd most Goals in the League brings our focus to the Talisman of Manchester United. Southampton have also conceded the most Attempts from Set pieces and Bruno will be the man to profit from this situation in this match.
• Bruno takes penalties and set pieces, plays 90 minutes and is a Bonus Magnet. Besides his red card, he has been in good form lately with 4 Goals and 5 Assists since Gameweek 10. Bruno has always picked up Bonus points in all but 1 match when he has produced an attacking return this season.
• Bruno has great stats with 14 Shots on Target, 24 Shots in the Box and 10 Big Chances so far this season. Creativity wise he has created 9 Big Chances and played 43 Key passes so far this season. Southampton also concede majority of their Big Chances through the Center of the pitch and that is where Bruno will operate in this match.

Further Read: FPL GW21 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Savio – Manchester City – 6.5 Midfielder – 3.6 % TSB

• 4 Assists, 1 Goal and 2 Double Digit Returns in the last 2 Gameweeks has made Savio the In form Midfielder for Man City. Savio had a decent start to the season before he got injured and since his return played himself back to form. His stats are improving with 12 Shots on Target, 17 Shots in the Box and 3 Big Chances. His creative numbers are great with 8 Big Chances created and 29 Key passes and 7 Assists overall.

• Brentford’s defensive numbers are not good at all with the 2^nd Most Shots and Shots on Target conceded and the 4^th most Shots in the Box conceded. Savio’s partnership with Haaland seems to be prospering as well and combining his pace, trickery and guile, he could be a menace against a injury ravaged Brentford defence.

Further Read: FPL Midfielders Watch: Top Assets to Target for Gameweeks 21-24

Ismaila Sarr – Crystal Palace – 5.9 Midfielder – 5.1 % TSB

• Sarr and Palace face a Leicester side who are 3^rd worst for Shots and Shots on Target and xGC conceded. They are also 2^nd worst for Goals conceded and worst for Shots in the Box conceded. Leicetser have not improved defensively at all since Rudd’s appointment and have lost their past five consecutive games under their new manager and have conceded 2+ goals in every fixture while only scoring two goals total. 

• Leicester have conceded 28 chances from their Left flank over the last 6 matches which is the highest among all teams in the League. Players like Murphy, Guedes, Salah, Foden and Bailey have all got attacking returns playing against Leicester’s left flank. Sarr & Munoz should be the ones to benefit this Gameweek, if things go to plan.
• Sarr has 4 Goals and 3 Assists this season despite only starting 13 Games this Season. He has good underlying numbers with 19 Shots on Target, 28 Shots in the Box and getting 10 Big Chances. He has also supplied 22 Key passes and created 8 Big Chances for his teammates.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 21 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

Daniel Munoz – Crystal Palace –  4.7 Defender – 5.2 % TSB

• Leicester have conceded 28 chances from their Left flank over the last 6 matches which is the highest among all teams in the League. Players like Murphy, Guedes, Salah, Foden and Bailey have all got attacking returns playing against Leicester’s left flank. Sarr & Munoz should be the ones to benefit this Gameweek, if things go to plan.
• Munoz has had an xG of 3.3 and an xA of 2.3 and has been massively unlucky to have only scored 2 Goals and 1 Assist so far this season. He has had more xG/90 than players like Foden, Son, Saka, Odegaard, Rogers, Martinelli, Mitoma and Bowen after Gameweek 10, which is a mad stat in itself.

• Leicester sit bottom for most metrics on Goal Threat such as Shots, Shots in the Box and 3^rd bottom for Shots on Target and xG. Combined with his massive Goal and Assist threat, brilliant run of games coming up and Leicester’s attacking woes, Munoz should be a Top Defensive Transfer Target.

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

Danny Welbeck – Brighton – 5.5 Forward – 5.9 % TSB

• Before his injury, Danny Welbeck was on a hot streak with 6 Goals and 2 Assists in 13 Starts. He had great stats as well with 13 Shots on Target, 24 Shots in the Box and 9 Big Chances. After returning to action in the FA Cup & with Joao Pedro a injury doubt and Ferguson out of favour and injured, Welbeck should be a good bet to start the juicy game against Ipswich.
• Ipswich rank in the Bottom 5 for Shots, Shots in the Box and Shots on Target conceded and in the Bottom 2 for Big Chances and xGC.  Ipswich also concede most of their Big Chances through the Center of the pitch and this is where Welbeck will operate as the Main Man Up Top.

Further Read: Ultimate FPL Assistant Manager Chip Guide: Rules, Tips & More

FPL GW21 Ultra Differential Pick(<1% TSB):

Harry Maguire – Manchester United – 4.9 Defender – 0.5 % TSB

• Manchester United now begin a decent run after the tough fixtures with Liverpool & Newcastle. They start with Southampton, a team which has – taken the 2^nd lowest Shots, taken the lowest Shots on Target and scored the least amount of Goals in the League. They have also had the 4^th lowest Shots in the Box and generated the 4^th lowest xG in the League.
• Southampton have conceded the most Headed attempts in the League and Maguire with his aerial threat could pose a major threat in this game. Add to the fact that United have kept 6 Clean Sheets this season and only Liverpool, Arsenal, Forest, Newcastle & Everton have kept more.

That’s it for Gameweek 21. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 21.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW21:

FPL Gameweek 21 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW21 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL GW21 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
Ultimate FPL Assistant Manager Chip Guide: Rules, Tips & More
FPL GW21 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
India’s FPL No. 1 Jayanth Reflects on his Stellar 24/25 FPL Season
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
FPL GW21 Tips- Transfer Planning, Mbeumo and Munoz Thoughts
Matchday 21 Predictions and Prizes- Sleeper Pick’em League

Link to all our FPL GW21 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 21 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Scout picks, Gameweek preview, Captaincy metrics, FPL GW21 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook and keep our notification ON.