Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. Isak, who topped our captaincy metrics last week, returned with 32 points. This week, there are strong captaincy candidates with good fixtures, including Isak, Palmer, Salah, Wood, and Haaland, which makes captaincy interesting. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics for FPL GW22.
This season the metrics has a 15/21 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 = 390 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW22 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW22 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW22 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Palmer is on top of the captaincy poll for GW22 with 28% of the votes and will be up against Wolves at home. The only problem with Palmer’s captaincy is his minutes risk. Update from Maresca in Friday’s press conference, Chelsea playing on Monday night helps in the recovery potentially!
Maresca says Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Levi Colwill and Romeo Lavia didn’t train today. Palmer picked up an ankle knock vs Bournemouth. “He didn’t train today and we don’t know if he will train tomorrow or in two days.”
King Mo who has blanked only for the third time so far this season in GW21 is second in the captaincy poll this week with 23% votes. He has registered 12 double-digit hauls already & has already equaled his points tally from the 23/24 season(211 points). Palmer is 3rd in the captaincy poll and will be up against Bournemouth(H).
Isak is in red-hot form with eleven goals and three assists in the last eight games and is 3rd in the captaincy poll with 17% of votes. Another in-form player Chris Wood is 4th in the captaincy poll this week with 16% of the votes and has a juicy fixture against Southampton who have been really poor this season. Haaland completes the top five of the captaincy poll this week.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 22 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 22 Captain picks
Isak comes out on top for underlying numbers with an xG of 6.89 and 19 Shots inside the Box from the last 6 games. He also has the most big chances amongst all players in the PL over the last six games.
Salah is really close behind Isak in the 2nd place with an xG of 6.48 and is 2nd for big chances(8) amongst all players in the Premier League for the last six games. Salah’s 32 shots inside the box is also top amongst all players.
Haaland is only 3rd with an xG of 3.29 in the last six games. Man City’s poor form is seen in Haaland’s number who consistently used to have an xG of close to 0.8-1.0 per game.
Palmer takes the fourth spot in the underlying numbers table with 1.66 xG in the last six games. He’s also created an impressive 20 chances over the previous six games which is the highest amongst all players.
Wood is only 5th with an xG of 1.21, he’s had four big chances & seven goal attempts inside the box in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW22 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool top the Team Underlying Data with 17.63 xG over the last 6 matches which is the highest amongst all teams by a huge margin. The Reds have also had 94 shots inside the box and 32 big chances during the period.
Newcastle rank 2nd for xG amongst the five teams with the Geordies registering 15.43 xG in the six games. They have also had a healthy 78 shots inside the box and 25 big chances.
Chelsea are 3rd in the table with an xG of 10.27, the Blues are also third for shots inside the box(73) & big chances(21).
Man City are 4th with an xG of only 9.44 & they have had 16 big chances & only 58 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Forest rank fifth for Expected Goals in the last six games with 7.72 xG, 17 Big Chances, and 42 Shots inside the box.
Further Read: Top FPL GW22 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW22
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Liverpool have a whopping 91% odds of at least 1 goal and 52% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW22 vs Brentford(A)
Chelsea and Man City are joint 2nd with Chelsea having a 85% odds of at least 1 goal and 52% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW22 vs Wolves(H). Man City meanwhile have a 91% odds of at least 1 goal and 52% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW22 vs Ipswich(A)
Wood and Nottingham Forest are 4th and have an 87% odds of at least 1 goal and 40% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Southampton(H) in GW22.
Newcastle United are last with 80% odds of at least 1 goal and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Bournemouth(H)
Further Read: FPL GW22 Tips- Best Forwards, Assistant Manager Strategy, etc
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah is top for projections this week with 69% anytime returns & a 7.8 points projection in FPL GW22 vs Brentford(A)
Palmer, and Isak are all tied 2nd for projection this week with Palmer having 71% anytime returns & a 6.6 points projection in FPL GW22 against Wolves(H). Isak meanwhile has a 69% anytime returns & a 7.1 points projection in GW22 against Bournemouth(H).
Note: Palmer is top for anytime returns projections but has only a points projection of 6.6 because FFHUB projects his xMins to be only 68 minutes following his yellow flag.
Haaland is 4th and has a 68% anytime returns & a 7.3 points projection in FPL GW22 against Ipswich(A).
Wood is last with a 53% anytime return & a 6.2 points projection in GW22 vs Southampton(H)
Further Read: Ultimate FPL Assistant Manager Chip Guide: Rules, Tips & More
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 22 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of five, Isak is second with a CRF of 10. Palmer takes the 3rd spot with a CRF of 11, Haaland is 4th with a CRF of 13, and Wood is last in the captaincy metrics for GW22 with a CRF of 19.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW22:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
Top FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Ultimate FPL Assistant Manager Chip Guide: Rules, Tips & More
Top FPL GW22 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW22 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
FPL GW22 Tips- Best Forwards, Assistant Manager Strategy, etc
FPL GW22 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW22 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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