We are into the final three weeks of what has been an enthralling FPL season. A lot of managers will be looking for some punts in the last three Gameweeks of the season to gain ranks. With that in mind, in this article, we discuss our Top Differential Picks for FPL GW36 based on Stats and Upcoming fixtures.
Article was written before Chelsea vs Spurs game in GW35 and all Stats mentioned are before that.
Link to all our FPL GW36 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW36 Differential Picks (<10% ownership)
Kai Havertz vs Bournemouth(H), £7.5m, TSB: 7.8%
Surprise Surprise- The Player with Most Goal Involvements(14) and Most FPL Points(100) since GW25 is only still owned by only 7.8% of the Total FPL Managers. Havertz has 8 goals, 6 assists from the last 11 games averaging more than 9 points/game. Arsenal are still in the title race and would look to do their job in hand and hope City drop points.
Even with no Double Gameweeks, Havertz is still the kind of Differential Pick who can help you gain rank with the 3 good remaining games vs Bournemouth(H), Man United(A), Everton(H). There are very high chances that Havertz can still outscore DGW Midfielders despite playing a game less.
Not just the Goal Involvements, Havertz also has excellent underlying numbers to back it up.
Kai Havertz Attack Rank since GW25:
- Big Chances- 1st
- Non-Penalty xG- 4th
- Shots on Target- 3rd
- Goal Involvements- 1st
- Bonus Points- 1st
- FPL Points- 1st
Morgan Gibbs-White vs Sheffield United(H) £5.7m, TSB: 1.7%
Talk about Talisman picks from Teams who have everything to play for? Talk about Morgan Gibbs White. Nottingham Forest are 17th in the league and are only one point away from Relegation zone. They need their main man Gibbs White who has 5 goals, 9 assists from 32 starts this season to save them.
Fun Fact: When Forest were fighting relegation last season, Gibbs White was the key player who helped them stay in Premier League. Gibbs White had 8 Goal Involvements(3 goals, 5 assists) and 46 FPL Points from the last 7 games of the last season. Only Salah(9 Goal Involvements and 59 FPL Points) had a better record among Midfielders during this time. End season Gibbs White is something else.
Gibbs White has been one of the chief creators in the league with only KDB and Bruno creating more Big Chances among Midfielders since GW29. He is ranked 4th for Expected assists among MIDs during this time only behind KDB, Bruno and Odegaard. He is in some elite company for chance creation.
Most Big Chances Created among Midfielders since GW29:
- De Bryune- 8
- Bruno Fernandes- 7
- Gibbs White- 5
- Barnes- 5
Key Matchups:
- Sheffield United have conceded 139 chances down the center this season- 4th Highest among all the teams in the league. Gibbs White playing as a #10 would love this matchup.
- Gibbs White’s next 3 opponents are Sheffield United, Chelsea and Burnley. It can’t better than this.
| Defense Rank of Forest’s next 3 opponents since GW19: | Goals Conceded/90 | xGC/90 | Clean Sheets/90 |
| Sheffield United | 20th | 15th | 20th |
| Chelsea | 18th | 12th | 14th |
| Burnley | 15th | 14th | 20th |
Michael Olise vs Man United(H), £5.6m, TSB: 1.1%
In a injury hit season, Olise has started only 11 league games this season. But he has managed to get 5 FPL Double Digit Hauls which means he is almost averaging a Double Digit haul every 2 games. To put things into context, the likes of Salah, Saka and Son have 8 Double Digit hauls each from 25, 33, 29 starts respectively.
Olise has 7 goals, 4 assists from 16 apps(11 starts) this season. Olise is also ranked 5th among all Midfielders for xGI/90 this season(Minimum 1000 minutes). 8 off his 11 goal involvements have come at home this season. Palace are also a different team when Eze and Olise play together.
Palace- When Olise and Eze start together:
Eze and Olise have started 7 games together so far this season. The Eagles have won 4 out of those 7 games, and have scored 15 goals.
| Crystal Palace with Olise and Eze | Crystal Palace Without Eze and Olise | |
| Goals Scored / Game | 2.14 | 1.04 |
| Points Won / Game | 1.85 | 0.89 |
Matchup alert:
- Manchester United have conceded 28 chances from their Left flank over the last 6 matches- 2nd Highest among all the teams in the league. Olise thrives exactly there and would be looking forward to this matchup.
- Man United are also ranked 20th for Shots Conceded/90 and 19th for xGC/90 in the second half of the season(From GW20).
Further Read: FPL GW36 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW36 Ultra Differential Picks (<1% ownership)
Noni Madueke vs West Ham(H), £5.3m, TSB: 0.2%
Madueke has started the last 4/4 league games for Chelsea at the time of writing. The article is written before the second Chelsea game vs Tottenham in DGW35. Madueke has 2 goals, 2 assists from the last 5 matches. Even though his underlying numbers are not great, Madueke is the kind of player who could do really well on this day. With a Double Gameweek in GW37, if you are looking for a lower owned to punt to make the difference in your mini-leagues, do for Madueke.
Matchup alert: West Ham have conceded 15 chances down their left flank over the last 4 matches and are ranked 15th worst in the league for the same. Madueke operates as a RW, taking down the opposition LB in one on ones. He would be looking forward to this matchup.
Apart from this matchup, West Ham have been struggling in general with one win from the last 8 league matches. Their defensive form has been poor as they have conceded 15 goals from the last 6 matches averaging 2.5 goals concede/game.
West Ham Defensive woes(Defense Rank since GW30):
- xGC- 20th
- Big Chances conceded- 20th
- Shots Conceded- 17th
- Goals Conceded- 18th
Takehiro Tomiyasu vs Bournemouth(H), £4.5m, TSB: 0.3%
This is the time of the season when managers are struggling to get Defenders for their DGW37 Bench Boost. With not many promising Double Gameweek defenders, an alternate differential option could be to get a Single Gameweek defender from the best team defensive team in the league. Arsenal’s defense numbers are really good and are easily the best defensive team in the league.
Arsenal Defense Rank this season:
- xGC- 1st
- Goals Conceded- 1st
- Big Chances conceded- 1st
- Clean Sheets- 1st
Tomiyasu has started the last 2 leagues games in tough games vs Chelsea and Tottenham. With the upcoming games slightly easy we do expect him to hold on to his spot till the end of the season.
Morgan Rogers vs Brighton(A), £5.0m, TSB: 0.0%
A 0.0% TSB owned player!! The 22 year old English midfielder has been having a dream start to his Villa ever since making moving from Middlesbrough. He has blanked only once in the last 5 matches with 3 goals and 1 assist despite playing Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea in the run.
Morgan Rogers in his last 5 league games:
- GW35- Goal vs Chelsea
- GW34- Goal vs Bournemouth
- GW33- Blank vs Arsenal
- GW32- Goal vs Brentford
- GW31- Assist vs Man City
Key Stat: Only Palmer(4), Bruno Fernandes(5), Havertz(4) have more Goals among Midfielders than Rogers(3) since GW31.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW36
Top FPL GW36 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) To Consider Ahead Of Deadline
FPL GW36 Tips – DGW37 Planning with/without Bench Boost and More
Top FPL Gameweek 36 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW36 Scout Selection- Top Picks based on Stats and Analysis
FPL Gameweek 36 Transfer Tips: Two Players To Buy, Hold & Sell
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double Gameweeks | 23/24 Season
FPL GW36 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
2023/24 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis
Link to all our FPL GW36 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Scout picks, Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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Srinivasan S
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