If there are two words to sum up what is happening in FPL right now, then we would go with ” Injuries galore”. Indeed, a lot of key FPL assets like Botman, Estupinian, Diaby, Saka are all either injured or doubtful. As a result of which there is a genuine possibility of utilising your wildcard this week in FPL. Therefore, it is all the more important to pick those one or two players who can act as the difference maker to your teams. In this blog, let’s take a look at our top FPL GW8 Differential Picks/punts(<10% TSB) to consider in your teams.
Link to all our FPL GW8 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Best GW8 Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!
Top FPL GW8 Differential Picks ( ≈10% ownership)
Pedro Porro vs Luton (A), £5.0m, TSB: 6.7%
Truth be told, Spurs vs Liverpool was by far and away the most eventful game of the season thus far. Pedro Porro registered the assist for the late winner for Spurs in that game. The Spaniard also registered 2 bonus points, ending up with a 7 point haul.
Pedro Porro (148) is fifth in the league for BPS among defenders this season. That is in spite of Spurs having a tough run of games and keeping only two clean sheets through the course of the season.
Spurs have the best run of games in the next five match days. 4 of their next 5 games have an FDR rating of 2.
Key Stats
- Luton have the eighth-worst record in the league for big chances created, and joint fourth worst for goals scored and worst for goals scored from open play
- Fulham are third worst for big chances created
- Crystal Palace are fifth worst in the league for big chances created. To make matters worse, they might be without their talisman Eze for the fixture against Spurs
Effectively, the North London club has the opportunity to keep clean sheets in each of their next 3 matches.
Furthermore, Luton Town have conceded 29% of the chances down the right flank, the fourth worst in the league. Therefore, not only does Porro have a chance of a shutout this week, but also a high chance of an attacking return!
Further Read: When to play your first Wildcard?- Best Windows and Analysis
Andrew Robertson vs Brighton (A), £6.6m, TSB: 6.7%
Here is a disclaimer. This one is only for those who are looking to Wildcard this week. It may not be the best idea to transfer in Robertson when he plays against one of the best attacks in the league on the road.
Andy Robertson has already scored 1 goal this season, beating last season’s tally of 0 goals. In the last 3 GWs, the Liverpool left-back is fourth in the league among the defenders for xGI (1.0), behind only Doughty ( 1.1), Cash (1.3), and Trippier (1.6).
Only Doughty (18) and Trippier (12) have registered more key passes than Robertson (11) in this period. Liverpool have the best set of fixtures coming in the next 9 GWs. Six of their next nine games have an FDR rating of 2.
In spite of having some tough fixtures to start the season, Jurgen Klopp’s men have actually defended well so far. The Reds have the sixth-best record for xGC (9.1). They are also joint fourth-best in the league for goals conceded (7).
Further Read: FPL GW8 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
Pedro Neto vs Aston Villa (H), £5.6m, TSB: 5.6%
Pedro Neto goes into FPL GW8 as the most in-form player in FPL. We say that because he is the only player to have registered an attacking return in each of the last five GWs.
Only 6 players have scored more points in FPL than Pedro Neto (3) since Matchday 3. He has also played 90 minutes every game. In this period, Wolves have played 4 of the top 7 defences in terms of xGC
(Liverpool, Crystal Palace, Everton, and Man City)
So far in FPL, only Ollie Watkins (6) has registered more assists than Neto (5). Given the fact that five of the next nine games for Wolves have an FDR rating of 2, we can expect more attacking returns from the Portuguese.
Four of the next six games for Wolves are against teams in the bottom four for big chances conceded.
Key Stat
Fixture | Big Chances Conceded and rank |
Aston Villa (FPL GW8) | 25, 2nd worst |
Bournemouth (FPL GW9) | 24, joint 3rd worst |
Sheffield United (FPL GW11) | 29, worst |
Fulham (FPL GW13) | 24, joint 3rd worst |
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Luis Díaz vs Brighton (A), £7.5m, TSB: 9.5%
We have only gone and done it! Indeed Luis Diaz’s goal ( the goal that wasn’t anyway) has been the talk of the town this week and no wonder why! So we thought it would be unjust to not get him onside ( kindly ignore the pun) into our differentials list.
Anyways, let’s cut to the chase now. Luis Diaz is joint eighth-best in the league for big chances (4) among midfielders this season. And no, it does not include the big chance that wasn’t to be last weekend.
Player | Price | Shots | Shots on Target | Shots inside box | Big chances | xG | Goals | xGI | Goal involvement | Key passes | Big chances created | xA | Assists | BPS | Bonus | Points |
Salah | £12.6 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 3.79 | 3 | 6.5 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 2.74 | 4 | 149 | 5 | 44 |
Darwin | £7.4 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 2.76 | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.36 | 2 | 95 | 3 | 28 |
Luis Díaz | £7.5 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 2.28 | 2 | 3.2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0.95 | 0 | 61 | 1 | 24 |
Gakpo | £7.2 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1.99 | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 68 | 3 | 20 |
Had that goal stood, Diaz would have 5 big chances, which would be as many as Mo Salah (for whom 3 of them have been penalties, and one of them has been the follow-up from the missed penalty). Effectively, Luis Diaz is Liverpool’s biggest goal threat apart from Darwin (who unfortunately doesn’t start regularly)
Team | Goals Conceded |
Sheffield Utd | 19 |
Burnley | 16 |
Bournemouth | 15 |
Brighton | 14 |
Luton | 14 |
Wolves | 13 |
Everton | 12 |
Meanwhile, Brighton have the fourth-worst record in the league for goals conceded (14).
Further Read: When to play your first Wildcard?- Best Windows and Analysis
Dominic Solanke vs Everton (A), £6.4m, TSB: 2.4%
Bournemouth have had a wretched run of games to start the season. They have already played 3 of last season’s top 6 (Liverpool, Brighton, and Arsenal). Their other games have been against Chelsea, Spurs, West Ham, and Brentford. In short, it is as worse as it can get!
Nine of the Cherries’ next thirteen games have an FDR rating of 2. Solanke is joint twelfth best in the league for big chances (5). That is in spite of the tough fixtures!
The Bournemouth forward has already registered 3 goals and an assist so far. He has returned in 4 of the 7 games thus far.
Solanke is top for shots, shots in the box, goals, big chances, and xG for Bournemouth. He is their talisman and some! He registered an assist last season when he played against the Toffees in one of the fixtures.
Further Read: Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 23/24 Season
Dominic Calvert-Lewin vs Bournemouth (H), £5.8m, TSB: 1.2%
We have been here, haven’t we? But after seeing Calvert-Lewin clock 90 minutes for the first time in ages, we couldn’t hold ourselves back. Hopefully, this is where it takes off again for DCL the FPL asset!
Only Isak (2.44) has registered a better xG than Everton’s number 9 (2) in the last two GWs. DCL has had 3 big chances in 117 minutes in this period.
Three of the next four games (barring Liverpool) are favorable for Calvert-Lewin. For starters, the Cherries, along with West Ham (Whom Everton play in GW10) are joint third worst in the league for % of chances conceded through the centre ( 58%).
Meanwhile, the opposition forwards have had a field day against Brighton so far this season. None more so than Ollie Watkins last weekend who got a 23-point haul. Furthermore, the likes of Morris, Antonio, Wilson, and Solanke have already scored against De Zerbi’s men.
Readers support needed: As you know Allaboutfpl is completely 100% free to access and will remain the same forever. We have been nominated for the 2023 Football Football Content Awards Finals under the Best in Fantasy Football Editorial category. You can vote for us and support us by visiting this link(Takes 10 seconds, no personal details required) -> Voting Link
Alternative Voting options: You can vote directly on Twitter by CLICKING HERE and pressing the Tweet button using the template. You can also vote on Instagram by tagging “@allaboutfpl” in the comments on this post -> Post Link
Why vote for us: We do not like putting a paywall on our blogs or doing irrelevant promotions and disappoint our readers like other websites (Not naming anyone😉). All our content has been 100% free(1600+ blogs) over the last 4 years and we’ll continue to remain the same. Awards and recognitions like this will help us continue to deliver quality FPL content for free
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW8
When to play your first Wildcard?- Best Windows and Analysis
FPL Gameweek 8 Transfer Tips: Two Players To Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL Gameweek 8 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Best FPL GW8 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL Gameweek 8 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Heatmaps and Analysis
FPL GW8 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
FPL GW8 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 23/24 Season
FPL GW8 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
Vote for AllAboutFPL in the 2023 Football Content Awards
FPL GW8 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL Fixture Swing Analysis from GW8
Link to all our FPL GW8 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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K K Anirudh
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