FPL GW7 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Welcome to our FPL GW7 Scout Picks blog. Our fantastic scout @FPLDaggaFC (Do follow him on Twitter) is back with his Scout picks for Gameweek 7, as always our Scout picks are backed up by eye test, stats, and analysis.

Last season our scout picks won 21.5 vs 15.5 against the Official FPL Scout picks. This season we have taken a 4-2 lead heading into GW6.

Scout Picks	GW1	GW2	GW3	GW4	GW5	GW6
AllAboutFPL Scout Picks	78	62	59	79	42	58
Official FPL Scout Picks	76	46	48	95	33	68

Link to all our FPL GW7 blogs including Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Best GW7 Wildcard Drafts, Tips, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Planner used: FPL.Team, an excellent and fully free-to-use FPL planner

FPL GW7 Scout Picks

All the stats used are from Fantasy Football Hub. For Opta Stats, Player Comparisons, Predicted FPL Points, FPL Planner, Tickers, etc.- Subscribe with a 30% discount here.

FPL GW7 Scout Picks- Goalkeeper

Areola is 2nd amongst all keepers for saves(30) and 2nd for xG prevented(+3.30), he’s up against a Sheffield United side who have scored only 6 goals in 5 games and their xG of 4.47 is the 2nd lowest in the league, Only Burnley(4.06) have a lower xG but they have played a game less than Sheffield United. West Ham also have a 42% chance of a clean sheet in GW7 which is 4th highest amongst all teams.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 7 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy/Hold/Sell

FPL GW7 Scout Picks- Defenders

Walker is the 4th highest-scoring defender in the League with 29 points, he has played 539/540 possible minutes(The highest amongst Man City outfield players) which tells us that he’s a safe defender to consider. Man City have conceded only 7 big chances in 6 games(2nd lowest in the League), their xGC of 4.70 is the lowest in the League.

Man City also have a whopping 51% chance of a clean sheet vs Wolves. Walker was also fully rested in the midweek Carabao cup game. Walker has taken up more attacking this season than before which was confirmed by himself in this quote.

“It’s a different role I’m playing this season, a little higher up the field where I can get some assists and goals. It’s the attacking power we’ve got where I’m wide, come in, make deep runs. Hopefully I keep producing this level of performance…”

There’s a bit of caution on Botman but he should be fine!

It’s without a surprise that you’ll notice a double-up on Botman and Trippier. Trippier picked up three assists and registered 18 points in GW6, Botman meanwhile scored his first PL goal and picked up 12 points. The Magpies have great defensive numbers which can be seen below and are up against Burnley who have the lowest xG in the league so far this season(4.47 in 5 games)

Newcastle defence numbers

Big Chances conceded: 5(Lowest in the League)
xGC(Expected goals conceded): 6.39(4th lowest in the League)
Goals conceded: 7(Joint 5th lowest)

Further Read: When to play your first Wildcard?- Best Windows and Analysis

FPL GW7 Scout Picks- Midfielders

Son is in prolific form scoring five goals in three games, he’s playing through the middle and is in excellent form. Salah has also been consistently returning and has not blanked this season, infact he hasn’t blanked since DGW34 of last season. Salah has 43 points from 6 games and is Top 2 among midfielders for all the underlying numbers- 1st for xGI(8.0), 2nd for Big Chances(5), 2nd for Shots inside the box(14).

Both Spurs and Liverpool are scoring goals for fun. Both teams have scored 15 goals(Joint 4th most in the League). The Spurs vs Liverpool could potentially see a lot of goals!

Over the last three games since Son started to play in the middle, his xGI of 2.22 is the 2nd highest in the league amongst midfielders. The first amongst xGI for midfielders during the period is without a doubt, King Mo Salah(3.88)!

Bowen is the joint 4th highest-scoring midfielder in the game with 4 goals, 1 assist and 39 points from 6 games. Up against a Sheffield side who conceded 8 goals in GW6, he should fancy his chances. At just 10% ownership, he is a great differential for GW7 and beyond. Also discussed in detail in our FPL GW7 Differentials Picks article where he features.

Another thing in Bowen’s favour for FPL GW7 is the fact that no team has conceded more chances from the right flank (40) than Sheffield United. As we can see, that is exactly where the West Ham man operates!

The midfield is wrapped up by Mbeumo who blanked last week but has been really good this season getting 4 goals from 6 games so far. Even though 2 off these goals came in penalties, his underlying numbers are still good- 7 big chances(1st among mids), nPxG of 2.32(6th among midfielders).

Further Read: FPL GW7 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide

FPL GW7 Scout Picks – Forwards

Carlton Morris makes the Scout Picks team solely based on the Double Gameweek. His underlying numbers are not great(0.7 nPxG from 5 games) and he plays for Luton. But he is the Talisman for Luton, takes penalties and is usually involved when Luton manage to score. Both the games are likely to see goals as all three teams- Everton, Burnley and Luton will looks for 3 points in these relegation battle games.

Morris is a good one week punt if you are planning to Wildcard in GW8 to target the fixture swing from GW8.

Haaland is the no-brainer captaincy choice for yet another Scout Selection. He is Top among all players for all the Underlying numbers- Big Chances(15), xG(7.77), and Shots inside the box(31) as well. Without a surprise, Haaland is also Top for Goals(8) and FPL Points(51) this season as well. It could have been much more as he missed 6/8 Big Chances from the last 2 games. Perhaps he would be looking to make amends for that in GW6 vs Wolves.

He was also rested fully for the midweek Carabao Cup game and that puts off even the slight concern that he could be rested in GW7.

There’s a bit of caution on Wilson but he should be fine!

Callum Wilson is a great differential pick that is too exciting to ignore. Despite starting 4/6 games from the bench, Wilson has the 2nd best xG(4.13) and 2nd for Shots on Target(11) in the entire league- Only behind Haaland. With another rest in midweek cup game, he is very likely to start again in GW7. Burnley have conceded 13 goals from 5 games- which is the 2nd highest in the league despite playing a game less than other teams.

Further Read: FPL GW7 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based On Eye Test & Stats

Full FPL GW7 Scout Picks Team

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW7

When to play your first Wildcard?- Best Windows and Analysis
FPL GW7 Scout Selection based on Stats and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 7 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW7 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW7 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL Gameweek 7 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy/Hold/Sell
FPL GW7 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based On Eye Test & Stats
Vote for AllAboutFPL in the 2023 Football Content Awards
FPL GW7 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL Fixture Swing Analysis from GW8

Link to all our FPL GW7 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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