FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

The 3 most popular captains of GW2 scored a combined 10 points amongst themselves – such was the GW. In fact, all the top scorers of GW1 combined a total of 19 points – showing once again why it is pointless to chase points in FPL

Players	GW 1	GW 2
Leno	12	2
Varane	14	1
Wan-Bissaka	12	1
Disasi	11	0
Rodri	13	3
Barnes	11	0
Saka	10	3
Maddison	9	3
Bowen	9	2
Isak	13	2
Haaland	13	2
Total	127	19

Hence, if you had a bad GW, keep your chin up and let’s move forward towards yet another Friday night deadline for GW3. With so many nice fixtures, I am expecting this GW to be a very high scoring one.

Link to all our FPL GW3 blogs including Fixtures to target, Scout Picks, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, Transfer Trends, Buy/Hold/Sell Analysis and more. Completely free to access as well!

So, let’s start with our second BUY-HOLD-SELL article of the season, sponsored by …. Well, nobody. We are poor, but you can help here if you want 😊

FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to BUY

Ben Chilwell (£5.7m) – DEF, Chelsea – 25.0% TSB

Luton had a blank fixture in GW2. In GW 1, Pervis Estupiñán wreaked havoc vs Luton across the left-hand side of the pitch with

– 70 touches in the Opponent’s Half

– 37 touches in the Final Third

– 6 chances created

– 5 penalty area touches

– 2 big chances created

– 1 assist

Chilwell can have a blockbuster game if he can emulate Estupiñán in GW3 as he plays in a similar role. Chilwell is no minnow himself. Among defenders, he is ranked 2^nd for xGI and shots inside the box and 3^rd for big chances created. He also had a goal cancelled for offside in GW1. Don’t be surprised if he walks away with a double digit return against Luton.

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Eddie Nketiah (£5.5m) – FWD, Arsenal – 6.1% TSB

The absence of Palhinha has hurt Fulham immensely. Amongst all teams, they rank rock bottom for

• Big chances conceded
• xGC
• xGC non-Penalty

In GW3, the Arsenal attackers are expected to have a merry day against the Cottagers.

Among Arsenal players, Nketiah is ranked 1^st for:

• Shots
• Shots in the Box
• Big Chances
• NPxG
• Goals
• Assists
• Goal Involvements
• Points
• Value

With these fixtures and with no news of Jesus returning soon, Nketiah can not only become an enabler but also a key asset in your teams in the short term, especially in GW2.

Further Read: Top FPL GW3 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to HOLD

Brentford Attackers

Bryan Mbeumo (£6.6m) – MID, Brentford – 18.2% TSB & Yoane Wissa (£6.1m) – FWD, Brentford – 12.2% TSB

Many thought Brentford will struggle without their talisman, their leading striker & goal scorer Ivan Toney. But they probably underestimated the impact of Mbeumo & Wissa. Their records without Toney have been impeccable.

GW – Opponent	Mbeumo	Wissa
GW 15 – 22/23 – Forest (A)	1 Goal	1 Goal 1 Assist
GW 19 – 22/23 – Liverpool (H)	1 Goal	1 Goal
GW 36 – 22/23 – West Ham (H)	1 Goal	1 Goal
GW 37 – 22/23 – Tottenham (A)	2 Goal 1 Assist	1 Goal 1 Assist
GW 38 – 22/23 – Man City (H)	1 Assist	Blank
GW 1 – 23/24 – Tottenham (H)	1 Goal	1 Goal
GW 2 – 23/24 – Fulham (A)	2 Goal	1 Goal 1 Assist

4 of the next 5 fixtures of Brentford, have an FDR of 2. Expect the duo to carnage more points in the short term

Further Read: FPL GW3 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats

Brighton Assets

Kaoru Mitoma (£6.6m) – MID, Brighton – 42.5% TSB, Solly March (£6.6m) – MID, Brighton – 8.4% TSB & Pervis Estupiñán (£5.2m) – DEF, Brighton – 61.0% TSB

Brighton leads all teams in terms of xG after 2 GWs. But this is hardly a surprise. In the second half of last season (GW 20-38), De Zerbi’s team was ranked 1^st for shots, shots on target, shots in the box, big chances and most importantly xG.

Mitoma, March and Estupiñán are 3 of the Top 5 scorers so far (the other two being Mbeumo & Wissa). They face WHU at home who will be without Aguerd. The Hammers have not kept a Clean Sheet in the last 9 league matches. So the trinity might score further attacking points in GW3.

Further Read: FPL GW2 Stats Summary

FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to SELL

Gabriel Magalhães (£5.0m) – DEF, Arsenal – 25.8% TSB

In my last article on Buy-Sell-Hold, I had mentioned that if Gabriel is benched against Palace too, then surely, he is a sell in GW3. So, it’s not a surprise that he is the first name in the SELL list. With Timber out, some of us expected Gabriel to start at Selhurst Park. But it seems Arteta prefers White to play centrally and Partey to take up the RB position. Now with Tomiyasu suspended, some will again hope Gabriel will start in GW3. However Tomiyasu played as a LB. Hence, he will mostly be replaced by Oleksandr Zinchenko who started the behind closed doors friendly match against Luton before GW2 and even made a cameo appearance against Crystal Palace.

It seems like Gabriel has lost his starting berth and the only way he can start is if he replaces Saliba. Even if Gabriel starts against Fulham, what are the odds that he will not be benched again? Hence, I would recommend selling Gabriel this week.

Further Read: Best FPL Defenders/Gabriel Replacements for FPL GW3

Jordan Pickford (£4.5m) – GKP, Everton – 13.6% TSB

How Pickford made it to 1.3 mn teams is beyond me. Everton defence was horrendous last season. Contrary to popular perception, Dyche didn’t change the fortunes much.

Everton Rank	22/23 Season	Post Dyche (GW 22 onwards)
Clean Sheets (CS)	15th	Joint 6th
xCS	16th	12th
Goals Conceded (GC)	13th	14th
xGC	16th	15th
NPxGA	17th	12th
Big Chances Conceded	14th	13th
Shots on Target Conceded	16th	13th
Shots in Box Conceded	19th	14th
Shots Conceded	19th	13th

The trend has effortlessly continued this season

Everton Rank	23/24 Season
Clean Sheets (CS)	0
xCS	12th
Goals Conceded (GC)	17th
xGC	19th
NPxGA	16th
Big Chances Conceded	15th

Among GKs who have played this season, Pickford has the least number of points/ matches. Wolves are 3^rd for NPxG and 4^th for xG heading into GW3. Hence Pickford is a hard sell this week.

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW3

Top FPL GW3 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 3 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW3 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
FPL GW3 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Best Chelsea FPL Assets to Target ahead of FPL Gameweek 3
FPL GW3 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy/Hold/Sell Analysis
Best FPL Defenders/Gabriel Replacements for FPL GW3
FPL GW3 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
FPL GW2 Stats Summary
FPL GW3 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW3 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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