Top FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

FPL DGW36 turned out to be a high scoring one with Wilson who topped the captaincy metrics last week registering 24 points. The action now shifts to the last double gameweek of the season with Man City, Man United, Brighton, and Chelsea all doubling. Let’s take a look at the Top FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks and see who tops our captaincy metrics.

Will it be Haaland topping the metrics or does Bruno stand a chance?

Let’s find out!

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 29/35 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 672 pts(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40+20+4+4+8+22+14+24+24+14+28+32+4+48)

Link to all our FPL GW37 blogs including Fixtures to target, Double gameweek news, Captaincy metrics, Differentials, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW37 Captaincy Metrics

FPL GW37 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

FPL GW37 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

Haaland without any surprise tops the captaincy poll this week with 60% of the voters choosing him as their captaincy choice for FPL DGW37. Bruno Fernandes is 2nd with 17% of the votes ahead of fellow Man United attacker Marcus Rashford who is a doubt to play against Bournemouth in the first game of the double due to illness. Mahrez and Alvarez are 4th and 5th in the captaincy poll this week.

The five players to go into the captaincy metrics this week are Haaland, Bruno, Rashford, Mahrez, and Alvarez.

Further Read: Top FPL GW37 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) with Stats and Matchups

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 37 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 37 Captain picks

Without a surprise, Haaland comes out on top with a whopping xG of 6.24 in the last six games which is more than the total of the other four players combined!

Haaland’s total big chances(12) are also more than the combined total of the other four players(11).

Rashford who is a doubt to play the first game of the double is 2nd with a good xG of 3.01 in the last six games and he has also had 8 big chances during the period.

Fellow Man United attacker, Bruno Fernandes is 3rd with an xG of 1.74 and is also top for chances created(26) amongst the five players and also overall in the league.

Julian Alvarez and Mahrez who have both started the last four PL games for Man City are 4th and 5th respectively.

Further Read: FPL GW37 Scout Selection- Top Picks for Double Gameweek 37

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Man City generally dominate the team stats but this time around they finish on top only by a slender margin with Man United’s xG of 12.57 in the last six games just 0.13 less than that of Man City’s total xG in the last six games(12.70).

There is also a difference of only one big chance between Man City(20) and Man United(19).

Man United have recorded a superior shots in the box(67) when compared to Man City’s tally of 51.

Further Read: Top FPL GW37 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) with Stats and Matchups

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW37

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. 

Further Read: FPL DGW37 Man City Preview | Player-Wise Analysis & Thoughts

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks

In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.

Bruno has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 86%, while his Projected Points stand at 12.5 for the week and is the highest amongst the five players.

Haaland has the 2nd highest Anytime Returns Projections at 84%, while his Projected Points stand at 12.0 for the week, giving him the second spot.

Rashford has an Anytime Returns Projections at 82%, while his Projected Points stand at 10.4 for the week, giving him the third spot.

Mahrez has an Anytime Returns Projections at 69% and Projected Points at 10.2, which puts him in fourth place. 

Alvarez has an Anytime Returns Projection at 67%, and the Projected Points at 8.2 this week, giving him the last spot.

Further Read: FPL GW37 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 37 Captaincy metric analysis

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 37 Captaincy metric analysis

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric. 

Haaland tops the FPL DGW37 Captaincy Metrics becoming the best captaincy choice according to our model

Haaland tops the metrics with a CRF of just 5, the lowest possible CRF is only 4!

Strong team numbers and a favorable fixture have enabled Mahrez and Alvarez to finish joint 2nd!

Bruno is 3rd and Rashford is last, however, the numbers are all tight in the individual tables which shows that Bruno is still a decent alternative captaincy choice this week.


If you like our content do consider supporting us by contributing to the website. ALLABOUTFPL is run by the community and for the community. All our content is and will always remain free.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW37

Top FPL GW37 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) with Stats and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW37 Scout Selection- Top Picks for Double Gameweek 37
FPL GW37 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW37 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down The Key Dilemmas
FPL DGW37 Man City Preview | Player-Wise Analysis & Thoughts
FPL GW37 Free Hit Guide- Players to Target and Best Drafts

Thanks for reading the ‘FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks’ blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs and updates. Also, follow our  110,000+community on Instagram
Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates.

What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 37 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering player comparisons, differential picks, transfer trends, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, eye test report, fixture analysis, captaincy metrics, FPL GW37 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook and keep our notification ON.

ALLABOUTFPL Newsletter
AllaboutFPL is rated as the 2nd best Fantasy Football blog in the world by Football content awards, So make sure you don’t miss out on our content

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

FPL Gameweek 37 FPL Deadline Countdown

Login and set your team for FPL GW37 now!

The following two tabs change content below.

AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
Back To Top