GW22 was a high-scoring week thanks to a Rashford haul who was the most captained and triple-captained asset last(Also the topper of our metrics last week), this time around there is another double with Arsenal and Man City both doubling. A Man city double means Haaland is back as the most popular captain choice and triple captain choice for managers who still got the chip left. In this Gameweek 22 Captaincy metrics blog, let’s take a look at the top captain picks for this week and see who tops the metrics and becomes the top captain choice according to our metrics.
Also, sincere apologies for the delay in publishing this week’s captaincy metrics. We’ll make sure to be on time next week!
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 402 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40)
Link to all our FPL GW23 blogs including Fixtures to target, Double and blank gameweek news, Predicted GW22 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL DGW23 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW23 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Without any surprises, Manchester City’s Erling Haaland tops the polls yet again.
He’s followed by the Arsenal trio of Eddie Nketiah, Bukayo Saka, and Martin Odegaard. The candidate list is rounded up by last week’s hero Marcus Rashford.
Further Read: FPL DGW23 Man City Assets to Target | Starting Odds & Rankings
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 23 Captain picks
Surprisingly, Eddie Nketiah tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 20 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big Chances in total, and an xG total of 4.86, as the striker leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration.
Haaland, with 13 Shots Inside the Box, 10 Big chances, and an xG total of 3.94, gets beaten for probably the first time since he has arrived and cements the second spot.
Marcus Rashford rounds up the podium places at third amassing 15 Shots Inside the Box, 6 Big Chances, and xG total of 3.61.
Bukaya Sako gets fourth place with 12 Shots Inside the Box, 2 Big Chances, and an xG of 1.63.
Martin Odegaard finishes last with 10 shots inside the box, 0 big chances, and an xG of 1.44.
Further Read: Exploring the Best Arsenal FPL Trio for DGW23 onwards
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Arsenal have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 73 Shots Inside the Box and 13 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 12.26, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Manchester City come in second behind Arsenal, with 51 Shots Inside the Box, their 18 Big Chances in Total and xG at 10.96 pushes them to second in our tables.
Manchester United come in behind City with 53 Shots Inside the Box, 14 Big Chances in total, and an xG of 10.50.
Further Read: Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks From FPL GW23
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW23
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Manchester City lead the teams with a 97% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also have a 62% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this week.
Arsenal come in behind City, with a 96% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 52% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.
Manchester United come in last, with an 82% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 29% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 23 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.
Erling Haaland has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 85%, while his Projected Points stand at 13.1 for the week.
Martin Odegaard has an Anytime Returns Projection at 72%, and the highest Projected Points at 10.2 this week, just behind the Manchester City talisman.
Bukayo Saka has an Anytime Returns Projections at 71% and Projected Points at 10.1, which puts him in third place.
Eddie Nketiah has an Anytime Returns Projections of 71% while the Projected Points stand at 10.0, and is fourth, while the last spot goes with Marcus Rashford, who has an Anytime Returns Projections at 61% and Projected Points at 6.6 .
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 23 Transfer Tips: Players To Buy, Hold & Sell
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 23 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
We are tied for first, as Erling Haaland and Eddie Nketiah, come out on top with a CRF Value of 8.
Eddie’s teammates, Bukayo Saka, and Martin Odegaard, come third and fourth, with a CRF value of 10 each.
Lastly, Marcus Rashford rounds up our table with a CRF value of 18.
Author’s Note(@AK_FPL1): Even though Haaland and Nketiah are tied, we recommend Erling Haaland as the captain this gameweek, as we have seen with Haaland what he can do on any given day and also has penalties in his locker.
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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW23
FPL DGW23 Man City Assets to Target | Starting Odds & Rankings
FPL GW23 Scout Picks- Stats & Justification for each pick
Top FPL Gameweek 23 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW23 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL GW23 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas
FPL Gameweek 23 Transfer Tips: Players To Buy, Hold & Sell
Exploring the Best Arsenal FPL Trio for DGW23 onwards
Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks From FPL GW23
When to Use Your FPL Chips? FPL Chip Strategy Explained
FPL Teams & Players to Target from DGW23 to DGW25
FPL GW23 Odds Preview: Goals, Clean Sheets & Predicted Points
FPL GW23 Predicted Lineups, Press Conference Updates, Injury News
Top 10 FPL Triple Captain Hauls – FPL History
FPL GW23 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL GW23 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW22 Team Of The Weak
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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