FPL GW11 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW11 Deadline

Gameweek 10 gave results that we pretty much anticipated. Liverpool are the major disappointment. Trent and Salah are not bringing their A game and it is a major concern for FPL managers. Furthermore, given the fact that the top 2 teams won’t be featuring in GW12, it makes transfers that much more tricky. Managers would have to make transfers keeping this in mind. In this blog, we will provide you the Top 6 FPL GW11 Differentials including one Ultra Differential pick with <1% ownership for GW11.

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including GW12 Blank Planning, Fixtures to target, Predicted 11, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Note: The TSB mentioned is at the time of writing and is subject to change

FPL GW11 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Mason Mount vs Aston Villa(A), £7.6, TSB: 4.0%

Mason Mount didn’t have a good start to the season. However, since Graham Potter has come in the Englishman has slowly come back to his best. Since the new coach’s arrival Mount has 4 assists in 5 matches in all competitions. All 4 of those coming in the last two matches.

The Chelsea man was subbed off at Half Time last night in the Champions League. As a result of which the chances of him getting rested is very low.

The above graphic indicates the change in Mount’s performances post arrival of a new manager. He has performed better in almost all aspects. But the stats which stand out are the shots in the box and chances created. Essentially he has had as many shots in the box and as many chances created in the last two matches as in that of the Previous six matches.

Chelsea are one of the teams with a favorable fixture in GW12. The Blues taken on a struggling Brentford in that week. As a result of which Mount will be a very good option for 2 weeks at the very least.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Tips- Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations

Eric Dier vs Everton(H), £5.2, TSB: 8.2%

Eric Dier is having a season of revival so to speak. He has been playing at a very high level, helping him to even get back into the England squad. He is the only Spurs defender to have started all the games for the North London club so far in the league.

Dier has already registered 2 goals so far this season. Furthermore, Spurs have been one of the best sides from set pieces this season, following the appointment of a new set piece coach. To put it in numbers, Conte’s men have scored 6 goals from corners this season, no team has scored more.

Meanwhile, Spurs have the fifth-best defense in the league in terms of xGC(10.5). Couple this with the fact that Everton have the joint fourth-lowest goal tally(8) this campaign. Dier and co have a very good chances of shutting out their opposition this weekend.

Fun Fact: Antonio Conte has overseen his teams (Chelsea and Spurs) keep a clean sheet in all of the six matches he has played against Everton.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Tips- Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations

Antony vs Newcastle(H), £7.6, TSB: 8.1%

The man in form for Manchester United! The Brazilian became the first player to score in each of his opening three Premier League appearances for the club. If he scores again, he will go level with the second-best tally of 4, which currently Diego Costa holds.

Since his debut, Antony is top for shots, big chances, shots in the box, and xG among his compatriots. He is also top for xPts and second only to Rashford for BPS in that period. Another thing to keep in mind is that Antony has played 90 minutes in each of the last two matches.

He is the only attacker to have done that. This is despite him starting the midweek Europa League tie. Given the fact that we have three games coming up in a week, this would be a huge factor, as this shows Antony has the capacity to last longer within games.

Meanwhile, Newcastle have the joint fifth-worst record for percentage of chances conceded down the right side(32%) in the last four GWs. As we can see from the above graphic, that is exactly where the Brazilian operates. Furthermore, the Magpies have the second-worst defense in the league in terms of xGC(13.34) for teams in the top half of the table. Only Bournemouth have a worse tally.

Further Read: Predicted GW11 Lineups Of All 20 Premier League Teams plus Injury news and Press Conference Updates

Eberechi Eze vs Leicester(A), £5.5, TSB: 2.3%

Eze has been one of the standout performers for Palace so far this season. Although, Zaha is the talisman and is also much coveted by FPL managers, there is very little to choose between them.

Although it seems Zaha is significantly better, there is just a 4-point gap between the two of them. Besides, one player is £1.7 cheaper than the other. Therefore, it is definitely worth looking at Eze or in fact, even a double up given the fixtures the Eagles have coming up. Five of the next six fixtures for Palace have an FDR rating of 2.

Leicester’s defensive woes(League Rank)

• Goals conceded – 24(1st)
• xGC – 16.4(3rd)
• Big chances conceded – 25(2nd)

Both of Crystal Palace’s wins this season have come against teams in the bottom half of the table. Last season too a vast majority of their points came against such opposition. They will be looking to continue the same in their upcoming run of games as each of their next six opponents are from the bottom half of the table.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Tips- Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations

Gianluca Scamacca vs Southampton(A), £6.7, TSB: 1.7%

There is a new hero in town for the Hammers fans to cheer. The new number 7 has scored in each of his last two Premier League games and as helped West Ham register back-to-back wins for the first time this season. He also scored the winner in the Europa league game. His goals have directly led to the Hammers earning 3 points in the last 3 matches in all competitions.

As we can see from the above graphic, Scamacca tops the charts for almost all the key attacking stats for West Ham. This includes, xG, big chances, and shots on target. He has been the focal point in last few weeks and David Moyes’ men have had an upturn in form following his inclusion in the lineup.

West Ham have good fixtures coming up. Four of their next six fixtures have an FDR rating of 2. One of the other games is up against Liverpool. So, they have 5 winnable games on the horizon. Scamacca could be an ideal replacement for someone like Ivan Toney.

Southampton have one of the worst backlines in the league so far this season.

Key Stats- Southampton’s defense

• Big chances conceded- 23 (joint 3rd)
• Clean sheets – 0(1st)
• xGC – 15.48(5th)
• Goals conceded- 17(5th)

Further Read: Predicted GW11 Lineups Of All 20 Premier League Teams plus Injury news and Press Conference Updates

Ultra-Differential Pick for FPL GW11(<1% TSB)

Matheus Nunes vs Nottingham Forest(H), £5.0, TSB: 0.2%

Wolves haven’t exactly sparkled so far this season. They have scored a mere 3 goals and have sacked a manager. The Black Country side are still searching for a new coach. But one player who has been playing exceedingly well amidst all this is Matheus Nunes. The new signing has been putting in 8/10 performances almost every game but has gone unnoticed given his team’s form.

No Wolves player has had more shots in the box than Matheus(8). It is also the fourth-best tally in the league for players £5.0 or under. Furthermore, he is second only to Moutinho for BPS among midfielders and forwards. Last week, against Chelsea he came very close to giving his side the lead and was by far the best player on the pitch for them.

Each of Wolves’ next four games are against teams whose defenses are struggling. Forest and Leicester have two of the worst defenses in the league, while Palace and Brentford are among the bottom ten for goals conceded.

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW12

Link to all our FPL GW12 blogs including GW12 Blank Planning, Fixtures to target, Predicted GW12 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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