Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16 | Toney Replacements

Whether it’s for Toney’s suspension in GW15 or the upcoming difficult two fixtures for Mitrovic, many managers are looking for a mid-priced FPL Forward in the market. In this article, I’ll be comparing the Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16- Callum Wilson(£7.4), Gianluca Scamacca(£6.7) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin(£7.9) and help you decide who to take in your team.

Things that will be covered-

• Fixture difficulty rating
• Opponent’s Weakness Analysis
• General Overview 
• Stats in the last six Gameweeks
• Heatmaps
• Points projections

Article written by FPL Naked Eye Guy(Do follow him)

Link to all our FPL GW16 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW16 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

GW15-GW16 Best FPL Forwards- Analysis and Comparison

Fixture Difficulty

Fixture Difficulty Rating:

Scamacca

• xGC rating: 15
• GC rating: 13

Wilson

• xGC rating: 25
• GC rating: 20

Calvert-Lewin

• xGC rating: 8
• GC rating: 5

Here, lower rating means easier opponents. Calvert-Lewin has the best fixtures in the next two Gameweeks. 

Opponent’s Weakness Analysis

In this section, we will take a deep look at the opponent’s weaknesses. As all three of the players are Central Forward and good at aerial battles, we will consider shots conceded by heads, chances conceded through the centre of the field and total big chances conceded. 

Green boxes suggest, in that specific gameweek, the opponent team have the worst record in that particular field. 

Here, we can see DCL has three green fields when compared to others. Crystal Palace conceded the most chances through the centre whom Scamacca will face in GW15. Wilson is not far behind in this comparison. However, Southampton have been playing with a new wingback formation for the last two games, and they conceded the fewest crosses (10) through their left flank (where Trippier plays) just after Man City (8). Overall, the opponent’s weakness analysis backs Calvert-Lewin.  

Further Read: FPL GW14 Team Wise Review With Key Stats & Notes

General Overview

Let’s look at some important factors that FPL managers should keep in mind.

Calvert-Lewin has only been starting for the last three games. So, this comparison’s last two features might not be relevant for him. We need to take a close look at the per90 stats for getting a clearer overview between the three. Although, an important factor is that we know for sure Wilson and Calvert-Lewin are the nailed penalty takers in their team but we don’t know if Scamacca is on the pens yet despite some suggesting he is. 

Stats Analysis

We will see the comparison between Wilson and Scamacca first for the last six gameweeks. As Calvert-Lewin didn’t start all last six, I have excluded him in this comparison. 

Here, Wilson is ahead of Scamacca by a good margin in most of the factors. Scamacca only had only one more goal attempt than Wilson in last six gameweeks.

Now, let’s look at a more important comparison. As Calvert-Lewin did not start as many games as the other two, only per90 stats might be relevant while comparing the three. That too has very little data size which means it could be volatile. 

Here, Wilson wins the battle in most cases. However, Scamacca had more goal attempts per game than the other two. With regards to Calvert-Lewin’s bad outcome, again it is to keep in mind that he only started 3 in the last 6 games. 

Further Read: FPL GW15 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Visual Stats

In this section, we will take a look at each player’s touch heatmaps and goal attempts visually. All heatmaps are for the last six gameweeks. (taken from Fantasy Football Scout)

Callum Wilson

The touch heatmap suggests Wilson stayed up a lot. He’s got many touches in the opponent’s penalty box. Most of his shots are in the opp box too. 

Scamacca

Scamacca did not have any shots from the six-yard box. He tends to shoot from outside the box as well unlike Callum Wilson. The touch heatmap also suggests he likes to come down to the midfield sometimes to support his teammates. 

Calvert-Lewin

In his three games, DCL did not have most of his touches in the opponent’s penalty box. That is not the old DCL that we know though. This might change in the next two games easily. 

Odds and Points Projection 

Here, we will take a look at the anytime scoring chances and expected points in the coming weeks. (Points projection taken from Fantasy Football Hub)

Points projection says DCL will outscore both of them in the next two gameweeks. Scamacca is projected as the lowest scoring FWD among these three. 

Further Read: FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW14 Team Of The Weak

GW15 FPL Forwards Comparison- Conclusion

Wilson is certainly in fine form right now. It seems there is something special going on with this Newcastle team. It won’t be a surprise if he continues to perform brilliantly. But the fixtures are slightly better for the other two. 

Are you the manager who likes to prioritize form or favor fixtures? Scamacca has two home games in his next two and he tends to do well in the home games. Is this the time when he finally starts shining for the Hammers? 

Meanwhile, Calvert-Lewin is projected to score the most points according to models. He wins the difficulty rating too. Can he find his old form? You’ve got all the important data, decide for yourself. Thanks for reading!

Other options if you don’t like any of them

• Jesus (£8.0)
• Darwin (£8.9)
• Alvarez (£6.0) – If Haaland’s out
• Anthony Martial (£6.7)
• Dominic Solanke (£5.7)

Data taken from: Fantasy Football Scout, Fbref, Fantasy Football Hub

If you like our content do consider supporting us by contributing to the website. ALLABOUTFPL is run by the community and for the community. All our content is and will always remain free.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW15

Top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 15 Scout Picks Selction with Stats and Data
FPL GW15 Preview – Breaking Down Dilemmas for Gameweek 15
FPL GW15 Tips – Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations
FPL Gameweek 15 Differential Picks to Consider ahead of Deadline
Predicted GW15 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams with PC and Injury updates
FPL GW14 Team Wise Review With Key Stats & Notes
FPL GW15 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups
Best FPL Forwards for GW15-GW16 | Toney Replacements Analysis
FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW14 Team Of The Weak
FPL GW15 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

FPL GW15 Stream

Link to all our FPL GW15 blogs including Fixtures to target, Predicted GW15 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 15 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering player comparisons, differential picks, transfer trends, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, eye test report, fixture analysis, captaincy metrics, FPL GW15 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

FPL Gameweek 15 FPL Deadline Countdown

Login and set your team for FPL GW15 now!