Welcome back to another FPL captaincy metric blog, GW30 which seems so far back proved to be a highly successful one for managers with both Kane and Son amongst the points. Without further ado let’s look at the FPL gameweek 31 captain picks and metrics for this week which is a case between Salah, Kane, Man City assets alongside a certain forward who has a double gameweek.
Metrics record this season: 25/30 this season
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 31 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best wildcard team, wildcard drafts with planner, free hit drafts, player comparisons, chip strategy, differentials, and more.
FPL GW31 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”43″]
Mo Salah dominates the poll this week with close to every 3 in 4 managers voting for him as their favorite GW31 Captain choice. Kane is second in the poll this week following a good run of returns from him. KDB, Weghorst, Cancelo, and Robbo have similar votes this week. At the time of writing the top five were, Salah, Kane, KDB, Cancelo, and Weghorst, these five players go into our poll this week for analysis. Let’s see who tops it?
Will it be Salah or Kane?
Further Read: Popular Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW31 ~ Robbo vs Cancelo vs James
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 31 Captain picks
Salah conveniently tops the individual stats over the last six games, Salah alone infact has more xG than Burnley(5.41) in the last six games. KDB dominates the chances created metric with 18 chances created. Kane has had more big chances than any of the five and has been equally good in creating chances as well with 13 chances created. He infact didn’t score in GW30 but registered 3 assists for a 13 points haul. Cancelo having more shots in the box than Weghorst tells the full story, but the Burnley forward having a double is the only explanation of why few managers would captain him this week.
Further Read: FPL GW31 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
The team stats are a head-to-head battle between Liverpool and Man City, the two title contenders this season. While Man City have more shots inside the box, it’s Liverpool who have more big chances and a higher xG over the last six games.
Spurs also have had an impressive 22 big chances in the last six games equalling Man City which is an encouraging sign for Kane, Son, and Kulu.
Burnley are dead last with an xG of less than 6 in their last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW31 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW31
We use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Man City top the fixture difficulty table with the odds heavily favoring them, infact they love playing Man City, and here’s their record against Burnley.
A home game against Watford means Salah and co aren’t far behind Man City with Liverpool having 94% of scoring a goal and 55% chance of scoring 2.5+ goals. Weghorst has decent numbers as well because of the fact that they play twice in GW31.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 31 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub.
Salah once again dominates the projections table with a whopping 79% chance for a return and a points projection of 8.6 points. Cancelo also has an impressive anytime returns of 68% against Burnley.
Further Read: Teams & Players to Target in FPL Between GW31-34 | Fixture Analysis
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 31 Captaincy metric analysis
Salah’s home game against Watford meant he was too good to be replaced by anyone as the best captaincy choice in FPL Gameweek 31 according to our metric.
KDB and Cancelo are close behind with Kane finishing fourth due to the fact that Salah and City boys have a better fixture than Spurs in GW31. Weghorst finishing last shows that he’s not anywhere near to being a good captaincy candidate, he might be a decent transfer in considering Burnley play five times over the next three GWs but shouldn’t be a captaincy candidate IMO.
[kofi]
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Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 31:
FPL Chip Strategy For The Remainder Of The Season | All Scenarios
FPL GW31 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Deadline
AllAboutFPL FPL GW31 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC
Teams & Players to Target in FPL Between GW31-34 | Fixture Analysis
FPL GW31 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL Gameweek 31 Analysis – Players To Buy, Hold Or Sell
FPL GW31 Transfer Trends And Best Transfer Combinations
Impact of FA Cup Results on FPL Gameweek 33 | FPL GW33 Fixtures
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 31?
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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