FPL GW12 Saturday Fixtures Review Based on Stats and Eye Test

FPL GW12 Saturday fixtures proved to be a roller coaster ride for FPL managers with a lot of benching, goals, surprise victories, CS losses, and more. Here in this blog, we review the stats and key numbers from all the eight FPL GW12 Saturday fixtures that caught our eye. This review is written by @fpl Trybe(Do follow him on Twitter)

FPL GW12 Fixture wise Review

Aston Villa vs Brighton

Scoreline	2	0
xG(1H/2H)	0.53 (0.07/0.46)	0.52 (0.38/0.14)
xGOT	1.63	0.27
Shots on Target	5 (Mings – 2Watkins, Cash, Bailey – 1 each)	2 (Trossard, Lamptey)
Big Chances	1 (Mings)	1 (Trossard)
Top 2 FPL scorers	T.Mings (15)O. Watkins (8)	Watkins (2)Mings (2)
Next 4	Cry – MCI – LEI – liv	LEE – whu – sou – TOT
Style of Play	4-3-3	3-5-1-1

FPL Talking Points from Aston Villa vs Brighton

Aston Villa:

• Electric atmosphere at Villa Park 
• AVL tried to move BHA players OOP by moving the ball quickly
• Targett (3) and Young (2) with Top 2 chances created
• Mings, Watkins & Bailey with 2 SiB each
• Watkins with a fantastic finish (xG: 0.09)
• AVL attacked even more post the 1st goal. Signs of things to come under Stevie G!

1. 1st win in 6 games; 4th clean sheet of the season
2. Mings with 1G & 2A for the season
3. Martinez, Mings & Cash are the Top 3 FPL pts generator 
4. FPL Cue: They play MCI & LIV in next 4; so wait and watch before jumping on to their assets. Watkins might flourish under the new manager

Brighton

• Lamptey’s 2nd start of the season; highest xG for the game (0.29)
• BHA grew into the game in the 2nd half of H1 but AVL did well to control them
• 3 SiB (Watkins,El-Ghazi & Buendia with 2 each) 
• Lamptey subbed out in 79’ for Maupay which left open spaces on the wings for AVL. Both goals coming post the Lamptey sub

• BHA is on a 7-game winless run (5D 2L);sitting 8th on the table
• 3rd start in a row from the bench for Maupay
• 4th time this season they haven’t scored a goal (nor-ARS-EVE being the other 3)
• FPL Cue: Lamptey with the highest xG of the game. Looks an ideal replacement for managers with Livramento (SOU are 18th and BHA are 6th on FDR for next 5 games)

Newcastle vs Brentford

Scoreline	3	3
xG(1H/2H)	1.76 (1.18/0.58)	1.00(0.87/0.13)
xGOT	1.71	0.85
Shots on Target	9 (Lascelles, ASM, Joelinton, Wilson – 2; Clark – 1)	4 (Toney – 3 Henry – 1)
Big Chances	4 (Lascelles – 2;ASM, Wilson – 1)	2 (Toney & Henry)
Top 2 FPL scorers	ASM (10)Joelinton (9)	Canos (10)Henry (7)
Next 4	ars-NOR-BUR-lei	EVE-tot-lee-WAT
Style of Play	3-4-3	3-4-3

FPL Talking points from Newcastle vs Brentford

Newcastle

• Eddie Howe’s promise of attacking football clearly visible
• xG Open Play/xG set play: 0.94/0.81
• 31 crosses; 10 from Ritchie (got an assist)
• Ritchie was taking more attacking positions than Joelinton
• Starting with Joelinto paying off for Howe – 1G of the season in 6 starts
• Wilson (xG:0.72) and ASM (xG: 0.50) looked menacing 
• Ryan Fraser with 3 chances created in 19 mins played. Gave a sublime cross to ASM for the 3rd goal

• Scored 3 goals for the 1st time in the season; have scored 2 goals thrice before
• 2nd draw on the bounce; 6th of the season
• Still without a win
• Howe will be looking to get at least 6/7 points from the next 4 

FPL Cue: ASM with 3G 4A and a bonus magnate looks the real deal

Brentford

• After 6 consecutive blanks, Toney (xG: 0.33) finally scored his 3rd for the season
• He looked super sharp in 1H 
• Canos and Mbeumo with 4 & 2 chances created respectively
• Henry on the score sheet yet again; his 2nd in a row. Confident finish too
• Was getting into very attacking areas.
• Brentford looked to be the same Brentford from 1st 7 games

• Canos with 2A and highest xA for the game: 0.32
• BRE scoring 3 in a game for the 2nd time (vs LIV in GW6) 
• Henry (4.5m) is the highest scoring FPL asset for BRE

FPL Cue: With next 2 fixtures being tough, managers with double BRE assets could look to offload one (preferably Mbeumo)

Norwich vs Southampton

Scoreline	2	1
xG(1H/2H)	0.45(0.07/0.38)	0.95(0.73/0.22)
xGOT	0.62	0.82
Shots on Target	4 (Pukki – 2Rashica, Hanley – 1)	5 (Che – 2; JWP, A.Armstrong, Salisu – 1)
Big Chances	0	0
Top 2 FPL scorers	Hanley (9)Pukki (8)	Che (9)A.Armstrong (5)
Next 4	WOL-new-tot-MUN	liv-LEI-BHA-ars
Style of Play	4-4-3	4-4-2

FPL talking points from Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City

• Both goals scored with a low combined xG of 0.22
• A strong and sharp header by Pukki (xG:0.10) after NOR going a goal down
• Fans were vociferous and were behind the team throughout the game
• Gilmour & Aarons with 6 chances created between them
• 5 SiB – higher than their season average of 4.5

• 2 wins on the bounce (bre & SOU); 2 teams with impressive xGC so far
• Pukki with 4G for the season now; has more FPL pts than Toney
• FPL Cue: Pukki could be a good punt considering they play WOL & NEW next and Brentford plays EVE & tot.

Southampton

• McCarthy had a forgetful game. Should have done better to save the 2nd one (xGC: 0.12)
• Che Adams with 2G in 3 starts now (xG: 0.14); super cool finish
• JWP with 5 & A.Armstrong with 3 chances created 
• 8 SiB in total

• 1st loss in 5 games
• 7th time they have scored 1 goal in a game
• Next 4 fixtures’ FDR is 18th
• FPL Cue: Don’t expect any attacking points in the next 4 games 

Burnley vs Crystal Palace

Scoreline	3	3
xG(1H/2H)	1.46(0.64/0.82)	1.95(1.69/0.27)
xGOT	2.44	1.49
Shots on Target	9 (Gudmundsson – 2; Cornet, Brownhill, Wood, Lowton, Mee, Tarkowski, Vydra – 1)	8 (Benteke, Guehi – 2; Andersen, Gallagher, Olise, Zaha – 1)
Big Chances	1 (Brownhill – 1)	3 (Gallagher,Benteke)
Top 2 FPL scorers	Benteke (12)Andersen (9)	Tarkowski (8)Cornet (7)
Next 4	TOT-wol-new-WHU	AVL-lee-mun-EVE
Style of Play	4-4-2	4-3-3

FPL Talking points from Burnley vs Crystal Palace

Burnley

• Cornet with a super strike for third goal; he has 5G in 7 now
• Total 15 shots; higher than their season avg of 11.1/game
• Tarkowski suspended for the next game vs TOT (5th YC)

• In just 447 minutes, Cornet has become the highest FPL asset (40 pts)
• Burnley has looked proactive and more forward-pushing in the last 3 – 4 games
• Still languishing in the relegation zone
• FPL Cue: Cornet (6.1m) looks to be the talisman going forward

Crystal Palace

• Benteke rolling back the years; 4G in last 5
• Some super finishing on display by him (xG: 0.86)
• J. Ayew with an impressive display with the ball (xA: 0.48)
• 12 SiB vs Burnley’s 10
• 6 goals in 1st 49 mins were just whirlwind 

• 1st time in their PL history, Palace has scored 3 away goals
• After 1st 2 games without scoring a goal, they have now scored 18 in their last 10 
• Unbeaten run stretches to 7 games 
• FPL Cue: Benteke & Gallagher look to be the ones generating most of team’s FPL points

Watford vs Manchester United

Scoreline	4	1
xG(1H/2H)	2.51(1.96/0.54)	1.51(0.42/1.09)
xGOT	2.58	1.29
Shots on Target	7(Sarr, Pedro, King – 2;Dennis – 1)	3 (CR7 – 2;Rashford – 1; Van de beek – 1)
Big Chances	3 (King – 2;Sarr – 1)	4 (CR7 – 2;Rashford – 1; Van de beek – 1)
Top 2 FPL scorers	Dennis (14)Pedro (7)	Van de Beek (7)De Gea (6)
Next 4	lei-CHE-MCI-bre	che-ARS-CRY-nor
Style of Play	4-1-4-1	4-2-3-1

FPL Talking points from Watford vs Manchester United

Watford:

• Sarr with a nightmare display with the penalty kicks
• King & Dennis working well together (combined xGI: 1.6)
• 1 BCC each for King & Dennis
• Sarr’s tidy finish saving him the blushes (xG:0.05)
• WAT’s finishing was at its peak

• 2nd win in 5 for Ranieri
• Have scored 9 in the last 4 games
• Dennis’ 3 double-digit haul of the season
• FPL Cue: Dennis (5.2m) is a great enabler/differential. GW16 -19 to be looked at to get in any WAT asset

Manchester United

• Untidy possession throughout the game
• Most of the passes 1H were either sideways/backwards
• 1H scored could have easily been 0-4. Shoddy display all-round
• Sancho looked bright amongst all. Some tasty crosses are exactly what he is all about (game’s highest xA: 0.49) 
• Van de Beek (46’) sub took some great positions and created more chances (3) than any other MU player. He played for 45 mins.

• After scoring 13 in first 5, MU have scored only 7 in the last 7 
• 4 points out of the last 21
• CR7 with only 3 FPL returns in the last 7 games
• FPL Cue: GW16 onwards is the best time to look at MU assets. Keeping an eye on Sancho

Wolves vs West Ham United

Scoreline	1	0
xG(1H/2H)	1.08(0.63/0.45)	0.33(0.12/0.21)
xGOT	1.16	0.66
Shots on Target	5 (Podence – 2Jiminez, Neves & Moutinho – 1)	3 (Bowen, RIce & Soucek)
Big Chances	2 (Jimenez, Kilman))	0
Top 2 FPL scorers	Ait Nouri (9)Jimenez (8)	Fabianski (3)Zouma (2)
Next 4	nor-BUR-LIV-mci	mci-BHA-CHE-bur
Style of Play	3-4-2-1	4-3-2-1

FPL Talking points from Wolves vs West Ham United

Wolves

• Podence & Ait Nouri each with 4 chances created 
• 13 chances created in total
• 8 SiB with Semedo & Kilman with 2 each
• Jimenez’s 3rd goal of the season (xG: 0.41); was presented on the platter by some solid work by Podence
• Wolves looked sharp on the counters

• Have now won five of their last 7 PL games (D1 L1), more than they had in their previous 18 in the competition (W4 D3 L11)
• Jimenez has now returned 6 times in his last 7 games
• 3 home win in a row
• Least amount of draws in the season (1)
• FPL Cue: Jimenez (7.5) and Hwang (5.6) still look the best prospects for a big FPL haul

West Ham United

• Fabianski kept WHU in the game 
• WHU never really took off; looked jaded in phases
• Bowen with team’s highest individual xG of 0.08
• Cresswell looked sharp at times with his crosses (7)
• Only 3 corners & 1 FK in the game vs Wolves’ 7 & 2

• 1st loss in 5 games
• Antonio has returned only twice (2G) in the last 9 GWs
• FPL Cue: MCI and CHE in 2 out of the next 3 fixtures. Great run of fixtures from GW16 onwards. Don’t buy any WHU asset now.

Liverpool vs Arsenal

Scoreline	4	0
xG(1H/2H)	3.34(0.75/2.59)	0.32(0.21/0.11)
xGOT	3.08	0.39
Shots on Target	9 (Mane, Salah, Jota – 2; Trent, Minamino, Thiago – 1)	3 (Partey, Lokonga & Aubameyang)
Big Chances	5 (Jota – 2;Mane, Salah & Minamino – 1)	0
Top 2 FPL scorers	Trent (15)Mane (12)	ESR (2)Saka (2)
Next 4	SOU-eve-wol-AVL	NEW-mun-eve-SOU
Style of Play	4-3-3	4-4-1-1

FPL Talking Points from Liverpool vs Arsenal

Liverpool

• A dug-out spat between the managers was the highlight of the 1st 25 mins 
• Incident spurred LIV more than ARS
• Trent leaps and bounds ahead of anyone; xA of 0.74, 2 assists; 6 chances created & 2 BCC
• Finishing of the highest order from Jota where he floored White and Ramsdale with a beautiful finish (xG: 0.78)
• 19 total shots with 16 SiB
• Allison with 1 save inside box

• 3 of the Top 4 FPL assets are from LIV – Salah (129), Trent (79), James (75) and Mane (71)
• Mane has returned in 8 of the 12 GWs (7G 2A)
• Jota hobbled off after 75 mins 
• 38 BCC in the season with Chelsea trailing behind at 30

Arsenal

• Kept a good solid shape in the 1st 30 odd minutes 
• Tavares had a torrid time while attempting to press and getting pressed
• A mere 5 shots in total with 0 BCC
• Saka with the highest xG of 0.18
• ESR looked bright on couple of instances
• Auba had one difficult chance saved by Allison (xG:0.07) 
• Ramsdale with 5 saves; all from inside the box

• Avg SiB conceded (GW1-11): 8.8; conceded 16 this game
• This was the 5th occasion where ARS have failed to score (liv,bha,mci,CHE,bre)
• 1st loss in 8 games
• FPL Cue: Will look to bounce back vs NEW & MU next. ESR still remains their go to FPL asset

Leicester vs Chelsea

Scoreline	0	3
xG(1H/2H)	0.43(0.00/0.43)	2.11(0.87/1.24)
xGOT	0.31	2.46
Shots on Target	3 (Maddison – 2 Amartey – 1)	7 (Kante – 3; Rudiger, Chilwell, Pulisic, CHO – 1)
Big Chances	1 (Vardy)	5(Pulisic – 2; Rudiger, Kante, Chilwell – 1)
Top 2 FPL scorers	Rudiger (14)James (12)	Vardy (2)Ndidi (2)
Next 4	WAT-sou-avl-NEW	MUN-wat-whu-LEE
Style of Play	3-4-2-1	3-4-2-1

FPL Talking Points from Leicester vs Chelsea

Leicester City

• Lookman looked sharp; had a goal disallowed (offside) 
• 0 chances in 1H
• Looked a different team in 2H with Maddison & Ihenacho coming on at HT
• Maddison with 1st attempt on target in 58’
• Vardy with a headed attempt in the 6yd box in 65’ (xG: 0.36)

• Tielemans was sorely missed
• Something is amiss this season – the passing, the runs are just not falling in place
• Good run of 4 fixtures coming up; will definitely look to bounce back
• FPL Cue: Managers with Vardy should stick with him for these upcoming fixtures

Chelsea

• Lucky assist for James as Kante ran literally from the half-line to score a solo goal (xG: 0.10) 
• Chilwell was present in super attacking positions (xGI: 0.33)
• Hit the bar in the 4’. Also played a sublime corner for Rudiger. He was denied a goal by an acrobatic Schmeichel in 2H
• T. Silva hardly broke a sweat in 1H
• Pulisic with an xG: 0.97 in 30 odd mins
• Reece James with an xGI: 0.21

• Best performance of the season
• Played like a champion team
• 8th Clean Sheet of the season; season xGC of 12.22 (2nd best)
• Reece James with his 3rd double-digit haul in last 4 games; Chilwell has 2
• FPL Cue: It’s about which 2 defenders to get in as they seem to be scoring in each game

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