Key players to target in FPL GW38 if you are catching your Mini league rivals or targeting your OR rank

This FPL GW37 blog is written by FPLOsama. He has a rich FPL history with one Top 5K and three Top 10K finishes. He is currently ranked at 8.2K. Follow him on Twitter for his weekly threads about FPL. Check out his articles on allaboutfpl.com here

A unique season is finally coming to an end on Sunday, 23rd May and ahead of the final round of fixtures, Some FPL managers are chasing their Mini League Rivals, others are pushing into their target zone: 10K-50k…etc while others are enjoying the final day trying to maximizing their points for a decent finish.

Before we start, its worthy to know that the final day of the PL was quite crazy for the last 5 seasons averaging 3.4 goals-per game👀

In this article, we shall discuss the Must-Have key players if you are catching your Mini league rivals or targeting an Elite OR rank

Defenders for FPL GW38🛡

1. Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.8)

Since GW30, No player managed to create more chances (28) or provided assists (4) than TAA. The English Right back also sits on the top among defenders for goal attempts (18) is a MUST-HAVE in the final game week and I am considering him a good contender for captaincy.

2. Stuart Dallas (£5.5)

Only TAA (14) has more total attempts than Dallas (12) during the last 6 game weeks however he outscores all the defenders for shots on target (4)during the same period. Dallas recorded an astonishing record among defenders with mins perchance = 45 with on Alexander-Arnold has a better stat (38.6).

Without Periera who is doubtful for the hawthorns, the odds for Beilsa’s men to have a cleansheet increases as well.

Further Read: Player odds, Cleansheet odds, and much more on Drafthound

Midfielders for FPL GW38

1. Mohamed Salah (£12.9)

MO is delivering tremendous stats over the past weeks as he is already the current joint goal scorer with 22 goals. Since GW30, No player had big chances (10), goal attempts (33), or shots inside the box(28) more than Salah. At the period GW30-37, Crystal palace most vulnerable side defensively is their left flank conceded 32 chances “3rd worst” from this side which is TAA, and Salah’s. Mitchell is also doubtful as Hodgson confirmed during the press conference.

2. Sadio Mane (£11.7)

Sadio has scored in all of his last 7 appearances against Palace with Goal and Assist in the reverse fixture in spite he played only 56 mins. The Senegalian had 15 penalty touches over the past two games and he is on the top midfielder for xGI during the same period (2.03).

A must win fixture against Palace at Anfield could translate Sadio’s recent stats into real numbers and he is a strong captaincy shout this week

3. Jack Harrison (£5.6)

Harrison scored 2 Goals and provided 4 assists in his last 7 matches and actually, I will quote from my last article that the game against West Brom is appealing towards Harrison: Since Gameweek 30 WBA conceded their most chances from their center and Right Flank (Harrison’s side).

With TOP 10K EO of 7.32%, I can see Harrison a very great punt and potentially hauling against the hawthorns with a crowded Elland Road.

Further Read: Dicing for Differentials: Looking at Gameweek 38 Punts

Forwards for FPL GW38

1. Patrick Bamford (£6.6)
2. Michail Antonio (£6.6)

It’s a combo analysis for both strikers who personally would be my 2 FTs this week. Both are providing very promising attacking stats and below is a simple snip:

📊 Antonio vs Bamford [GW34-GW37] 📊

– Goals/Assists: 3/0 vs 2/1
– Mins per SIB: 36 vs 47.7
– Mins per SOT: 120 vs 47.7
– Mins per chances created: 90 vs 95 – xGi: 2.7 vs 1.8
– Touches inside the box: 31 vs 12
– Goal attempts: 13 vs 6

Their opponents Southampton and West Brom are the 2nd and 4th worse teams for conceding big chances over the last 6 away matches.

It’s 51% “Bamford” to 49% “Antonio” If I will choose only one as West Brom are the worst defensive team for conceding chances from their central area over the last 6 gameweeks and I also see he is a great captaincy option, in parallel you can’t ignore that Westham are giving their lives to secure a European spot next season

The opposition are Southampton, a team that have struggled in 2021. The Saints have an xGC of 1.74 per 90, conceding 2 big chances during this period. Southampton are also firmly ‘on the beach’. The Saints have conceded in each of their last 10, showing their defensive frailties of late. Benrahma can definitely capitalize on the weak defense, with a haul meaning a huge rank boost for whoever owns the winger.

Further Read: The Madness of the Final Day | FPL GW38 Fixtures To Target

FPL GW38 Captaincy poll

[Total_Soft_Poll id=”7″]

Do vote in this week’s allaboutfpl captaincy poll. The same will be available in the captaincy analysis and metrics blog written by AK. The metrics has been delivering consistently since debuting in GW29 and is absolutely free. Stay tuned for the same.

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Further reads and viewing from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW38

Player odds, Cleansheet odds, and much more on Drafthound
Dicing for Differentials: Looking at Gameweek 38 Punts
The Madness of the Final Day | FPL GW38 Fixtures To Target
FPL Tools Overview, Comparison, and Feature Analysis
All that you need to know about FPL cup
History Of Fantasy Football And Origin Of FPL
FPL History: Highest Scoring FPL Players Each Year Since The First FPL Season in 2002/03
FPL Tools guide for managers: Free and Paid

Check out the latest Netthathaul Matchups show on YouTube

Do check out the episode for the GW38 Matchups, Captaincy metrics, Algorithm 11, and much more. Do subscribe and stay tuned for upcoming episodes.

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW38 Deadline?

Our team of good writers are working relentlessly as we strive to deliver good FPL good content. Stay tuned for our, Differential picks(<10% TSB), Captaincy metrics for FPL GW38, and Matchups blogs. All the blogs will be out soon ahead of a Sunday evening FPL deadline.

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